While Jar Jar is portrayed as a bumbling idiot, he's a highly skilled warrior that's found a way to win every battle he's been in while making himself look incompetent and stay in the shadows.
First of all, this isn't the moves of a bumbling incompetent.
In the Battle of Naboo, Jar Jar inflicted great and sadistic casualties on the Confederation droid army, first by using their energy balls to great effect, then single handedly taking down an enemy tank.
We can call it dumb luck, but Jar Jar also managed to accurately and effectively kill battle droids with a blaster wrapped around his ankle. Now taken singularly you'd say, yeah, he's an idiot. But people look at his track record. He later on took out destroyer droids and super battle droids to protect Padme when the trade federation tried to capture her in the Clone Wars cartoon, all while using a giant sea monster to aid his cause. We didn't see this type of animal control until Ezra Bridger did it years later by tapping into the Dark Side of the Force.
Jar Jar is a consummate manipulator.
He manipulates two Jedi to take him back to his people after being banished and those Jedi put him under their protection. He later manipulated this to gain command of the Gungan army at a key moment as they were being attacked by his Sith rivals in Palpatine and Maul. This manipulation directly lead to the death of a Sith Lord and a setback on Palpatine's plan.
Clearly Jar Jar errr Lord Binks continued his manipulations. He convinced the Jedi that he was indispensable as he was the only one that could navigate them through Naboo's planet core.
He puts himself into the position of being a General in the Gungan army. He also manipulates Padme to use that army.
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Jar-Jar Binks: Gungans not giving up without a fight. Wesa Warriors. Wesa got a Grand Army. That's-a why yous not a-liking us, methinks.
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Later he completes his seduction of the queen as she asks for his help
Clearly this was a plot by Lord Binks to not only harm his Sith Rivals but to get to and begin to seduce the chosen one to the Dark Side of the Force. Once he gets in range of Anakin, he begins to enact the seduction of Anakin Skywalker.
Jar Jar openly mocks the jedi behind their backs and in front of Anakin to begin to create a picture that the Jedi are not competent.
Jar Jar also manipulates Anakin and pushes him towards Queen Amidala as he whispers to Anakin a 8 year old child that the Queen is pretty hot. He challenges the Jedi authority at every turn, first by picking a fight with Watto, and second at the dinner table where he tests Qui-gons jedi power by stealing fruit.
Remember that Jar Jar and Palpatine are from the same planet, which could indicate that Jar Jar was actually the master in their relationship and Palpatine was enacting Jar Jar's grand plans. Or it could be that Jar Jar knew that the Sith had returned and he saw them as a rival.
Because of his actions and his "clumsy" heroism he becomes a great friend to Padme. He also manages to win a senate seat by himself by being the hero of the Battle of Naboo.
As a Senator, he maintained his facade of innocence and incompetence. However Jar Jar manipulated himself into the position of power at every turn. When Padme had to go into hiding, she gave her vote to Jar Jar. Lets repeat that, she gave her vote to someone that appeared to be a token senator with very little brains. Then Jar Jar just happened to be in the chancellors office when Palpatine "manipulated" him into making a motion to give the Supreme Chancellor executive powers.
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"It's-a clear desa separatists made a pact wesa desa Federation du Trade. Senators, "dellow felagates." In response to this direct threat to the Republic, mesa propose that the senate give immediately emergency powers to the supreme chancellor."
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At that point its clear that Darth Binks had not only manipulated Padme into giving him power, but had manipulate Palpatine into believe that Binks was a idiot who could be manipulated with a discussion between Palpatine and his chief advisor.
At this point, Jar Jar was fully in charge. He had delayed Palpatine's plans and cost him a apprentice, all while coming out as a bumbling harmless but good natured and trustworthy senator. From there he literally pushed Anakin and Padme together. Then Jar Jar made himself essential to Palpatine's plan by appearing to be bumbling and stupid.
So Jar Jar sits back now and waits for the Galaxy to fall into his lap. He just has to sit back and wait for it all to fall in his lap. Because his former friend Anakin Skywalker who had been pre manipulated by Jar Jar would fall into Palpatines machinations, and Jar Jar as a Banite Sith who knew Anakin from his friendship knew that Anakin would eventually surpass and kill Palpatine and Lord Jar Jar with his superior combat ability would be able to either kill Anakin or make him take the knee.
