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Old 01-01-2018, 11:03 PM   #41
united
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Advanced stats
The Athletic: 41%
Hockey Viz: 39%
Money Puck: 44%
Corsica: 35%

Goal differential
Sports Club Stats (weighted) 22%
and Hockey Reference, as mentioned, 26%

With an additional three weeks of information, the variance in the models is starting to tighten as expected.
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Cole: 699 GP, 102 G, 94 A
Messi: 757 GP, 613 G, 287 A
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Old 01-05-2018, 05:38 PM   #42
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27.9%

https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
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Old 01-05-2018, 05:53 PM   #43
Strange Brew
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I am a big believer in Money Puck.
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Old 01-05-2018, 08:49 PM   #44
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Old 01-06-2018, 12:21 AM   #45
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At least well have a high pick.....oh wait


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Old 01-06-2018, 01:44 AM   #46
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The Flames have a 0.8% chance of winning the cup. Do you know what that means?!?!


Nothing...it means nothing. It all means nothing. So many things can happen in the next three months.

By all means....speculate away. I still think the Flames get into the playoffs. It's all about the ride after all
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Old 01-06-2018, 11:55 AM   #47
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iggy Snipe View Post
These playoff predictions mean nothing. Teams go hot and cold all year long and the numbers I see in that link are pretty mis leading.

They have the Oilers at 8.7%, I feel like that’s low. They have Vegas at 99.1 and I feel like that’s high.

Either way they don’t mean anything.
Vegas is 18 games over 500 to make the playoffs you need to be about 12. So in the remaining half of the season they need to play worse then everyone but the Coyotes and Sabers.

So in the first half of the season 29 of 31 teams accomplished this feat. So even if Vegas was the team we expected them to be at the start of the season (which they aren't) they would still be likely to make the playoffs. They have to be number 1 draft pick bad to finish with less than 94 Pts. 18-24 or 14-20-8 and they make the playoffs 99% seems about right.
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Old 01-07-2018, 11:07 AM   #48
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35.8%

https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
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Old 01-10-2018, 11:44 AM   #49
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41.4%

https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
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Old 01-10-2018, 11:54 AM   #50
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I do enjoy seeing the Oilers at 1.1% chance of making the playoffs.
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Old 01-12-2018, 07:52 AM   #51
nfotiu
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It looks like we're at the 50/50 level now for playoff chances.
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western.html
https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi


It looks like 8 teams fighting for 4 spots without much to give between any of them. Should be a fun second half.

San Jose 66
Dallas 65
St Louis 62
Colorado 53
---------------
Chicago 53
Calgary 49
Minnesota 33
Anaheim 29
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Old 01-12-2018, 08:36 AM   #52
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Our goal should be catching California.

I think we can do it
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Old 01-12-2018, 08:44 AM   #53
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Quote:
Originally Posted by c.t.ner View Post
I do enjoy seeing the Oilers at 1.1% chance of making the playoffs.
And it's made better with our 1.9% chance of winning the cup.

We're more likely to win the cup than they are to make the playoffs.
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Old 01-12-2018, 10:54 AM   #54
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A record of .577 the rest of the way should be enough to get it done. Certainly doable.
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Old 01-12-2018, 12:54 PM   #55
Brick
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55.2%

https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
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Old 01-13-2018, 10:55 AM   #56
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57.1%

https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
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Old 01-15-2018, 09:09 AM   #57
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up 11.7% to 65.6%

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western.html
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Old 01-15-2018, 10:40 AM   #58
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67.4%

https://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
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Old 01-23-2018, 10:10 AM   #59
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NHL is headed for more skewed first-round playoff matchups

https://www.tsn.ca/talent/nhl-is-hea...chups-1.975525

Ten of the league’s 16 best teams are in the West. Los Angeles, like Minnesota, is at risk of missing the postseason because of the strength of the conference. One of Philadelphia or the Rangers, both projected to finish below Los Angeles by point total, is likely to get in.
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Old 01-23-2018, 10:20 AM   #60
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53.5%

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