Quote:
Originally Posted by devo22
flip the percentages and draw all 14 lottery picks in the lottery, not just 1st overall. The 14th overall team has 25 percent for the 14th pick, then continue with 13th overall and so on ... re-do the percentages after every pick and draw until there's only 1 team left. Would actually make the lottery show way more interesting and would eliminate some of the tanking. Then include a rule that you can't pick in the top 3 three times in a row and be done with it.
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I like this concept, in theory, and it would make the draft lottery a VERY exciting event.
- You start by drawing the 14th pick, with the best odds going to the 14th ranked team, and the worst to the last place team. But not like 50% chance the 14th team gets it, more like 25%, and 1% for the last place team.
Then assume the 11th place team, with a 11% chance in this case, got the pick. Their "balls" are removed, and everyones chances change. It would go something like this:
Draw for the 14th pick:
Team balls % CHANCE
14 25 25%
13 17 17%
12 13 13%
11 11 11%
10 9 9%
9 7 7%
8 5 5%
7 3 3%
6 3 3%
5 3 3%
4 1 1%
3 1 1%
2 1 1%
1 1 1%
100 100%
now assume the 11th place team was picked, the next round would look like this:
Team balls % CHANCE
14 25 28%
13 17 19%
12 13 15%
10 9 10%
9 7 8%
8 5 6%
7 3 3%
6 3 3%
5 3 3%
4 1 1%
3 1 1%
2 1 1%
1 1 1%
89 100%
Now assume the 14th place team was picked, the next round would be:
Team balls % CHANCE
13 17 27%
12 13 20%
10 9 14%
9 7 11%
8 5 8%
7 3 5%
6 3 5%
5 3 5%
4 1 2%
3 1 2%
2 1 2%
1 1 2%
64 100%
And so on and so on. Once you got to the final 4 picks, it
could look something like this
Team balls % CHANCE
7 3 50%
3 1 17%
2 1 17%
1 1 17%
6 100%
and once you got to the final two, if the 7th last place team continued their lucky streak, the final odds would look like this:
Team balls % CHANCE
7 3 75%
1 1 25%
4 100%
Of course we wouldnt draw the second to last pick, we would skip to the winner. So on the final pick here, that last place team would have a 75% chance of getting the best pick.
I like this as much for the excitement factor as I do for opening up the board a lot more for those best picks. The initial ball count would determine the actual odds. I went with the final 4 teams having the same odds in this example.
Bu
