New 2024 Degenerate Football gambling thread

[Junglist]

Tell me who to bet on, going to the gas station after breakfast and a shower! lol

[Junglist]

Very happy my proline over is 44.5

[blender]

9-5-1 ATS this week.
Maybe I should bet money...lol

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by blender

9-5-1 ATS this week.
Maybe I should bet money...lol

Three weeks ago I was 12-1-1...I bet two games that week...one was S.F. +5 5 which was my one loss.

Bet them all if you're going to go that route would be my advice.

[GirlySports]

Some picks this week

1. Rams @ 49ers -3

Take the Niners, Rams coming off a high.

2. Baltimore @ NY Giants +16

Do I need to explain the rationale again? Big favorites bad

3. KC @ Cleveland Under 44

It's probably gonna be like 16-13

4. Washington @ New Orleans + 7.5

Still not sure Washington is good

5. Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia -5

I think the Eagles are going to beat the everloving #### out of this team and we're now due for AJ Brown to put up 200 yards and 3 TDs

6. Buffalo @ Detroit over 54.5

You cannot make this over high enough

[Sylvanfan]

I'd play over in the Buffalo and Detroit up to 58.5.

Anyone to cover vs K.C on a spread greater than +1.5 has been a great bet this year.

[transplant99]

NFL betting favorites -- known as the chalk -- have won 183 games outright this season, five shy of the all-time mark set in 2005, with Week 18 pending. The favored team has won 71.8% of games entering the final week, the highest winning percentage for chalk since 2005 and second-best since the NFL adopted a 16-game schedule in 1978, according to ESPN Research.

Sportsbooks got off to a hot start to the season, with underdogs springing 26 upsets in September, the second-most ever for the opening month. Nevada sportsbooks won a net $80.9 million in September, the most lucrative month in the state's 75-year betting history.

But the upsets dwindled during the final three months of the season, and favorites have been cooking in December. Favorites won as many as 15 of 16 games in Week 17 (the point spread varied on the Green Bay Packers-Minnesota Vikings and Tennessee Titans Jacksonville Jaguars games). Overall in December, favorites are 56-17 straight-up, a 76.7% win rate, the second-highest for the month in the last 50 seasons.

https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/st...istoric-season

[GirlySports]

Good. I won quite a few proline tickets on favorites. For example all the college football favorites last week. Bettors need consistency. Parity sucks.

[GirlySports]

Taking some overs since defenses probably don't care this week


1. Bengals @ Steelers Over 48

No defense is going to be played and as long as the heavy snow falls today, a little cold shouldn't keep this one low.

2. Panthers @ Falcons Over 48

The Panthers seem to be giving up 48 points themselves every other week.

3. Jags @ Colts Over 43.5

Another indoor game that shouldn't feature much defense.

4. Seahawks @ Rams Over 38.5

Yeah, it's Jimmy G throwing to Random McWideout, but I don't think that the score's gonna be this low.


5. Vikings @ Lions Over 56

You know the deal. They can't make this over high enough.

[calgarygeologist]

Does anyone know if there is a website that has tracked all the NFL analyst's prop bets throughout the season? I'd be interested in knowing how good these guys have been and which one is the best.

[Hockey]

Maybe action network

[Sylvanfan]

Well I played the sucker parlay of Bills, Ravens, and Eagles to win. Should cash that one early as I think the Eagles cruise here.

My under 42 on the Texans and Chargers got blown up by that one overthrow plus that 2 going the other way... 13-6 after 44 and a half minutes looked like a dead nuts under.

Did get under 44.5 in the Steelers and Ravens.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Minnesota -2.5 is a gift, I'm going in big on this one.

I have Minnesota still as the #1 overall team statistically (I think Detroit and Baltimore are better but the Vikings are still legitimately good), and the Rams are bottom 10. This is a small line for such a mismatch, I don't care where the game is being played.

Can i repeat this prediction?

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Can i repeat this prediction?

Your risk!

Hard to say if the Rams will be fully focused given the situation in L.A.

I think under 47.5 is something I prefer over either side in this game. I'm skeptical as to how Darnold will play in a playoff game. If he doesn't crack...I'll be wrong and losing by the end of the 3rd quarter.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Your risk!

Hard to say if the Rams will be fully focused given the situation in L.A.

I think under 47.5 is something I prefer over either side in this game. I'm skeptical as to how Darnold will play in a playoff game. If he doesn't crack...I'll be wrong and losing by the end of the 3rd quarter.

Yeah. I can't believe that the Vikings went 14-3 losing the Lions twice and THAT game. I still haven't recovered.