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Old 06-14-2019, 09:03 AM   #1
sureLoss
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Icon35 Isles re-sign Jordan Eberle (5 years, $5.5mil AAV)

https://www.nhl.com/islanders/news/e...ct/c-307850478

Pierre LeBrun @PierreVLeBrun
$5.5 million AAV per season for Eberle. Five years.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:06 AM   #2
SuperMatt18
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Thats a good deal for the Islanders IMO

Buying low on him but I think he's better than he played last season.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:06 AM   #3
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Solid deal if he bounces back at all. Even if he doesn't he's still a ~20 goal scorer and it's not a handcuffing length or AAV.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:06 AM   #4
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Damn, he is one guy that I think would have looked good in the Flaming C.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:06 AM   #5
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Has he been cleansed of his Oiler stench?
Looks like a good signing to me based on his recent performance.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:06 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by sureLoss View Post
https://www.nhl.com/islanders/news/e...ct/c-307850478

Pierre LeBrun @PierreVLeBrun
$5.5 million AAV per season for Eberle. Five years.
@EvolvingWild predicted Eberle's 5 year deal would come in at $5.76M per year. I'm amazed at how close they are for most contracts.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:07 AM   #7
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5.5x5 is the new 6x6.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:08 AM   #8
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That leaves Anders Lee and Robin Lehner as the big names left for Lou to sign. Could the Isles let their captain walk? Seems possible now.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:19 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
Thats a good deal for the Islanders IMO

Buying low on him but I think he's better than he played last season.
I think it's fair value for a one dimensional winger that scores 20 goals a season while being a ghost on the ice most nights and will be likely bought out before the deal expires.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:26 AM   #10
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Compared to other contacts, this seems like a good deal
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:26 AM   #11
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Well....hes no Jeff Skinner.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:32 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by burnitdown View Post
@EvolvingWild predicted Eberle's 5 year deal would come in at $5.76M per year. I'm amazed at how close they are for most contracts.
It misses the mark huge on some like Kulak

I feel like semi knowledgeable people simply guessing is just as accurate.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:44 AM   #13
sureLoss
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per capfriendly full NTC in first 2 years, 16 team no trade list in the final 3 years.
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Old 06-14-2019, 09:52 AM   #14
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It misses the mark huge on some like Kulak

I feel like semi knowledgeable people simply guessing is just as accurate.
No model will ever be able to predict everything...but it's often quite close. Read the message boards over the next few weeks and see how many people are shocked with the price of contracts. Guaranteed even very knowledgeable hockey fans would do way worse than a prediction model, as our biases are way more present.

I think the more interesting question is why are they so far off on certain contracts? Does the model just suck? Or when it misses, is that just signalling a likely steal/overpay? If Kulak was any other defenceman drafted in a the first couple rounds, would people have complained with paying $3M AAV over 3 years to a 25 year old, 4/5 D that established himself as a 20+ min guy the last couple months of the season?
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Old 06-14-2019, 10:09 AM   #15
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Is Skinner really worth 3.5m a year more for 3 extra years? Really casts a bad light on that deal. Good deal for the isles, Eberle should be able to put up 100k/point.
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Old 06-14-2019, 10:22 AM   #16
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Contract Extension
5 years / $5.5M AAV ($27.5M total value)

2019-20: $5.25M Base + $2M SB
2020-21: $4.75M Base
2021-22: $7M Base
2022-23: $4.75M
2023-24: $3.75M

* Full NTC years 1 & 2, Mod NTC in years 3 to 5 (16 team no trade)
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Old 06-14-2019, 10:29 AM   #17
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This is a fantastic deal, particularly on the heels of that Skinner debacle. That's the difference between having a good contract year and a bad one, right there.
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Old 06-14-2019, 10:37 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by Fire of the Phoenix View Post
Is Skinner really worth 3.5m a year more for 3 extra years? Really casts a bad light on that deal. Good deal for the isles, Eberle should be able to put up 100k/point.
You're comparing a player that scored 19 goals to one that scored 40 goals. Give me the 40 goal scorer.
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Old 06-14-2019, 10:39 AM   #19
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per capfriendly full NTC in first 2 years,
16 team no trade list in the final 3 years.
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
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Old 06-14-2019, 10:54 AM   #20
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Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton
Yeah, his list will be submitted on time.

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