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Old 11-04-2021, 11:09 PM   #141
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I thought I was a real sharp guy when I took the Packers with a +225 Moneyline play against the Chiefs on Monday before their game against the Giants. After the game that looked like a good bet since the line shifted 4 points in the Packers favor after the game. But now....eff the Immaculate Inoculation screwing that over.
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Old 12-30-2021, 01:18 PM   #142
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Not much action in this thread this year.

To date I've had a decent year. Started out well, but hit a bit of a November swoon when some of these odd upsets started to happen. Have come back a bit in the past couple of weeks.

With the recent Covid Protocols it has definitely made things tricky for sports books and bettors as you wait to see who's in and who's not. Been risky to try and get on the lines you like early because teams can get hit with Covid.

I've found that Wong Teasers have worked well. Basically it works for teams who are 7.5 to 8.5 favorites and you can buy 6 points to tease them down to winning by a Field Goal or less. Likewise if you can tease 1.5 to 2.5 dogs up to 7.5 or 8.5. Couple those with adding 6 points to games with low totals where each point is worth more and it's generally worked. Although none of those this week at this time.

The line to be ware of this week is Philly +3.5 or +3 on the WFT. Some trends really favor Washington here. So that one surprised me as a lot of Sharps have been steaming the Eagles lately.

I like the Lions to cover against the Seahawks this week, and a lot of the professional gamblers are liking the Vikings to cover against the Packers too.
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Old 01-02-2022, 04:08 PM   #143
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Glad I walked away from my Lions to cover bet.. being a bit of a Machoist I took a lot of prop bet unders on the players on my fantasy team...those paid off. Also got paid for the Bengals win today. Hit the Bengals +13.5 when it was 14-0. Slso grabbed the Raiders +8.5 before kickoff.
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Old 01-02-2022, 05:42 PM   #144
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From what I could find last night the Cowboys and Cards over 52.5 was bet pretty heavy, as were the Boys +5.5. So the house got the result they wanted there.
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Old 02-20-2022, 05:49 PM   #145
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General betting thread? Take over 325 in the NBA All-Star Game, easiest bet all year.
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Old 02-20-2022, 06:18 PM   #146
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General betting thread? Take over 325 in the NBA All-Star Game, easiest bet all year.
Since they started doing Team Lebron vs Team Durant there has only been one game over 325. I'm not sure if over is really a guarantee. Betting on these types of games is tough.
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Old 02-20-2022, 06:40 PM   #147
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Since they started doing Team Lebron vs Team Durant there has only been one game over 325. I'm not sure if over is really a guarantee. Betting on these types of games is tough.

The issue is the 4th quarter, it could be only 35-45 points. So the first 3 quarters need to be each close to 100.
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Old 02-20-2022, 08:24 PM   #148
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The issue is the 4th quarter, it could be only 35-45 points. So the first 3 quarters need to be each close to 100.
I only post this here because there is no specific discussion on the all star game but Curry is ridiculous. 13 three pointers with 72% shooting.
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Old 09-08-2022, 12:30 PM   #149
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Figured I'd might as well bump this. I'll be doing picks again but doing them as part of the $125k Super Contest through mybookie. If you feel like signing up and want to do me a solid, here's my referral link https://mybookie.ag/signup/?reff=MB1645366

Anyways, games I like best this week are:

PHI -4
TB -2.5
NE +3.5

I think CHI +7 might be a sharp bet this week.
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Old 09-08-2022, 12:45 PM   #150
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I took BUF -2.5 tonight.
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Old 09-08-2022, 02:32 PM   #151
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From what I remember Underdogs started off hot last year and a lot of early games went over, especially prime time games. Theory is that less practices in pads and pre season Action, the defenses are behind the offence and weather elements have less impact.

First half under tonight might be a decent play as I think neither team will want the other to get many possessions. So might see some slow playing and longer drives until the teams can find a rhythm.
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Old 09-09-2022, 07:45 AM   #152
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Hopped on the hype and took Dameon Pierce OROY.

Bets for this weekend

Ravens -6
Jags +3
Vikings +1.5
Dolphins -3
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Old 09-09-2022, 08:26 AM   #153
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From what I can see these are the best teaser options.

Jags from +2.5 to +8.5
Cowboys from +2.5 to +8.5
Vikings from +1.5 to +7.5

So I'll play that.
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Old 09-09-2022, 08:42 AM   #154
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if we're adding 6 I like the Seahawks +12.5 on Monday night. It's going to be their super bowl against Russell Wilson
Parlay that with Chargers +3.5. The Raiders might win but they're not winning by more than a late FG.
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Old 09-09-2022, 09:55 AM   #155
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From what I've read teasing to cross 0 isn't worth it. Used to be that getting the number past 7 on dogs and in front of 3 on favorites was the optimal play. With all the scirigami games and more 6 and 8 point TD's...I'm not sure if it's what it once was. So getting the Seahawks past 7, 8, 10, 11 probably makes some sense. The other thing is to look for games with lower totals as the points are worth more...so on a 44.5 total you get the same odds on your 6 points as you do on a game with a 53.5 total.
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Old 09-09-2022, 09:58 AM   #156
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Seahawks are not going to be as bad as people think IMO

Russ was as bad as a QB in the league for most of their season last year and while they weren’t good , they weren’t getting blown out

I love the idea of teasing the Hawks early in the year.
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Old 09-09-2022, 11:50 AM   #157
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I love a good degen thread. Welcome back NFL.
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Old 09-09-2022, 11:58 AM   #158
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Seahawks are not going to be as bad as people think IMO

Russ was as bad as a QB in the league for most of their season last year and while they weren’t good , they weren’t getting blown out

I love the idea of teasing the Hawks early in the year.
Petey Carole as coach... yeah they are going to be god awful the next 3-5 years.

Which really sucks for me, who doesn't have a favorite team but to cheer for, except for the Seanucks to get bounced from the playoffs every year.
My season will be done by November 1st! lol
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Old 09-09-2022, 11:58 AM   #159
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and great start this year already. Had the Bills at -8.5, -13.5 and -19.5.. Wish it was that easy every time.
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Old 09-11-2022, 11:37 AM   #160
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Weather is terrible in Chicago. Taking live under 33.

And I never take the under.
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