so here's my thoughts on everyone right now. Maybe it triggers discussion, maybe you think it's a load of bullcrap, maybe it puts heat on me. But if it does, you at least won't try to lynch me without me posting my thoughts first this time
DropIt accused me of flip-flopping a bit these past few days, and he's right. The truth is that with this game being a.) a vanilla set-up and b.) pretty slow without a ton of action, there's really not a lot to base your feelings on. And guess what, impressions can change when you re-read stuff (especially once players are cardflipped). I feel the way this game has been going these past few days has benefitted the last Oiler tremendously. A torn town, slow play, late panic moves. Let the town pick itself apart, right? It needs to change at some point, we need to turn this around.
SCORNFIRE
why he's a Flame: was the deciding vote on Bonded on day 1. I just don't see how that vote would have been a good strategy for mafia on day 1 (unless they thought they still had time to shift blame later that day, but that's risky), voting agulati would have made way more sense. Has been active and made good points along the way I thought.
why he's an Oiler: has sat back today, which makes sense for mafia when the town is split like that. Hasn't been nightkilled despite giving most of us a town feeling. Is a new player and GGG made a point about not killing new players.
WINNIPEGFAN
why he's a Flame: has revenge-voted and picked fights along the way - not exactly an ideal town strategy here, but would be too risky if you want to stay under the radar. As is daring a player to outvote himself, by the way.
why he's an Oiler: unnecessarily set up GGGs suicide on day 2. Is a new player and GGG made a point about not killing new players.
Said it before, I don't like his play a lot but there's obviously a steep learning curve in this game.
MRKAJZ44
why he's a Flame: has been active these past few days, more a driver than a passenger (at least that's the impression I get). There was a past game where I was convinced he was mafia (and he was), this feels different somehow. But that's more gut feeling than anything else.
why he's an Oiler: the only player left who hasn't voted for one of the two Oilers. That can happen for a number of reasons, obviously. Had a heavy hand in setting up a tie on day 5.
PUXLUT
why she's a Flame: voted for Bonded on day 1. Here vote was the 4th on him, setting up a three-way tie with agulati and Scornfire with 3 votes to go. If she's mafia, then that's a really weird play. Voting either agulati or Scornfire in that situation would have been an easy play.
why she's an Oiler: I don't have a whole lot here, to be honest. She seems to sit back and fly under the radar a bit, but that might just be my impression again. Didn't break a tie on day 5, but I can't really hold it against her that she wasn't going to be bullied into a vote.
HOCKEYGUY15
why he's a Flame: was on the GGG train on day 2. Obviously not impossible, especially given he's an experienced player. But after losing an Oiler on day 1, it's a risky play for sure.
why he's an Oiler: very good and experienced player, but hasn't been nightkilled. I suspected this could be a ploy by the remaining Oiler to get him killed, but it was DropIt who raised the question and it's still a legit one. Didn't break a tie on day 5, but I can't really hold it against him that he wasn't going to be bullied into a vote.
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after re-reading all that stuff, I think HG makes sense. He and GGG have been in cahoots before (was it the Genius game?) and on day 1 they almost try too hard to separate from each other. GGG even throws a vote at him. Hockeyguy then asks really early on whether we should give the mod tips on who to investigate. Then their votes sit on different players - but too bad, the Bonded train is in motion and they can't help their mafia buddy without raising suspicions. Knowing that GGG probably can't be saved, they separate even further on day 2. HG as the proxy can't get outed (and they take down the mod with GGGs fake reveal, anyway) and gets town cred. It's a long play, but if they feel GGG is doomed then it's the only one they have in that situation. The nightkills make sense and point to an experienced player as well IMO. The last one is a bit curious, but there's probably worse ideas than offing the one who was close to being lynched anyway. Why give town more info than they need, right?
I'm thinking town in regards to Scornfire and WinnipegFan. Not 100% sure about the others, but HG is my pick at this point.
