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Old 09-26-2021, 08:58 AM   #1
bizaro86
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Default COVID-19 Good News Thread 2.0

So we had a good news thread but it hasn't been posted to in over 3 months. I feel like things are pretty dark around here (and generally) so I wanted to re-start a place for good news. I have two pieces that I think are meaningful.

1) Alberta vaccine coverage just ticked over 70.0% of total population. Note this isn't eligible population, but total population. That was the amount originally estimated for herd immunity iirc. While Delta seems more transmissible, I think this is still a big milestone.

2) Cases have been down from the prior week for the last 3 days reported in a row. (and 4 of the last 5). That has turned the 7 day rolling average graph into a pretty peak. It seems probable that we are too early for the changes to have made too much difference, so this is probably an "unrestricted" peak. With the restrictions starting to bite, hopefully this drops off fast. Obviously hospitals will probably still grow/be a problem, but this is the first time in the 4th wave the light at the end of the tunnel might not be a train, so I think looking at the leading indicator is nice here.
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Old 09-26-2021, 11:41 AM   #2
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Pretty confident when /u/EsperBahamut publishes their chart this Monday, Calgary will be over 80% fully vaccinated for eligible population.

Numbers as of September 21st:
Spoiler!
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Old 09-26-2021, 12:27 PM   #3
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The good news in BC is that since the passports have come into effect, there's been increasing rates in the unvaccinated getting their shots.

The government says 87.8 per cent of all eligible adults in B.C. have received their first dose and 80.7 per cent have received their second dose.

I understand that in metro Vancouver, it's close to 90% fully vaccinated. We're getting there.
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Old 09-26-2021, 12:35 PM   #4
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Love that almost 93% for first doses in the Upper NE figure!
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Old 09-26-2021, 02:30 PM   #5
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Love that almost 93% for first doses in the Upper NE figure!
Yup, that's a real success story that doesn't get talked about enough.

For a long time, they were with the Lower NE and East Calgary at the bottom, then a strong outreach effort was made and now they lead the city in first shots.
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Old 09-26-2021, 03:42 PM   #6
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CEO of Pfizer predicts life will be back to normal within a year.

https://flip.it/Sh1tzT
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Old 09-26-2021, 10:41 PM   #7
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CEO of Pfizer predicts life will be back to normal within a year.

https://flip.it/Sh1tzT
Bill Gates said same thing last year 2020 awful, 2021 readjustment, 2022 back to life.

I get the whole stuff with him but I think deep down Bill is a caring guy. To him this is a battle I am sure he is enjoying watching science and logic play out. A strategist knows in the dark hours how to hold course because they are sure of outcome
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Old 09-27-2021, 01:54 AM   #8
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Bill Gates said same thing last year 2020 awful, 2021 readjustment, 2022 back to life.

I get the whole stuff with him but I think deep down Bill is a caring guy. To him this is a battle I am sure he is enjoying watching science and logic play out. A strategist knows in the dark hours how to hold course because they are sure of outcome
I don't think anyone would have predicted so many anti-vaxxers especially in the US where healthcare isn't free but the vaccines are, crazy to think Bill Gates was the biggest part in creating the internet the very thing that's creating the idiot anti-vaxxers to allow this pandemic to continue.
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Old 09-27-2021, 07:18 AM   #9
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crazy to think Bill Gates was the biggest part in creating the internet the very thing that's creating the idiot anti-vaxxers to allow this pandemic to continue.
what? Bill Gates had nothing to with the creation of the Internet or the World Wide Web for that matter.
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Old 09-27-2021, 08:24 AM   #10
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what? Bill Gates had nothing to with the creation of the Internet or the World Wide Web for that matter.
He created the tools to make it explode in popularity though
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Old 09-27-2021, 08:27 AM   #11
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He created the tools to make it explode in popularity though
Like? He didn't invent the web browser, they just made a really crappy one that stifled the web for a decade. They didn't invent the PC. I struggle to think of what MS did to contribute?
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Old 09-27-2021, 09:35 AM   #12
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I think this is a good news chart from CBC's Robson Fletcher. I think I saw it on his twitter a few days ago.



A fully vaxxed person in their 80's has the same hospitalization risk as an unvaxxed 30-something.

And a fully vaxxed person in their 70's has a lower hospitalization risk than an unvaxxed 20-something.

Wow. The vaccines work better that I would have hoped for. And for those of us with elderly parents, if they're fully vaxxed, maybe there's a little less to worry about.
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Old 09-27-2021, 11:50 AM   #13
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Does my math check out here? A double vaccinated 70 year old has a 1 in 2000 risk of being hospitalized with COVID?

54.6/100,000 = 0.05% = 1/2,000
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Old 09-27-2021, 11:54 AM   #14
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Does my math check out here? A double vaccinated 70 year old has a 1 in 2000 risk of being hospitalized with COVID?

54.6/100,000 = 0.05% = 1/2,000
I think that's if they catch covid, it's 1/2000. So you need to multiply by the chance of catching covid, which is incredibly variable and based on their actions as well.
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Old 09-27-2021, 12:00 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by Plett25 View Post
A fully vaxxed person in their 80's has the same hospitalization risk as an unvaxxed 30-something.

And a fully vaxxed person in their 70's has a lower hospitalization risk than an unvaxxed 20-something.

Wow. The vaccines work better that I would have hoped for. And for those of us with elderly parents, if they're fully vaxxed, maybe there's a little less to worry about.
I don't think they're directly comparable when you consider comorbidities.
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Old 09-27-2021, 12:01 PM   #16
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Does my math check out here? A double vaccinated 70 year old has a 1 in 2000 risk of being hospitalized with COVID?

54.6/100,000 = 0.05% = 1/2,000
In the last 120 days, yes. And that's a population-based rate, not just people who contract COVID. So 1 out of 2K fully vaccinated 70-79 year olds in Alberta were hospitalized for COVID in the last 4 months (compared to 1 in 92 unvaccinated ones).
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Old 10-01-2021, 07:54 AM   #17
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https://www.statnews.com/2021/10/01/...for-treatment/

Hopefully promising news on an oral therapeutic antiviral

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An investigational antiviral pill reduced the chances that patients newly diagnosed with Covid-19 would be hospitalized by about 50%, a finding that could give doctors a desperately needed new way to treat the sick, the drug maker Merck announced Friday.

A five-day course of molnupiravir, developed by Merck and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, reduced both hospitalization and death compared to a placebo. In the placebo group, 53 patients, or 14.1%, were hospitalized or died. For those who received the drug, 28, or 7.3%, were hospitalized or died
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Old 10-01-2021, 08:39 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by Plett25 View Post
I think this is a good news chart from CBC's Robson Fletcher. I think I saw it on his twitter a few days ago.



A fully vaxxed person in their 80's has the same hospitalization risk as an unvaxxed 30-something.

And a fully vaxxed person in their 70's has a lower hospitalization risk than an unvaxxed 20-something.

Wow. The vaccines work better that I would have hoped for. And for those of us with elderly parents, if they're fully vaxxed, maybe there's a little less to worry about.
THIS! This is the data that really matters right now IMO. Especially that unvaccinated 30-69 age group that is clogging up our hospitals, and certainly contributing to more and longer ICU admissions.

But no, you won't hear these stats from Kenney or the UCP -- I can't possibly imagine why...

EDIT: Sorry, didn't realize this was posted in the good news thread. So yeah... good news if you're vaccinated, the numbers don't lie!

Last edited by tvp2003; 10-01-2021 at 08:53 AM.
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Old 10-02-2021, 09:29 AM   #19
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Interesting. Basically the 'morning after pill' for Covid, taken within five day of symptoms presenting. There will also be substantial in practice evidence from the States before we see this in Canada.


https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/corona...ment-1.5607843
Reposting as this is good news, imo.
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Old 10-02-2021, 11:58 AM   #20
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Reposting as this is good news, imo.
Was curious about the cost. The US government is paying $700 per treatment (which is about ⅓ of the Monoclonal Antibody Treatment). They plan to make it free like the vaccines... for now.

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