2018-2019 Point Predictions

[goflamesgo18]

It's looking like a very deep team for next season. There's only a couple forwards that aren't capable of 40 pts in a full season I'd say. (Brouwer and Hathaway)

Give your Predictions based on a minimum of 70 GP. Here are mine:

Gaudreau - 94
Monahan - 70
Lindholm - 55
Tkachuk - 72
Backlund - 47
Neal - 55
Bennett - 40
Jankowski - 43
Ryan - 37
Frolik - 32
Czarnik - 36
Lazar - 23
Hathaway - 14
Brouwer - 22
Foo - 36
Dube - 23


Brodie - 47
Giordano - 50
Hanifin - 38
Hamonic - 21
Andersson - 27
Kulak - 12
Stone - 19

Smith - 57GP, 2.47 GAA, .923 SV%
Gilles - 20GP, 2.81GAA, .913SV%

[Da_Chief]

Tad optimistic I'd say.
You have about 900 points there which in 2 assists per goal would equate to about 300 goals. The highest scoring team last year had 296 goals in Tampa, no one else crossed 280.

On your list from Gaudreau to Neal, lower all by 5. From Bennett to Dube drop all by 10 points. Kulak / Hamonic / Stone, all likely combine for 25 points. Which will equate to 250 goals. Which would be top 10.

[goflamesgo18]

There are 16 FWDs there, obviously not all of them will play 70+ games.

[Charsiu]

Originally Posted by goflamesgo18

It's looking like a very deep team for next season. There's only a couple forwards that aren't capable of 40 pts in a full season I'd say. (Brouwer and Hathaway)

Give your Predictions based on a minimum of 70 GP. Here are mine:

Gaudreau - 94
Monahan - 70
Lindholm - 55
Tkachuk - 72
Backlund - 47
Neal - 55
Bennett - 40
Jankowski - 43
Ryan - 37
Frolik - 32
Czarnik - 36
Lazar - 23
Hathaway - 14
Brouwer - 22
Foo - 36
Dube - 23


Brodie - 47
Giordano - 50
Hanifin - 38
Hamonic - 21
Andersson - 27
Kulak - 12
Stone - 19

Smith - 57GP, 2.47 GAA, .923 SV%
Gilles - 20GP, 2.81GAA, .913SV%

You expecting us to lead the league in scoring this year? That's a hell of a lot of career seasons up there.

[goflamesgo18]

Originally Posted by Charsiu

You expecting us to lead the league in scoring this year? That's a hell of a lot of career seasons up there.

Could very well happen, these are my predictions, that is all.

[PugnaciousIntern]

I like the optimism. I do think that scoring increases (not to the degree estimated!) however I have a feeling that the goalies will be in for a tough season.

[TheScorpion]

The 14 forwards who I think will make the team out of camp:

Gaudreau - 25/66/91
Monahan - 41/33/74
Tkachuk - 20/38/58
Neal - 27/27/54
Lindholm - 12/35/47
Backlund - 19/27/46
Frolik - 15/26/41
Bennett - 14/25/39
Ryan - 13/23/36
Jankowski - 13/21/34
Brouwer - 9/20/29
Czarnik - 6/15/21
Klimchuk - 3/16/19
Lazar - 1/8/9

The 7 defensemen:

Giordano - 13/30/43
Brodie - 6/35/41
Hanifin - 8/23/31
Hamonic - 3/13/16
Stone - 4/6/10
Kulak - 1/5/6
Prout - 1/0/1

[Fire]

Gaudreau - 22 G 68 A 90 Pts
Monahan - 30 G 35 A 65 Pts
Lindholm - 19 G 32 A 51 Pts
Tkachuk - 28 G 30 A 58 Pts
Backlund - 19 G 19 A 38 Pts
Neal - 25 G 20 A 45 Pts
Bennett - 15 G 15 A 30 Pts
Jankowski - 15 G 15 A 30 Pts
Ryan - 13 G 18 A 31 Pts
Frolik - 9 G 17 A 26 Pts
Czarnik - 12 G 15 A 27 Pts
Lazar - 1G 3A 4 Pts
Hathaway - 5 G 7 A 12 Pts
Brouwer - 0 G 0 A 0 Pts
Foo - 3 G 2 A 5 Pts
Dube - 3 G 6 A 9 Pts


Brodie - 5 G 30 A 35 Pts
Giordano - 13 G 30 A 43 Pts
Hanifin - 13 G 25 A 38 Pts
Hamonic - 2 G 15 A 17 Pts
Kulak - 2 G 7 A 9 Pts
Stone - 3 G 6 A 9 Pts
Andersson - 2 G 8 A 10 Pts

Smith - 55GP, 2.40 GAA, .921 SV%
Rittich - 27GP, 2.65 GAA, .911 SV%
Gillies - 5 GP, 2.80 GAA, .905 SV%

Total: 259 Goals

Big jump from last season but I think it's possible.

[Royle9]

I'll bite and play!

Gaudreau - 81
Monahan - 65
Tkachuk - 60
Neal - 58
Lindholm - 51
Backlund - 42
Bennett - 35
Jankowski - 35
Ryan - 32
Frolik - 30
Czarnik - 32
Lazar - 20
Brouwer - 18


Foo - 18
Dube - 18
Hathaway - 12

Giordano - 52
Hanifin - 44
Brodie - 38
Hamonic - 21
Stone - 16
Kulak - 10

Andersson - 28

[N-E-B]

Gaudreau - 84
Monahan - 65
Tkachuk - 62
Neal - 47
Lindholm - 45
Backlund - 42
Frolik - 38
Jankowski - 35
Bennett - 34
Ryan - 34
Czarnik - 25
Lazar - 18
Brouwer - 17

Giordano - 47
Brodie - 39
Hanifin - 35
Hamonic - 23
Stone - 17
Andersson - 15
Kulak - 10

Smith - 3

No idea what that adds up to but it seems realistic to me.

[Mattman]

Gaudreau - 88
Monahan - 69
Lindholm - 62
Tkachuk - 65
Backlund - 44
Neal - 57
Bennett - 36
Jankowski - 41
Ryan - 28
Frolik - 37
Czarnik - 28
Lazar - 16
Hathaway - 14
Brouwer - 9
Foo - 22
Dube - 8


Brodie - 35
Giordano - 53
Hanifin - 33
Hamonic - 21
Andersson - 29
Kulak - 12
Stone - 11

Smith - 45GP
Gilles - 29GP
Rittich - 8GP

[Enoch Root]

You (OP) have predicted the following (level / # of players achieving it):

80: 1
70: 3
60: 3
50: 6
40: 10
30: 15
20: 20

no team in the league came close to that many players at any of the levels from 50 down. Last year, the Flames did the following:

80: 1
70: 1
60: 2
50: 2
40: 6
30: 8
20: 12

And for this year (being wildly optimistic) I will predict:

80: 1 (I think Gaudreau gets 90+)
70: 2
60: 3
50: 5
40: 8
30: 12
20: 15

That would be lights-out, and would likely have the Flames in the top 10 for offense.

[zukes]

105 and 2nd in the division, that is all that matters.

[FBI]

Scorp 25+56=81

[TheScorpion]

Originally Posted by FBI

Scorp 25+56=81

I'm done math forever, ok?

I meant 66.

[Flamesfan2010]

Originally Posted by Fire

Gaudreau - 22 G 68 A 90 Pts
Monahan - 30 G 35 A 75 Pts
Lindholm - 19 G 32 A 51 Pts
Tkachuk - 28 G 30 A 58 Pts
Backlund - 19 G 19 A 38 Pts
Neal - 25 G 20 A 45 Pts
Bennett - 15 G 15 A 30 Pts
Jankowski - 15 G 15 A 30 Pts
Ryan - 13 G 18 A 31 Pts
Frolik - 9 G 17 A 26 Pts
Czarnik - 12 G 15 A 27 Pts
Lazar - 1G 3A 4 Pts
Hathaway - 5 G 7 A 12 Pts
Brouwer - 0 G 0 A 0 Pts
Foo - 3 G 2 A 5 Pts
Dube - 3 G 6 A 9 Pts


Brodie - 5 G 30 A 35 Pts
Giordano - 13 G 30 A 43 Pts
Hanifin - 13 G 25 A 38 Pts
Hamonic - 2 G 15 A 17 Pts
Kulak - 2 G 7 A 9 Pts
Stone - 3 G 6 A 9 Pts
Andersson - 2 G 8 A 10 Pts

Smith - 55GP, 2.40 GAA, .921 SV%
Rittich - 27GP, 2.65 GAA, .911 SV%
Gillies - 5 GP, 2.80 GAA, .905 SV%

Total: 259 Goals

Big jump from last season but I think it's possible.

That's some interesting math on Monahan

[GranteedEV]

This is a fun game. I'll play.

Gaudreau - 40 G 55 A 95 Pts

Monahan - 40 G 30 A 70 Pts
Tkachuk - 30 G 35 A 65 Pts

Lindholm - 14 G 32 A 46 Pts
Neal - 26 G 19 A 45 Pts
Bennett - 19 G 25 A 44 Pts

Jankowski - 14 G 22 A 36 Pts
Frolik - 14 G 16 A 30 Pts

Ryan - 10 G 18 A 28 Pts
Czarnik - 13 G 14 A 27 Pts


Brodie - 6 G 48 A 54 Pts
Giordano - 14 G 38 A 52 Pts

Hanifin - 12 G 22 A 34 Pts

Hamonic - 2 G 13 A 14 Pts
Kulak - 4 G 10 A 14 Pts
Andersson - 2 G 9 A 11 Pts

Stragglers: 10G

270 goals scored

Smith - 54GP, 2.18 GAA, .923 SV%
Rittich - 28GP, 1.98 GAA, .929 SV%
Gillies - 5 GP, 2.65 GAA, .909 SV%

192 goals allowed

+78 goal differential

lol

[djsFlames]

Gaudreau 28-65-93
Monahan 37-35-72
Neal 27-29-56

Tkachuk 24-35-59
Backlund 14-28-42
Lindholm 18-30-48

Jankowski 15-23-38
Ryan 14-22-36
Bennett 20-14-34

Frolik 9-16-25
Czarnik 8-13-21
Brouwer 5-10-15

Foo 5-4-9
Lazar 2-6-8
Hathaway 0-3-3

---

Giordano 12-24-36
Brodie 5-36-41

Hanifin 10-28-38
Hamonic 4-14-18

Stone 5-10-15
Kulak 4-13-17

Andersson 2-5-7
Valimaki 0-4-4

270 GF, would've been tied for 3rd in the league last season with Colorado. Crazy to think so? Maybe, but not unrealistic numbers for all given many are younger players continuing to develop and the recent acquisitions can all produce on top of that. (However in reality there are probably 1-2 "busts" in there - I fear Bennett is one, but took the positive outlook here - and probably am overshooting by 20 goals)

---

Smith
61 starts - %.922
Rittich
21 starts - %.917

[ricardodw]

Who gets to play on the Flames PP?

Gaudreau
Tkachuk
Monahan
Gio
Neal
---
Lindhom
Backlund
Brodie
Hafinin
Czarnik
Ryan

If the 1st pp guys come reach what most are predicting to get around 3 minutes a game on the PP and they all will have to get 20+ pp pts.

The Flames have shed themselves of Hamilton 2:40 pp / gm 6+6 pp ts and Ferland 1:50 6 +0 = 6 pp pts

They added
Lindholm 2:37 6+3 = 9 PP Pts
Hanifin 1:48 1+6 = 7 PP pts
Ryan 2:01 3+4 = 7 PP pts
Neal 2:27 5+4 = 9 PP pts
Czarnik had 13 of his 25 goals and 30 of his 69 pts on the PP in Providence.

Some players are going to have their PP time cut from what they got last year.


Frolik, Bennett, Jankowski will not see any PP time.

The doing great/ vastly exceeding expectations range for Bennett and Jankowski (assuming no PP pts) and 3rd line minutes is a lot closer to 25-30 pts than 40 pts.

30 Even strength pts was good for 149 th in forward scoring

26 even strength pts was good for 190 th in forward scoring.

149/31 = 4.8

190/ 31 = 6.2


To get 26-30 ES points fits in as the 5-6th highest scoring forward on the average NHL team.

[The Cobra]

Originally Posted by goflamesgo18

It's looking like a very deep team for next season. There's only a couple forwards that aren't capable of 40 pts in a full season I'd say. (Brouwer and Hathaway)

Give your Predictions based on a minimum of 70 GP. Here are mine:

Gaudreau - 94
Monahan - 70
Lindholm - 55
Tkachuk - 72
Backlund - 47
Neal - 55
Bennett - 40
Jankowski - 43
Ryan - 37
Frolik - 32
Czarnik - 36
Lazar - 23
Hathaway - 14
Brouwer - 22
Foo - 36
Dube - 23


Brodie - 47
Giordano - 50
Hanifin - 38
Hamonic - 21
Andersson - 27
Kulak - 12
Stone - 19

Smith - 57GP, 2.47 GAA, .923 SV%
Gilles - 20GP, 2.81GAA, .913SV%

You've got your 10-12 forwards getting 32, 26 and 36 points. That's a lot of production for a 4th line.

And your 5th line is getting 22, 23 and 23 points.

And Hathaway is getting 14 points to boot.

You high ends numbers look realistic, but you won't get that type of production from players playing bottom 6 and beyond minutes.