Didn't know where else to put this, but it seems kind of related.
In the Hockey Guy's latest video, he talks about doing a standing video for American Thanksgiving because it is usually a good indicator for making the playoffs. He said that typically, 12-16 of the teams that are above the playoff line on American Thanksgiving, are the same teams that are above the playoff line at the end of the season.
I have no idea if that stat is true, but if so, it's not a pleasant thought.
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"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
Didn't know where else to put this, but it seems kind of related.
In the Hockey Guy's latest video, he talks about doing a standing video for American Thanksgiving because it is usually a good indicator for making the playoffs. He said that typically, 12-16 of the teams that are above the playoff line on American Thanksgiving, are the same teams that are above the playoff line at the end of the season.
I have no idea if that stat is true, but if so, it's not a pleasant thought.
Sure it's true, Peter Maher used to always pull that stat out around this time of year.
Didn't know where else to put this, but it seems kind of related.
In the Hockey Guy's latest video, he talks about doing a standing video for American Thanksgiving because it is usually a good indicator for making the playoffs. He said that typically, 12-16 of the teams that are above the playoff line on American Thanksgiving, are the same teams that are above the playoff line at the end of the season.
I have no idea if that stat is true, but if so, it's not a pleasant thought.
It's true simply because most of the good teams have risen to the top already, and most of the bad teams have settled to the bottom.
Where it is misleading however, is that it implies teams can't move up or down afterwards, like things are set in stone. They are not. Notice it says 12 out of 16, not 16 out of 16.
If a team is holding a spot, but plays poorly the rest of the way, they will lose that spot. Conversely, if a team plays well the rest of the way, they will move up. (This is true, whether you consider this stat or not)
It's true simply because most of the good teams have risen to the top already, and most of the bad teams have settled to the bottom.
Where it is misleading however, is that it implies teams can't move up or down afterwards, like things are set in stone. They are not. Notice it says 12 out of 16, not 16 out of 16.
If a team is holding a spot, but plays poorly the rest of the way, they will lose that spot. Conversely, if a team plays well the rest of the way, they will move up. (This is true, whether you consider this stat or not)
Don't confuse correlation with causation.
He actually said 12 to 16 in a typical year, not 12 of 16. That implies there can be some movement, but also not a lot and it isn’t a given that there will be.
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"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
He actually said 12 to 16 in a typical year, not 12 of 16. That implies there can be some movement, but also not a lot and it isn’t a given that there will be.
Didn't know where else to put this, but it seems kind of related.
In the Hockey Guy's latest video, he talks about doing a standing video for American Thanksgiving because it is usually a good indicator for making the playoffs. He said that typically, 12-16 of the teams that are above the playoff line on American Thanksgiving, are the same teams that are above the playoff line at the end of the season.
I have no idea if that stat is true, but if so, it's not a pleasant thought.
That stat gets kicked around every couple of years. But's it's kind of the equivalent of political polling, give me a 25% sample, and I can predict the final result with 90% accuracy. The problem is you can't pick out which 90% will be accurate, and which 10% will deviate, if you could do that it would mean something.
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