Playoff Push - Strength of Schedule

[djsFlames]

Originally Posted by dissentowner

I think the Ducks have the easiest path followed by the Flames. I think the Kings and Avs are going to fall out for sure. Why no SJ??

Flames are going to make a push only to land the ####ing Ducks, aren't they.

I mean revenge would be gravy, but just playing that team takes a toll on one's health.

[Gaskal]

Added the Blues and edited OP.

Spoiler!

I was originally gonna wait until after the Jets and Preds game to judge, but they have it about as hard as anyone immediately after that. 14 of their remaining 21 games are against teams either comfortably in a spot, or fighting tooth and nail for one. They could be in serious trouble after the next 10 if they don't pick it back up.

As for getting the Ducks in round one again... it's possible if both teams come in at #2 and #3 in the Pacific.

[EVERLAST]

I wanna make the playoffs and get matched up with the ducks and beat them.

I want this team to discover what it's like to play like a team and learn its okay to fight, get bloody knuckles, not give up and win.

This lesson I want so badly for them. I miss watching a team that pushes back, doesn't give up so damn easily and wants to endure whatever just to be better at it.

There's still time for this team to do this. These guys need to go through something like this and feel what it's like .....we as fans deserve it too as we stick by this team it seems no matter what.

Love my flames and just want to cheer them on.

[Classic_Sniper]

Originally Posted by Gaskal

Here is a comparison and some observations of Calgary's schedule along with those teams we are directly competing against for spots.

• Calgary probably has the easiest remaining schedule, even if I decided not to mark the Grease as "freebies" for us.
• Compared to everyone else, we play 3 games against the Wildcards and 6 against the Pacific Top 3 - we are most in control of our own destiny IMO (since we want that top 3 spot).
• If it truly comes down to the final couple weeks, we have a bunch of games of Wild Cards vs Pacific Top 3 teams in that time. Good time for some OOT scoreboard help.
• These next 10 games should help Calgary get their mojo rolling and get some important points before they hit the Californian gauntlet.

Green = Gimme
Blue = WC
Red = Top 3 Pacific

Well done, been looking at the strength of schedule for a while now. All the Pacific teams have pretty similar schedules in terms of difficulty which is why I believe a Pacific spot may be too difficult to obtain.

The wildcard looks more like a possibility though. Dallas has a murderer's row of opponents so they're in tough. St. Louis is slightly easier. Followed by Minnesota then Colorado. Lot of head to heads so they'll be taking points from each other. Hopefully we can continue to gather up points and these guys continue to lose.

[Classic_Sniper]

Originally Posted by Gaskal

Added the Blues and edited OP.

I was originally gonna wait until after the Jets and Preds game to judge, but they have it about as hard as anyone immediately after that. 14 of their remaining 21 games are against teams either comfortably in a spot, or fighting tooth and nail for one. They could be in serious trouble after the next 10 if they don't pick it back up.

As for getting the Ducks in round one again... it's possible if both teams come in at #2 and #3 in the Pacific.

Sort of lukewarm on the idea of Chicago playing St Louis 3 more times. Chicago has sort of given up on their season, but at the same time they're each other's biggest rival I believe, so I'm not sure if it'll as easy an out. Hopefully Chicago plays with some serious pride in their home and home to end the season.

[jg13]

Originally Posted by Trolleydodger

How is Buffalo a gimme? They have only won there once in 20 years.

Eichel is out for the season and Kane is gone at the deadline not to mention they are trying to lose games.

If we can't spank that team while we're fighting for our playoff lives we don't deserve to make.

[Tsawwassen]

After Thursday's games
fasten your seatbelts, it's going to be wild from here on in!

Sharks and Kings won in regulation
Stars lost in overtime
Wild lost in regulation


3. Winnipeg (37-17-9) 35 ROW, 83 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (36-21-7) 33 ROW, 79 pts--third in the Central Division
5. San Jose (35-21-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--second in the Pacific Division
6. Los Angeles (36-24-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--third in the Pacific Division
7. Dallas (36-23-5) 32 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Central Division
8. Anaheim (31-21-12) 27 ROW, 74 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

St. Louis (35-26-4) 32 ROW, 74 pts--fifth in the Central Division
Colorado (34-24-5) 33 ROW, 73 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-24-9) 30 ROW, 73 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division

The 2 teams that are ahead of the Sharks won't be listed unless they fall closer to the pack. The Knights are 4 points up on the Jets and the Predators are 2 points up on the Knights. Can't believe the Bhawks are not on the radar as they are 12 back of the Ducks.

[Toonage]

I hope its a wild ride, that would suggest the Flames are still in it.

I suspect however, it will be like watching a rollercoaster from a park bench while resting your feet.

[Aarongavey]

Originally Posted by Tsawwassen

After Thursday's games
fasten your seatbelts, it's going to be wild from here on in!

Sharks and Kings won in regulation
Stars lost in overtime
Wild lost in regulation


3. Winnipeg (37-17-9) 35 ROW, 83 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (36-21-7) 33 ROW, 79 pts--third in the Central Division
5. San Jose (35-21-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--second in the Pacific Division
6. Los Angeles (36-24-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--third in the Pacific Division
7. Dallas (36-23-5) 32 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Central Division
8. Anaheim (31-21-12) 27 ROW, 74 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

St. Louis (35-26-4) 32 ROW, 74 pts--fifth in the Central Division
Colorado (34-24-5) 33 ROW, 73 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-24-9) 30 ROW, 73 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division

The 2 teams that are ahead of the Sharks won't be listed unless they fall closer to the pack. The Knights are 4 points up on the Jets and the Predators are 2 points up on the Knights. Can't believe the Bhawks are not on the radar as they are 12 back of the Ducks.

If Colorado keeps up their current winning percentage (as they are in 8th by winning percentage) the Flames need to go 11-5-1 down the stretch to beat them.

That is a. 676 winning percentage, or would be a 111 point pace over an entire year. Only Tampa, Boston, Nashville and Vegas have been better than that pace throughout the year so far. They cannot play as poorly as the Winnipeg Jets have this year, as that will not be good enough if Colorado maintains their pace.

This is predicated on the Avs going 11-8 and having less than 3 of those 11 wins being in a shootout.

[Gaskal]

I've been updating the spreadsheet daily as game results roll in, so here's the Google Drive link for all. Added color coding for how adversely/well they affect the Flames playoff chances.

2017-18 Playoffs SOS

You can see how devastating this week was for us - after a great end to last week where we picked up two wins coupled by a surprisingly good OOT, we got 2 regulation losses in 4 pts games while everyone else in the race picked up points. Absolutely need a win tonight just to keep pace.




Also a fair warning, I've already spent a ridiculous amount of time nervously staring at this chart already. Like a stupid amount of time.

[flamestar16]

Originally Posted by Gaskal

I've been updating the spreadsheet daily as game results roll in, so here's the Google Drive link for all. Added color coding for how adversely/well they affect the Flames playoff chances.

2017-18 Playoffs SOS

You can see how devastating this week was for us - after a great end to last week where we picked up two wins coupled by a surprisingly good OOT, we got 2 regulation losses in 4 pts games while everyone else in the race picked up points. Absolutely need a win tonight just to keep pace.




Also a fair warning, I've already spent a ridiculous amount of time nervously staring at this chart already. Like a stupid amount of time.

It is interesting that the California only have one game between each other the rest of the way (LA@ANA). Maybe that is good for Flames? Who knows.

[Aarongavey]

Update, after tonight with the Flames losing and the Avs winning, if the Avs keep up their current winning percentage the Flames will need to go 12-4 to make the playoffs.

That would be a. 750 winning percentage and a 123 point pace over an entire season. Go Flames Go

[Psytic]

Stick a Fork in it unfortunately

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Aarongavey

Update, after tonight with the Flames losing and the Avs winning, if the Avs keep up their current winning percentage the Flames will need to go 12-4 to make the playoffs.

That would be a. 750 winning percentage and a 123 point pace over an entire season. Go Flames Go

Watch them go 11-5

[Tsawwassen]

After Friday's games

Avs, Ducks, and Jets won in regulation
Wild lost in regulation


3. Winnipeg (38-17-9) 36 ROW, 85 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (36-22-7) 33 ROW, 79 pts--third in the Central Division
5. San Jose (35-21-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--second in the Pacific Division
6. Los Angeles (36-24-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--third in the Pacific Division
7. Dallas (36-23-5) 32 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Central Division
8. Anaheim (32-21-12) 28 ROW, 76 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

Colorado (35-24-5) 34 ROW, 75 pts--fifth in the Central Division
St. Louis (35-26-4) 32 ROW, 74 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-25-9) 30 ROW, 73 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division

The 2 teams that are ahead of the Jets won't be listed unless they fall closer to the pack. The Knights are 2 points up on the Jets and the Predators are 4 points up on the Knights.

[Tsawwassen]

After Saturday's games

Stars won in overtime
Blues lost in overtime
Kings lost in regulation


3. Winnipeg (38-17-9) 36 ROW, 85 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Dallas (37-23-5) 33 ROW, 79 pts--third in the Central Division
5. Minnesota (36-22-7) 33 ROW, 79 pts--fourth in the Central Division
6. San Jose (35-21-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--second in the Pacific Division
7. Los Angeles (36-25-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--third in the Pacific Division
8. Anaheim (32-21-12) 28 ROW, 76 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

Colorado (35-24-5) 34 ROW, 75 pts--fifth in the Central Division
St. Louis (35-26-5) 32 ROW, 75 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-25-9) 30 ROW, 73 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division

[Gaskal]

For the next little while...


Save us Ovechkin!!
Save us Subban!!

[Otto-matic]

You know what screw it. Gonna be positive for the stretch run still lots of hockey left and anything can happen.

Go Flames Go

[442scotty]

5 points out for the last wild card now... they better go 3-0 on the road trip ... would be nice... buuuuuut probably not gonna happen

[Tsawwassen]

After Sunday's games

Ducks, Jets, and Wild won in regulation
Avalanche lost in overtime
Sharks lost in regulation


3. Winnipeg (39-17-9) 37 ROW, 87 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (37-22-7) 34 ROW, 81 pts--third in the Central Division
5. Dallas (37-23-5) 33 ROW, 79 pts--fourth in the Central Division
6. San Jose (35-22-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--second in the Pacific Division
7. Anaheim (33-21-12) 29 ROW, 78 pts--third in the Pacific Division
8. Los Angeles (36-25-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

Colorado (35-24-6) 34 ROW, 76 pts--fifth in the Central Division
St. Louis (35-26-5) 32 ROW, 75 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-25-9) 30 ROW, 73 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division