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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
Biden 6 66.67%
Trump 3 33.33%
Kanye/other/Independent 0 0%
Would not vote 0 0%
Voters: 9. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-03-2020, 09:27 PM   #1001
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Arizona doing the world proud tonight.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:28 PM   #1002
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The weird thing is that Fox hasn't even called New Mexico yet apparently.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:28 PM   #1003
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With Arizona in Biden's corner, he can lose Pennsylvania and win 270-268.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:29 PM   #1004
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You should tell Fox they're wrong. They called it.
You don’t find it odd CNN hasn’t called it if it was remotely a done deal?
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:30 PM   #1005
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The weird thing is that Fox hasn't even called New Mexico yet apparently.
Or Ohio, which I can't possibly see swing back to Biden.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:30 PM   #1006
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With Arizona in Biden's corner, he can lose Pennsylvania and win 270-268.
Virginia says hi.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:30 PM   #1007
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It's not very often I get to say Arizona does something right, but booyah mother####ers! We got the vote right!!!
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:31 PM   #1008
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Or Ohio, which I can't possibly see swing back to Biden.
That's less surprising as I haven't seen anyone call Ohio, while CNN and AP have both called New Mexico for Biden.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:31 PM   #1009
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You don’t find it odd CNN hasn’t called it if it was remotely a done deal?
CNN has been quite conservative calling some of the states tonight, besides the very obvious ones. Fox has beaten them to the calls quite often.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:32 PM   #1010
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Arizona doing the world proud tonight.
There’s something I never expected to see in writing.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:32 PM   #1011
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You don’t find it odd CNN hasn’t called it if it was remotely a done deal?
Biden is up by 8% with 75% counted. It seems like a pretty safe bet that Biden takes it.

Michigan and Wisconsin are looking pretty iffy for Biden though. Still a little too early there though as they are only 44% and 54% counted.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:32 PM   #1012
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Texas has also been stuck at around 85% for what seems like forever now. What's the hold-up there I wonder?
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:33 PM   #1013
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Yeah, so far Fox has also been the only outlet I see that has called Florida.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:33 PM   #1014
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Nate Silver: "Just speaking hypothetically: If Trump wins Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, but Biden wins Arizona, Biden is an 85 percent favorite in our scenario generator. There’s a 6 percent chance of an Electoral College tie, though."
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:33 PM   #1015
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Or Ohio, which I can't possibly see swing back to Biden.
Again like Florida, if you look at the county by county maps its the bluest places that are under reported. and the redists places are sitting at 99%.

probably not enough to close the gap, but the Blue shift is still a real thing to expect.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:33 PM   #1016
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Brisket just finished resting
Thanks. Now I'm yearning for some BBQ. Damn.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:34 PM   #1017
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Or Ohio, which I can't possibly see swing back to Biden.
The Ohio vote hanging out in Ohio is in the three Cs. Those are population centers and can still swing the vote big. Same exists in Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia. The rural count is easy because there's only a few thousand votes to count and confirm. The urban areas have massive numbers of votes to count and confirm. They take time.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:34 PM   #1018
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Pennsylvania seems to be way too far ahead in Trump's favour for the mail in votes to matter. It's an obvious last grasp, but the results should have been closer for Biden.

Either way, it seems quite obvious that this election will ride on Pennsylvania and the mail in votes at this point. Always great to see democracy in action where one state is all that matters.
What’s your basis for this

Biden is winning the 24% of counties reporting absentee ballots 70/30. He is down 13 points overall about

So certainly still in play.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:35 PM   #1019
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Nate Silver: "Just speaking hypothetically: If Trump wins Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, but Biden wins Arizona, Biden is an 85 percent favorite in our scenario generator. There’s a 6 percent chance of an Electoral College tie, though."
Nate Silver needs to #### off.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:35 PM   #1020
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Again like Florida, if you look at the county by county maps its the bluest places that are under reported. and the redists places are sitting at 99%.

probably not enough to close the gap, but the Blue shift is still a real thing to expect.
He's 8 points ahead with 88% reported in.
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