04-22-2023, 05:59 PM
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#8941
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
That is an odd tweet, because I’m not sure what is “updated” about the model. The most recent data is still the Leger poll from March 26th, showing the NDP ahead by 3 points. Poll aggregators are useful, but I feel like we are working with some very old data here overall.
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I don’t know for sure, but isn’t 338 and Eric Grenier notably poor at this? I thought I remember seeing past predictions and projections from him that weren’t particularly close to the actual outcomes?
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04-22-2023, 06:05 PM
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#8942
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Franchise Player
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Is Eric still with 338? I thought I had heard he left.
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04-23-2023, 09:07 AM
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#8943
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
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"It seems to me there has go to be a better way of identifying at-risk moms and then maybe having them go to a major hospital but we have midwives who are able to have home births and if we can have midwives doing home births, surely we would be able to support more maternity in all of our rural hospitals and so it's seems to me it hinges on not having enough anesthesiologists," Smith said.
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https://www.mylethbridgenow.com/3031...idge-hospital/
Dafuq? "Medical science is not doing good enough on identifying at risk births! I think I could do better. Home births cost the medical system very little, so we should totally aim for that. Oh, and because of that, a shortage of anesthesiologists is the problem."
I do believe we are witnessing a brain in complete meltdown.
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04-23-2023, 09:43 AM
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#8944
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Franchise Player
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There is an anesthesiologist problem in rural Alberta. This means if you need a c-section you need to go to a larger hospital. I have no idea if her statement is correct but that’s how you could have a lack of anesthesiologist shortage driving low risk pregnancies out of smaller Centers because all pregnancies carry risks of something going wrong and needing a c-section.
Last edited by GGG; 04-23-2023 at 09:46 AM.
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04-23-2023, 10:41 AM
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#8945
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
I don’t know for sure, but isn’t 338 and Eric Grenier notably poor at this? I thought I remember seeing past predictions and projections from him that weren’t particularly close to the actual outcomes?
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I don’t know, to be honest—on either point. I gather the idea behind 338 is to be Canada’s fivethirtyeight.com, but as polling aggregators in the US have also discovered, your model can only be as reliable as the underlying data that goes into it.
They are still a pretty useful tool, but it’s important to understand their limitations. And to me it’s almost disingenuous to say that your model is “updated” when it literally has not incorporated a single new piece of data. And when the data is coming in as slowly as it is in Alberta, I wonder how much more useful an “aggregator” is vs just looking at the most recent reliable polling data.
Which is also a guessing game to be honest because that most recent data is not actually that recent.
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04-23-2023, 11:54 AM
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#8947
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First Line Centre
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calculoso
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That did not make any sense whatsoever. WTAF???
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04-23-2023, 12:01 PM
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#8948
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Franchise Player
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It's Libertarianism, it isn't supposed to make sense.
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04-23-2023, 12:25 PM
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#8949
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All I can get
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With that logic, under a private system doctors should prescribe the most profitable drugs/treatment as opposed to the most effective?
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04-23-2023, 01:57 PM
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#8951
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Franchise Player
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How can anyone vote for this idiot.
The province is so messed up that she has a very good chance of winning.
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04-23-2023, 01:59 PM
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#8952
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calculoso
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To have competition you also need a surplus of doctors. Good luck with that.
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04-23-2023, 03:08 PM
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#8955
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calculoso
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wow does this ever offend and enrage me
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04-23-2023, 03:21 PM
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#8956
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Salmon with Arms
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calculoso
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You can tell she's coming up with stuff as she goes and then fills in the blanks after the idea is out.
Kinda like a talk show host and the opposite of what someone in charge of public office should be doing
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04-23-2023, 03:52 PM
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#8958
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Income Tax Central
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts
How can anyone vote for this idiot.
The province is so messed up that she has a very good chance of winning.
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I love Rural Alberta, I think its fascinating, but these people are nuts and have way, way too much Political clout.
Wonderful people...in all senses but Politics.
I made a preposterous joke the other day regarding Bill Gates, 5G and the Lizard-man conspiracy and the guy thought I was serious.
__________________
The Beatings Shall Continue Until Morale Improves!
This Post Has Been Distilled for the Eradication of Seemingly Incurable Sadness.
If you are flammable and have legs, you are never blocking a Fire Exit. - Mitch Hedberg
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04-23-2023, 03:59 PM
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#8959
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Locke
I love Rural Alberta, I think its fascinating, but these people are nuts and have way, way too much Political clout.
Wonderful people...in all senses but Politics.
I made a preposterous joke the other day regarding Bill Gates, 5G and the Lizard-man conspiracy and the guy thought I was serious.
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It’s not just rural folk, it’s not even close to that being the issue.
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04-23-2023, 04:36 PM
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#8960
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Locke
I love Rural Alberta, I think its fascinating, but these people are nuts and have way, way too much Political clout.
Wonderful people...in all senses but Politics.
I made a preposterous joke the other day regarding Bill Gates, 5G and the Lizard-man conspiracy and the guy thought I was serious.
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Seems like a place Aaron Rodgers would love.
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