Pretty good run for a completely unknown character, for comparison the first Captain America movie made $370 million and the first Thor $450 so right inline with those two.
It's too bad this movie is banned in China, it's the type of movie that would have made over $100 mill there.
Pretty good run for a completely unknown character, for comparison the first Captain America movie made $370 million and the first Thor $450 so right inline with those two.
It's too bad this movie is banned in China, it's the type of movie that would have made over $100 mill there.
Your comps ignore 10 years of inflation.
I’d go disappointing as it’s not out performing movies dropped in the middle of Covid. Black Widow 380 with day and date streaming and Shang Chi 430 and eternals at 400. All of these were considered mediocre but given Covid okay.
So I don’t see this as a good run. It’s okay to disappointing. For a movie that is so much better than aquaman it’s disappointing it might not even break even.
The MCU has become the biggest franchise in box office history, so those films will make more given the brand recognition. Plus with Black Widow she was a very popular character and had been in about 10 films before her solo.
I think WB was really hoping for a China release where the Rocks films tend to do really well, so no China release really hurt it.
I agree not fantastic run by any stretch but I think solid and hopefully enough to give us a sequel.
In one weekend it's beat what Black Adam and the Rock could do in 4 weeks (domestically, 22 million more worldwide) and it doesn't really have any competition until Avatar is released in a month. Should be another cash grab for Disney before their cash for Avatar starts rolling in.
Interesting that it will be the first year since 2014 (if you don't count 2020, and you shouldn't) to have the top grossing film be something other than Marvel or Star Wars. It will either be Top Gun or Avatar.
Interesting that it will be the first year since 2014 (if you don't count 2020, and you shouldn't) to have the top grossing film be something other than Marvel or Star Wars. It will either be Top Gun or Avatar.
Looking through the list, it just feels like movies are getting worse and worse. So many sequels. Very little original content in their. I know that's been the trend for a while, but literally the Batman is the only non-sequel in the top 10, and that's far from a fresh idea.
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Wakanda has had huge % drops every weekend so far, its rare for a nose diving movie to have any kind of uptick. It probably needs ~$600M to break even, so itll make some cash, but the leftover hype from the first BP is gone so there's a decent this is the last BP movie unless they figure out a way to turn the tide.
Depends how you look at it - I think the generally more accepted way is the movie counts towards the year it was released in. That's why say, Avatar 1 is "the top grossing movie of 2009" even though it made 2/3 of it's money in 2010.
But I don't think Avatar 2 will catch Top Gun either way.
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That’s such a garbage article. Even using exaggerated metrics for budget like 350mil and assuming 350 marketing that still only needs 1.4 billion to break even. It’s just Cameron trying to show this as a passion project and art and not a superhero vfx fest.
That’s such a garbage article. Even using exaggerated metrics for budget like 350mil and assuming 350 marketing that still only needs 1.4 billion to break even. It’s just Cameron trying to show this as a passion project and art and not a superhero vfx fest.
I agree with the spirit of your post, but the article suggests they've spent a billion on the 4 movies already. They only have one made, and it seems unlikely all 4 will ever come out.
They've been working on this for at least a decade, right? It's definitely plausible that they've spent over a billion by now.
It will be fascinating to see how well it does. I don't many people have really fond memories of the first movie. It was definitely a spectacle that brought a lot of people to the theater to experience it, but the story and characters weren't particularly memorable. Also, a lot of people have grown to hate 3d over the years since.
I'd guess this falls short of Top Gun domestically, but passes by it a bit world wide.
What's just fine though? Somewhere around 600-650 domestic seems likely, which would be just fine for most any other movie, but probably be a bit of a bomb for this movie.
Marvel movies are definitely down the last few fears. BP2 will not get 70% of the first, and Disney is likely to have a year under or around 2 billion and will make less cumulatively from 2020-2022 than they did in 2019. By any objective measure, Disney is on a significant downward trend on all their movie franchises.
I agree with the spirit of your post, but the article suggests they've spent a billion on the 4 movies already. They only have one made, and it seems unlikely all 4 will ever come out.
They've been working on this for at least a decade, right? It's definitely plausible that they've spent over a billion by now.
It will be fascinating to see how well it does. I don't many people have really fond memories of the first movie. It was definitely a spectacle that brought a lot of people to the theater to experience it, but the story and characters weren't particularly memorable. Also, a lot of people have grown to hate 3d over the years since.
I'd guess this falls short of Top Gun domestically, but passes by it a bit world wide.
I love this part where he offers anyone in the audience $1000 if they could name these two characters.
I couldnt.
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I'd actually be shocked if Avatar 2 isn't seen as having a disappointing box office run.
First time around it was more experiential than about the movie. This time it's a sequel people weren't really asking for, too far separated from the original movie.
I do think it will have a great run, just one that will be universally seen as less than expected.
I'd actually be shocked if Avatar 2 isn't seen as having a disappointing box office run.
First time around it was more experiential than about the movie. This time it's a sequel people weren't really asking for, too far separated from the original movie.
I do think it will have a great run, just one that will be universally seen as less than expected.
It will be interesting to see. James Cameron doesnt appear to be a complete idiot, so maybe he'll shift the tone and focus and it'll turn out great.
Or maybe it'll be a disaster. It could go either way really.
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