Calgarypuck Prospect Ranking 2019 - Round 21

[united]

Jeremy McKenna
Whether he should be on the list is debatable, but I'm voting based on the players that appear on the list.

One dimensional goal scorer but scoring goals is the most difficult skill in hockey. Excellent at getting open and finding gaps in coverage which allows him to get his hard and accurate shot off. Also terrific on the powerplay. But, his defensive shortcomings significantly reduce his probability of success. Hockey is full of junior snipers who didn't pan out, but there are a few who have turned into mighty good scorers. Over 5 shots per game is insane.

Ceiling: 2nd line W
Probable: Tweener
Floor: Outright bust

After McKenna I don't see anyone else as having anything more than a remote probability of playing above the third line. While McKenna has higher likelihood of busting than some others, his ceiling remains the highest. In other words, his error bar carries more variability.

This is the point in voting where ceiling, to me, starts to give way to playing any games at all in importance. This is also the point where prospects can make big gains or losses in a one-year period of time.

The Pack

Lucas Feuk

Spoiler!

At this stage his game is purely offensive, likely as a winger going forward, but one who plays a gritty game and isn't afraid to go to the tough areas of the ice. Excellent forechecker, but doesn't like his own zone. Good frame with plenty of room for growth over the next few years. Looking forward to him hopefully stepping up a level in competition next season.

Ceiling: 3rd line LW
Probable: Minors/Europe
Floor: Outright bust

Ryan Lomberg

Spoiler!

Well known for his pesty play in the NHL, he actually put together a surprisingly good campaign in the minors which was likely partially the reason he was rewarded with some NHL cash. 0.5 ppg in the AHL with hardly any powerplay time isn't to be disregarded - he outscored Spencer Foo and Glenn Gawdin at 5v5 in fewer games, for example.

Ceiling: 4th line W
Probable: Minor league journeyman
Floor: Minor league journeyman

Luke Philp

Spoiler!

Very interested to see his first season of pro. Completely murdered a league filled with mid-range ex-WHLers/high-end ex-Tier 2 juniors. Likely a hard working journeyman but need some viewings.

Josh Nodler

Spoiler!

Decent year of output in the USHL without a ton of powerplay time, but you could counter that by noting he also sported a shooting % of 19. Avoids the difficult areas but plays smart and efficient. Needs to up the intensity and become less of a perimeter player, but the hockey sense as a two-way forward is there.

Ceiling: 4th line utility player
Probable: Minors
Floor: Outright bust

Carl-Johan Lerby

Spoiler!

Adequate two-way defenseman who blossomed with an increased role as a powerplay quarterback this season. Small frame but smooth skater. Needs to get better defensively, but another season of development in Sweden with a big plate of confidence could do wonders.

Ceiling: #6 defenseman
Probable: Minors/Europe
Floor: Minors/Europe

Rinat Valiev

Spoiler!

As expected in Stockton. No nonsense defenseman who can chip in on the powerplay in a pinch but is better suited at evens and killing penalties. Isn't exceptionally good or poor at any aspect of the game.

Ceiling: #6 defenseman
Probable: Journeyman/injury call-up
Floor: Journeyman/injury call-up

N/A
Nick Schneider

No hope
Spencer Foo
Mitchell Mattson
Linus Lindstrom
Andrew Nielsen
Justin Kirkland
Pavel Karnaukhov

[Rick M.]

Originally Posted by Bingo

Seems to be separating a bit now.

Feuk news.

[united]

Originally Posted by agulati

Interesting (shocking) to see Karnaukhov with two votes. Looked up his stats on hockeydb. He played 33 games and had 3 goals and 6 assists as a 22 year old in the KHL playing for CSKA Moscow.

You will also likely be interested in looking up how 16-vote getter Linus Lindstrom fared in an easier league albeit while being 10 months younger than Karnaukhov.