The Final Eight Weeks - West Wild Card Race

[Tsawwassen]

Originally Posted by topfiverecords

Kraken 63pts Last 10: 5-4-1
23 games remaining; 12 home / 11 away (home 14-10-5: away 12-12-6)
Games vs The Ins (9):
EDM, WPGx3, VEGx2, DALx2, LA
Games vs The Outs (14) (BDs 6):
CGY, WSH, NSH, BUF, ARIx2, MTL, ANAx3, SJx2, STL, MIN

Nashville (NSH) is a game vs the ins.

[Tsawwassen]

The Knights are on the list now as the Oilers have passed them.


Knights 73pts Last 10: 3-6-1
21 games remaining; 11 home / 10 away (home 19-9-2: away 14-12-5)
Games vs The Ins (9):
VANx3, NSN, WPG, EDM, COL, DET, TB
Games vs The Outs (12) (BDs 3):
CLBx2, MINx2, SEAx2, STL, CGY, ANA, NJ, ARI, CHI

[Tsawwassen]

Originally Posted by Enoch Root

I think it's a bit early to say it's set, but it is getting very unlikely. Two things have to happen for any those teams to get in:

1) either NAS or LAK have to fall back (certainly possible)
AND
2) you have to beat ALL the other teams in the group (unlikely)

The Knights (VEG) can also fall back, they are just 1 point up on the Predators.

[Enoch Root]

Here's an interesting stat that shows 2 things:

1) October killed our season
2) gaining ground is really difficult

Here is the spread between LAK and CGY at the end of every month:

Oct: 7
Nov: 6
Dec: 10 (not sure what happened there)
Jan: 7
Feb: 7
Today: 7 (assuming they hold on and win)

[activeStick]

Would LOVE for the Flames to make it into that last spot and then knock the Canucks out in the 1st round, but the Flames need help now to make the playoffs, along with needing to win the majority of their remaining games. Don't see both happening. The team hopefully learns from this that securing points against the Chicagos and San Joses are very important and they need to prepare better/not assume they are the better team and can win with a lack of preparation and focus.

[Snuffleupagus]

Originally Posted by Tsawwassen

The Knights (VEG) can also fall back, they are just 1 point up on the Predators.

Eichel will be back soon but loosing Stone is massive, this could be 21/22 all over again

[Goriders]

I think the Preds are going to sewer calgary’s chances. Think they still had a shot until nashville took off.

[Sylvanfan]

This Nashville heater is a bit surprising to me. They don't strike me as being a juggernaut. Josi is an elite player, and Forsberg is a legitimate top line talent. Saros is a really good number 1, but he has been a bit hot and cold this year. But after them it's O'Reilly, Nyquist, and depth. But I think they're far enough in now where an eventual regression to the mean won't take them out.

It would be something if Winnipeg pulled off finishing first and ended up playing Vegas as the 8 seed. Who would have predicted that with how last season ended for those teams.

[topfiverecords]

Kings, Golden Knights and Predators all now tied at 73 pts. Kings hold 3rd in Pacific, Golden Knights first wildcard and Predators second wildcard.

Blues and Kraken jump over Flames (65pts) and both sit at 67pts with twenty to go.

[hwy19man]

The bullseye is on the eighth place Knights now with the Kings and Predators winning. The Blues, Flames, and Kraken are in a three way tie with 67 points and the Wild are one point back.

[dino7c]

2nd rounder be damned can you imagine Vegas still missed lol

"Vegas won the trade" haha

[topfiverecords]

Will update after Wild and Kraken have played their games tonight.

[Wolven]

Originally Posted by topfiverecords

Flames 67pts Last 10: 6-4-0
20 games remaining; 10 home / 10 away (home 16-14-1: away 14-12-4)
Games vs The Ins (10):
FLA, CAR, COL, VEG, VANx2, LAx2, WPG, EDM
Games vs The Outs (10) (BDs 5):
MTL, WSH, BUF, CHI, STL, ANAx2, SJx2, ARI

Flames are in an interesting position to try and chase down the Kings... If we can beat the Kings twice that would be huge for closing that gap. At the same time we would need to capitalize on those 4 games against the Ducks and Sharks.

Knocking out the Knights though would be so much better after they 'won' trade deadline day.

[Blaster86]

Knights look absolutely abysmal right now. They are at risk to miss. I don't think it's a huge risk, but it is a risk.

[TheIronMaiden]

Hard to imagine the Flames can track down Vegas, L.A or Nashville. But playing L.A twice gives them a golden chance to make up ground. March 20, April 11th will be huge games.

[stemit14]

It’s obviously a long shot for the flames to make the playoffs. What kind of record would it take to make it at this point though? Best to go off of the estimated points it will take to make the playoffs right now. I know earlier this year the estimated number was lower for the wild card spots than previous seasons but if we go with something like 94 points to make the playoffs and the flames are sitting at 67 points as of today, a record like this could get them in:

Florida W
Carolina W
Colorado L
Vegas W
Montreal L
Washington W
Vancouver W
Buffalo W
Chicago L
St. Louis W
Los Angeles L
Anaheim W
Winnipeg W
Edmonton W
San Jose W
Los Angeles L
Anaheim W
Arizona W
Vancouver W
San Jose L

[TheIronMaiden]

The Snake demands the Flames go 14-5-1 to get to the Holy Land of 96 points.

[midniteowl]

Originally Posted by stemit14

It’s obviously a long shot for the flames to make the playoffs. What kind of record would it take to make it at this point though? Best to go off of the estimated points it will take to make the playoffs right now. I know earlier this year the estimated number was lower for the wild card spots than previous seasons but if we go with something like 94 points to make the playoffs and the flames are sitting at 67 points as of today, a record like this could get them in:

Florida W
Carolina W
Colorado L
Vegas W
Montreal L
Washington W
Vancouver W
Buffalo W
Chicago L
St. Louis W
Los Angeles L
Anaheim W
Winnipeg W
Edmonton W
San Jose W
Los Angeles L
Anaheim W
Arizona W
Vancouver W
San Jose L

Florida W
Carolina W
Colorado W
Vegas W
Montreal W
Washington W
Vancouver W
Buffalo W
Chicago W
St. Louis W
Los Angeles W
Anaheim W
Winnipeg W
Edmonton W
San Jose W
Los Angeles W
Anaheim W
Arizona W
Vancouver W
San Jose L


How about like this, we got in at the same time break the record and watch the meltdown up north.

[Wolven]

Originally Posted by TheIronMaiden

The Snake demands the Flames go 14-5-1 to get to the Holy Land of 96 points.

That means we are going to have to kick our habit of losing games to the bottom feeders.. wins in Chicago and San Jose will be a must! Along with those two games against the Kings.

I added spacing for the home/away stands.

A - Florida (back to back)
A - Carolina (back to back)

H - Colorado
H - Vegas
H - Montreal
H - Washington

A - Vancouver (back to back)

H - Buffalo (back to back)

A - Chicago
A - St. Louis

------

H - Los Angeles
H - Anaheim

A - Winnipeg

H - Edmonton

A - San Jose
A - Los Angeles (back to back)
A - Anaheim (back to back)

H - Arizona

A - Vancouver

H - San Jose


6-3-1 = need 1 more win on this road trip, big homestand, clean up the final 3 non-playoff teams
8-2-0 = Gotta clean up those California teams and play hard against our big rivals

Not a lot of room to miss but with our remaining schedule it is possible... Either way it is going to be fun to watch.

[midniteowl]

Originally Posted by Wolven

That means we are going to have to kick our habit of losing games to the bottom feeders.. wins in Chicago and San Jose will be a must! Along with those two games against the Kings.

I think we will now that we've traded all the players who don't want to stay. Now they are playing like a pact of hyenas instead of zombies moping around.