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Old 04-05-2020, 03:04 PM   #821
sa226
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You may have to be a specific type of investor for this to affect any of your holdings....but worth considering.

The 2 trillion stimulus package in the US specifies that any company that receives aid cannot pay out dividends until the loans are paid back.

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Old 04-05-2020, 03:22 PM   #822
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The other possibility is he's preparing to buy one of the airlines, either in full or in a huge preferred + warrants deal. When they bought the railway BNSF they had positions in the other railroads at the time, which they sold.
I'm coming around to this way of thinking...

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You may have to be a specific type of investor for this to affect any of your holdings....but worth considering.

The 2 trillion stimulus package in the US specifies that any company that receives aid cannot pay out dividends until the loans are paid back.

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That's what they did in 2008-09. The banks were back making a lot of cash and dividends had to be approved before they could be issued. I think that the BAC dividend was something $0.01/quarter when I bought shares! Not exactly a payout to write home about at the time!
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Old 04-06-2020, 01:44 PM   #823
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So do we buy O&G before Thursday?
Or is this gonna continue for some time yet?
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Old 04-06-2020, 02:16 PM   #824
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So do we buy O&G before Thursday?
Or is this gonna continue for some time yet?
I bet against the market last Friday (HOD). I just don't see them making an agreement by end of week. Still trying to figure out when I should sell...
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Old 04-06-2020, 02:35 PM   #825
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TSX up 5%
S&P 500 up 7%

Are people aware that there is a worldwide pandemic going on right now? o_O
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Old 04-06-2020, 02:39 PM   #826
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TSX up 5%
S&P 500 up 7%

Are people aware that there is a worldwide pandemic going on right now? o_O
Market is forward looking. The market always hits bottom well before the economy. This could also just be a dead cat bounce...
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Old 04-06-2020, 03:25 PM   #827
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I think once economic data comes out people will get a better sense of where we are. What I am most interested in is to see Q2 economic data as that is where we are really going to get a sense of how much impact this thing is going to have and how big of a mountain we are going to climb.

I am personally surprised to see how much CAD O&G has rallied over the past week and a half.
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Old 04-06-2020, 03:28 PM   #828
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The rise today was totally detached from the price of oil as well, which is a little curious.
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Old 04-06-2020, 04:43 PM   #829
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I think a lot of it was short covering. Almost like panic buying at the end of the day.
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Old 04-06-2020, 04:46 PM   #830
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I think a lot of it was short covering. Almost like panic buying at the end of the day.
Yeah, there will be a bunch of ups and downs in the coming months, imo. Everyone's trying to short, thinking it's the lowest it can be, but I can see much worse when the death tolls truly start hitting the American public.

I believe most governments are trying (rightfully) to "let 'em down easy" with their citizens that this actually is far, far from over and that we may into half a year of social distancing and no public gatherings, if not more.
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Old 04-06-2020, 06:02 PM   #831
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How did Boeing jump by 17% today? What changed over the weekend? Max8s ok to fly all of a sudden??

Dow up 7.5% in one day. Crazy. Not that I’m complaining but wow. Should have bought!!
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:00 PM   #832
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How did Boeing jump by 17% today? What changed over the weekend? Max8s ok to fly all of a sudden??

Dow up 7.5% in one day. Crazy. Not that I’m complaining but wow. Should have bought!!

It's still over sold compared to its sector. It was down about 65% whereas the others are down about 30%. It was definitely drug higher by the s&p over all too. Maybe on an up day like this buyers look to the biggest laggards for a bit of alpha in a large cap.
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:51 PM   #833
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How did Boeing jump by 17% today? What changed over the weekend? Max8s ok to fly all of a sudden??

Dow up 7.5% in one day. Crazy. Not that I’m complaining but wow. Should have bought!!
Just stick to your plans. FOMO is a great way to lose money.
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Old 04-08-2020, 12:10 AM   #834
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FOMO kicked in hard today when the markets were up 4%, and then work happened so didn't do anything.

Saw the close and the FOMO went away.
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Old 04-09-2020, 07:59 AM   #835
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buying or selling oil before the big meeting today?
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Old 04-09-2020, 08:23 AM   #836
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April 3 the oil services co's looked good. Today I'll sell the ones I bought. Actually just sold them. I have no idea what's going on or why, but it might be the old saying, buy the rumor sell the news playing out.
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Old 04-09-2020, 08:38 AM   #837
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Had 3 positions from the beginning of the week. just sold 1, we'll see what happens.
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Old 04-09-2020, 08:49 AM   #838
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I think no matter what happens that was the right move for me at least. I just do what others are thinking. That takes the guess work out of it. I don't want to be at the mercy of Putin's whim.
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Old 04-09-2020, 09:31 PM   #839
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I was going to create a thread, but thought I'd just keep it here, but what does everyone think of the financial ramifications beyond just stocks for Canada? For me, I think Canada has a huge amount of money to make up in quick order so I think there will be a few changes over the next few years.
1) Increased immigration to bring in more contributors to the tax pool
2) Housing supply opening up, so I think housing prices will be stable



I'm in the process of acquiring my first mortgage in Toronto, and really weighing my options hard for term and fixed/variable. I can't see the bond market drastically improving so fixed should go up (according to the economics I know), and I can't see banks passing on BOC savings to customers as they need to keep their margins high, so can't see that going down much either. I don't know though, so I'm wondering what others feel here?
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Old 04-09-2020, 10:28 PM   #840
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I was going to create a thread, but thought I'd just keep it here, but what does everyone think of the financial ramifications beyond just stocks for Canada? For me, I think Canada has a huge amount of money to make up in quick order so I think there will be a few changes over the next few years.
1) Increased immigration to bring in more contributors to the tax pool
2) Housing supply opening up, so I think housing prices will be stable



I'm in the process of acquiring my first mortgage in Toronto, and really weighing my options hard for term and fixed/variable. I can't see the bond market drastically improving so fixed should go up (according to the economics I know), and I can't see banks passing on BOC savings to customers as they need to keep their margins high, so can't see that going down much either. I don't know though, so I'm wondering what others feel here?
I can't imagine buying into the Toronto/Vancouver housing markets right now

Not saying I know it's the wrong decision - but those prices are hard to explain
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