Playoff Push - Strength of Schedule - Page 3 - Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community

Tsawwassen · 03-06-2018, 06:22 AM

After Monday's games

Flames and Stars lost in overtime

3. Winnipeg (39-17-9) 37 ROW, 87 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (37-22-7) 34 ROW, 81 pts--third in the Central Division
5. Dallas (37-23-6) 33 ROW, 80 pts--fourth in the Central Division
6. San Jose (35-22-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--second in the Pacific Division
7. Anaheim (33-21-12) 29 ROW, 78 pts--third in the Pacific Division
8. Los Angeles (36-25-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

Colorado (35-24-6) 34 ROW, 76 pts--fifth in the Central Division
St. Louis (35-26-5) 32 ROW, 75 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-25-10) 30 ROW, 74 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division

Split98 · 03-06-2018, 07:04 AM

It's pretty grim

Travis Munroe · 03-06-2018, 08:00 AM

While all games are important, 2 vs SJ, 1 vs Ana and 1 vs the kings are complete must wins and most likely for both teams in that given game. The team that loses could punch their ticket to an early golf season. (SJ can lose 1 of 2 but the flames can’t)

Buffalo, Ottawa, Arizona x 2 and Edmonton twice are also must wins against lesser opponents and will show how deep this team is willing to dig to make playoffs.

That makes for 94 points with 5 other games. Any loss in one of those must win games almost certainly requires 3 wins of the 5 extra games.... it’s getting tight but still possible if they keep the losses to the 5 opponents they can afford to lose to.

troutman · 03-06-2018, 09:58 AM

Flames can only lose 4 more games.

Toonage · 03-06-2018, 09:58 AM

They could go 10-5 and still make it.

troutman · 03-06-2018, 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toonage

They could go 10-5 and still make it.

Possible, but odds estimated at 28% with that record.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

Toonage · 03-06-2018, 10:08 AM

Yeah, its bleak. But its that or nothing.

Classic_Sniper · 03-06-2018, 10:43 AM

We need major help at this point. St Louis plays a lot against the California teams and other head to heads, so ideally if St Louis can go on a run and beat these teams for us and then falter afterwards, that would be the best case scenario.

Still holding out hope with all the head to heads between the California teams and the 4 rival central teams. If most of them don't end in 3 point games, we have a chance. We don't have a lot of runway for errors though, so every line better pick up their play or we're done.

Tsawwassen · 03-07-2018, 02:24 AM

After Tuesday's games

Ducks, Jets, and Wild all won in regulation
Avalanche lost in overtime
Stars lost in regulation

3. Winnipeg (40-17-9) 38 ROW, 89 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (38-22-7) 35 ROW, 83 pts--third in the Central Division
5. Dallas (37-24-6) 33 ROW, 80 pts--fourth in the Central Division
6. Anaheim (34-21-12) 30 ROW, 80 pts--second in the Pacific Division
7. San Jose (35-22-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--third in the Pacific Division
8. Los Angeles (36-25-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

Colorado (35-24-7) 34 ROW, 77 pts--fifth in the Central Division
St. Louis (35-26-5) 32 ROW, 75 pts--sixth in the Central Division
Calgary (32-25-10) 30 ROW, 74 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division

442scotty · 03-07-2018, 08:34 AM

Common sense told me months ago that this team didn't have what it takes to make the playoffs but I still hold out hope. Not enough talented players on the team has the guys with talent trying to do too much to make up the difference. Fingers crossed for a miracle that will turn on the light in Bennett and Janko and see them take the next step the last 15 games and onward

Gaskal · 03-07-2018, 12:25 PM

Would need the next two wins and a favorable OOT night or two and we're right back in the thick of it.

Doable, yes... probable? 50/50.

Tsawwassen · 03-08-2018, 01:55 AM

After Wednesday's games

Flames won in regulation

3. Winnipeg (40-17-9) 38 ROW, 89 pts--second in the Central Division
4. Minnesota (38-22-7) 35 ROW, 83 pts--third in the Central Division
5. Dallas (37-24-6) 33 ROW, 80 pts--fourth in the Central Division
6. Anaheim (34-21-12) 30 ROW, 80 pts--second in the Pacific Division
7. San Jose (35-22-9) 31 ROW, 79 pts--third in the Pacific Division
8. Los Angeles (36-25-5) 34 ROW, 77 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division
__________________________________________________

Colorado (35-24-7) 34 ROW, 77 pts--fifth in the Central Division
Calgary (33-25-10) 31 ROW, 76 pts--fifth in the Pacific Division
St. Louis (35-26-5) 32 ROW, 75 pts--sixth in the Central Division

Tsawwassen · 03-08-2018, 04:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheIronMaiden

Here is a thread where fans can gather good juju during what is sure to be an exciting last half of the season. This is a good place to believe in the Flames warts and all.

From last year's playoff positivity thread.

TheIronMaiden · 03-08-2018, 10:47 AM

Groovy. I am all in. I believe!

Robbob · 03-08-2018, 11:19 AM

1 point back of LA, 3 back of SJ, and 4 back of ANA. We play LA, SJx2, and ANA still.

This is fun!

EldrickOnIce · 03-08-2018, 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robbob

1 point back of LA, 3 back of SJ, and 4 back of ANA. We play LA, SJx2, and ANA still.

This is fun!

Haynes new article suggests wild card might require a bit less

Five-hole · 03-08-2018, 12:32 PM

Man, there is a nearly 20% swing in Colorado's chance to make the playoffs from a regulation loss (45%) to a regulation win (64%) tonight vs Columbus.

Go BJs!

Erick Estrada · 03-08-2018, 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by troutman

Possible, but odds estimated at 28% with that record.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

Boy that's discouraging. I guess we are now at that stage where we now have to hope for other teams to hit the skids because it's not likely the team can make it without help as 10-5 is a pretty solid clip and it's hard to expect them to do a lot better than that given they will face some teams equally as desperate as them down the stretch.

Classic_Sniper · 03-08-2018, 01:14 PM

I’m not sure the % of odds is truly reflective. If the Kings lose just 2 games in a row, we’re legitimately right back in it. Dallas has a ridiculously difficult schedule and there’s potential for us to catch them. St Louis has fallen apart and Colorado is very young. If we take care of business and get just a little bit of help, we can take a spot back.

The Cobra · 03-08-2018, 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Classic_Sniper

I’m not sure the % of odds is truly reflective. If the Kings lose just 2 games in a row, we’re legitimately right back in it. Dallas has a ridiculously difficult schedule and there’s potential for us to catch them. St Louis has fallen apart and Colorado is very young. If we take care of business and get just a little bit of help, we can take a spot back.

If the Kings lose 2 in a row the Flames will be close to them (assuming the Flames win), but there are other teams that also need to lose. That's why it's so tough. Flames need to catch 3 teams, not one.

The Flames need to simply keep winning and hope at least one of the other teams doesn't do the same. As you say, they need to take care of their own business.

Dallas is already close to the magic playoff number if they simply play .500 the rest of the way. I wouldn't bet on any team completely collapsing from here on out.