Quote:
Originally Posted by 1qqaaz
On April 9, only 5 teams had fewer points than Calgary.
The difference between 6th OA and 11/12th overall (this is where the Flames will pick) is a lot.
It's easily worth more than a late first. In fact, this amount might even be worth more than Monahan. Especially when you consider the fact that there is a tier between the top 8 and the picks afterwards.
Also, at 6th OA you have a 15.2% chance of winning the lottery. Rather than 6.3%.
And the prospects might be "middling", but they're also the best non-CHL prospects the Flames have.
I'm not sure how much you've followed the Heat this year, but Phillips and Mackey were great and deserve to play. And even moreso, they deserve to be developed.
|
Is that a fact? Every single year people say stuff like this and every year there are players picked after the supposed ledge that are better than the ones within it. The difference between 6th and 11th is the worse odds that you have noted for the lottery and then it's a difference between two unknowns. The consternation about this is overblown. We've all seen how drafts play out and acting like this is a certain catastrophe because of a few spots is absurd.
2019
6. Moritz Seider (also taken before 12th: Dylan Cozens, Trevor Zegras, Vasily Podkolzin)
12. Matthew Boldy (also available: Spencer Knight, Cole Caulfield, Alex Newhook)
2018
6. Filip Zadina (Quinn Hughes, Vitali Kravtsov, Evan Bouchard)
12. Noah Dobson (Joel Farabee, Rasmus Sandin, K'Andre Miller)
2017
6. Cody Glass (Casey Mittelstadt, Owen Tippett, Gabriel Vilardi)
12. Martin Necas (Nick Suzuki, Josh Norris, Robert Thomas)
2016
6. Matthew Tkachuk (Clayton Keller, Mikahil Sergachev, Tyson Jost)
12. Michael McLeod (Charlie McAvoy, Jakob Chychrun, Jake Bean)
2015
6. Pavel Zacha (Ivan Provorov, Mikko Rantanen, Zach Werenski)
12. Denis Gurianov (Mathew Barzal, Kyle Connor, Thomas Chabot)
Sure, moving down a few spots is less exciting when it comes to the draft, but it's only a little bit less exciting.
I don't get how people think it would work taking into account the coaching staff and players on the team. How are you supposed to purposely lose without consequences to the the culture and atmosphere of the team?