Really.... I hate to point this out...but if I were to use your math... Gaudreau would be at 82 goals... I took some statistical liberties in my calculations - to get fairer numbers. You see, if someone scored 10 goals in 20 games one year, and then 20 in 60 games - their career "seasonal" high is really 20 goals... weighting that, you get 27 goals... if I were to take their non-career high, but their higher goals per game season, I'd get 41 goals... but I feel that 27 goals is more realistic... don't you? I hope Johnny scores 82 goals.... I really DO!
You really need to learn how periods work
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If Rattie gets more goals than Brouwer I will be amazed.
Other impact that isn't being discussed is that GG is now an assistant coach in Edmonton, There will be some trickle down mismanagement even if he isn't the HC...
Keep on keeping on guys! Over a long enough timeline the Gulutzan system is the best system! Know the system! Trust the system! Love the system!
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Originally Posted by JackIsBack
Really.... I hate to point this out...but if I were to use your math... Gaudreau would be at 82 goals... I took some statistical liberties in my calculations - to get fairer numbers. You see, if someone scored 10 goals in 20 games one year, and then 20 in 60 games - their career "seasonal" high is really 20 goals... weighting that, you get 27 goals... if I were to take their non-career high, but their higher goals per game season, I'd get 41 goals... but I feel that 27 goals is more realistic... don't you? I hope Johnny scores 82 goals.... I really DO!
So Johnny potting 30 goals in ~a full season isn't an accurate reflection of his potential.
But Ty Rattie....the guy who has 9 total NHL goals in 49 games (15 goal/82 game pace) should be given the benefit of a 14 game sample size to extrapolate to 29 goals?
Checks out to me.
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Creepy "Hunter" creeps up on women. Then proceeds to throw his tire into traffic, which they have to cut/edit becuase it probably hit a car. Well done Edmonton!
E=NG
What the hell was that?
Kitty roadkill.
Hunter is no good.
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Connor McDavid fell in his lap. He didn't have to try hard for that one. The Stanley Cup in Boston may earn you some job security, but he traded away Tyler Seguin for vastly under value. Comes to Edmonton, and trades away Hall for Larsson, (vast downgrade) and Eberle for Strome (lateral move, at best). He lands the oilers in near cap jail, and the only thing he has managed to do is somehow make them worse, year after year. It is truly quite entertaining to watch as a flames fan. From a business perspective, if I were Oilers ownership, I would want him gone before he continues putting more holes in an already sinking ship.
The tenderness with 32 goals. Now I've seen it all. Just pure lunacy.
Neugent Hopkins getting 32 goals as a 25 year old having just gotten 24 goals with 3/4 of a season I can see an optimistic October Oilers fan hope. Its the 31 goal Lucic that is insane, as a 30 year old with 10 goals the year prior.
Neugent Hopkins getting 32 goals as a 25 year old having just gotten 24 goals with 3/4 of a season I can see an optimistic October Oilers fan hope. Its the 31 goal Lucic that is insane, as a 30 year old with 10 goals the year prior.
Bolded is the important part as he only has two seasons with 80 or more games.
457/540*82= an average of 69 games a season for his career. He would need to score at a ~40 goal pace to hit 32. That lucic prediction is definitely far fetched as well, but at least he's scored 30 before.
Let's use more realistic numbers based on say their career averages over 75 games since they're going to miss time for injury and this list has 13 forwards and 7 defensemen who can't all play the same 82 games. Numbers rounded up to the next highest goal to be nice to Edmonton(meaning we're being about 10 goals too generous to the Oilers)
So while it's possible if the entire Oilers team is healthy and hits weighted career highs and they ice 20 skaters per game instead of 18 they could hit 332 goals, a much more realistic number is 224 aka they're still no good and still not going to make the playoffs.
Oh wait I forgot Yamamoto is the same size as Gaudreau and they drafted him in the first round so he's going to be even better and save the Oilers. The talking heads were idiots thinking the Oilers were going to do anything last year and they'd be stupid to think anything is different this year. Just like the Cleveland Browns they're good for a fluke season about once a decade.
I think your numbers are a little off. I expect them to score in the same neighborhood as last season, 230-240 goals. The problem is the disparity that will exist between lines. The first line will score 100-120 goals. The rest of the team will score 110-120 goals. They don't have any balance in the lineup. Without McDavid driving the line, they are pretty much no good. All of them. It will be another long cold winter in Edmonton because the only way any of their players score with any consistency is to play along side McDavid. That just ain't bad, that's no good.
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