[GT] z - 2018-19 Flames' Playoff Snake

[djsFlames]

I like the idea of the 110 point snek for the conference clinching though.

You could go through historical totals to see what number is closest to guaranteeing clinching top spot in the west.

[Hockeyguy15]

Sometimes less is more.

[gamesaver]

You can miss the playoffs with 96 points if certain conditions are met, but most importantly one divison has to be extremely strong compared to the other. This is why the Wild Card system was implemented, but it can happen, the increased amount of cross divison games makes this more probable. Lets say Vegas checks out, but because the rest of the Pacific is just trash, they are safe to coast for the number 3 seed with less than 96. Meanwhile in the Central things get serious as Stars, Avs and Wild are rollling. At the same time, Blues are making their comeback. With 3 point division games and more games against teams from the other division (most of them trash) there is a chance all of those 4 teams are going to end up with 96 points or more. One of them would miss as first and second seeds in the Central are Preds and Jets.

[squiggs96]

Originally Posted by gamesaver

You can miss the playoffs with 96 points if certain conditions are met, but most importantly one divison has to be extremely strong compared to the other. This is why the Wild Card system was implemented, but it can happen, the increased amount of cross divison games makes this more probable. Lets say Vegas checks out, but because the rest of the Pacific is just trash, they are safe to coast for the number 3 seed with less than 96. Meanwhile in the Central things get serious as Stars, Avs and Wild are rollling. At the same time, Blues are making their comeback. With 3 point division games and more games against teams from the other division (most of them trash) there is a chance all of those 4 teams are going to end up with 96 points or more. One of them would miss as first and second seeds in the Central are Preds and Jets.

Assuming teams are on the schedule where they play certain teams in their division 4 times and the other conference division 3 times, the following records could occur.

Pacific
Team A 82-0-0=164 points
Team B 78-0-4=160 points
Team C 74-0-8=156 points
Team D 61-0-21=143 points

Central
Team E 79-0-3=161 points
Team F 69-0-13=151 points
Team G 65-0-17=147 points
Team H 59-0-18=136 points

Team I could have a record of 54-0-28 for 136 points. One of the two 136 point teams will miss the playoffs, and it will be based on which has more ROWs. Based on your analysis of what could happen, I should probably make the black line 137 points, as that is the only number that truly will guarantee a team's entrance into the playoffs.

Or, like the original post in this thread states, no team in the Western conference has ever achieved 96 points and missed the playoffs. I did the math fairly quickly, so it might even be a higher number. Maybe lower.

[Joborule]

96 or death. Who cares about anything else.

[gamesaver]

Of course, that could happen in theory. The actual line can move up and down every year for many reasons, but as you said, in general 96 points always works for western teams. If one western team ever miss the playoffs with 96 points, it changes absolutely nothing. Thank you for this thread, did not ment to nit-pick or anything. It's always satisfying to read through it.

[jroc]

Gamesaver. May we suggest you make your own thread with your own Snek formula.

Thx.

[Groot]

Artist approximation of squiggs96 right now IRL

[btimbit]

96 works fine. It might not be an exact science but as a rough cutoff for getting into the playoffs it's good enough

[Bunk]

30 win snake!!!

[dino7c]

could be 86 this season lol, pathetic teams in the bubble

[Samonadreau]

Originally Posted by dino7c

could be 86 this season lol, pathetic teams in the bubble

And some people want more teams in the playoffs.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Samonadreau

And some people want more teams in the playoffs.

Katz?

[Textcritic]

Originally Posted by dino7c

could be 86 this season lol, pathetic teams in the bubble

When it is all said and done, I seriously doubt it.

[the2bears]

Anyone talking about a point total other than 96 is flirting rather dangerously with a taint punch.

[IamNotKenKing]

Originally Posted by the2bears

Anyone talking about a point total other than 96 is flirting rather dangerously with a taint punch.

They already deserve it - well past flirting stage.

[squiggs96]

Another win for the red snake puts it 8.976 points above the black line, 8 points above the purple snake, and 11 points above the orange snake. This marks the 27th consecutive game above the black line, with a minimum of 7 (a new high!) more games guaranteed. A record of 16-19-0 (0.457 point percentage) in the remaining 35 games would give the red snake 96 points. It is currently on pace for 112 points.

Regular:


Extra crispy:


This is the second best season the Flames have had through 47 games. Here is how the current snake looks compared to the best season a Flames team has ever had. Obviously numbers can't be compared exactly, as in 1988-89 there were only 21 teams, the schedule was 80 games, the Jets were in Winnipeg, Minnesota had a hockey team, and the canucks had a below .500 hockey team.

Regular:


Extra crispy:

[Cali Panthers Fan]

Originally Posted by squiggs96

This is the second best season the Flames have had through 47 games. Here is how the current snake looks compared to the best season a Flames team has ever had. Obviously numbers can't be compared exactly, as in 1988-89 there were only 21 teams, the schedule was 80 games, the Jets were in Winnipeg, Minnesota had a hockey team, and the canucks had a below .500 hockey team.

Hahaha...nice.

[Textcritic]

What day do the Flames pass the 96-point mark? I've got 21 March, Game #74 at home vs. Ottawa.

[Oling_Roachinen]

Originally Posted by Textcritic

What day do the Flames pass the 96-point mark? I've got 21 March, Game #74 at home vs. Ottawa.

That's actually a not-insignificant decline.

Current pace would see them reach 96-points by Game #71. With current pace they would be over 100 points by game #74. I'll take #70.