Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18
The eye test wouldn't have normalized for 5v5 vs all situations.
When you add all situations it was much closer first period. (Also the % can be misleading in small samples...3 HDCF vs 4 HDCF and it's 42.9% HDCF)
Corsi: 18 vs 20
Shots: 10 vs 11
HDCF: 3 vs 4
xGF: 0.93 vs 1.17
GF: 2 vs 0
So when you look at all situations Florida had the slight edge in Corsi, Shots, High Danger, and xGF...but it was really close and 1-2 shot/chance difference in all categories. Plus when the team is also winning 2-0 that's going to overcome those slight differences when looking at how the period went as a whole.
And I think this is a big gap in eye test vs. 5v5 advanced stats sometimes. Sometimes I'll watch a game an go "Man the Flames got outplayed that period" then check Natural Stat Trick and they have 60% 5v5 Corsi / xGF. But then you look back and they spent 5 minutes on the PK and gave up a PP goal, which makes it all make more sense.
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And so many things go into an eye test.
A Florida player that gets set up in the slot but doesn't get a shot off wouldn't register as any type of shot attempt but you still cringe as a viewer.
Plus I would think it possible that a person could have a bias when it comes to anxiety of a scoring chance against being higher than the excitement for a scoring chance for skewing the eye test. This of course could be the opposite in a different viewer.
