Quote:
Originally Posted by tvp2003
Interestingly, I started looking at this last night and noticed that we were not following this trend at all early in the season. In our first 10 or more games the team that scored first only won like 2-3 times. As the season progressed it definitely shifted back in favor of what you'd expect (there was something like 15 games in a row where the team that scored first won).
It's a good question -- I took a stats class in university about 100 years ago so I don't really recall; I thought Vladar's sample size of 16 starts wasn't unreasonable though. We'll see how things progress as the season continues on.
As for a year-to-year analysis, I suspect DGA is influenced by different factors, not just the goalie. For example, I recall last year's team frequently had good starts, and even if they got behind it early wasn't a big deal as our top line could often bail them out later in the game. That is definitely not the case this year. At least with this analysis you can start testing the theory of whether (or why) they seem to play better -- and score more -- when Vladar is in net versus Markstrom.
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I was thinking about this a little more of what this stat means and essentially if a team plays tied or down 1 goal that goalie will have a higher DGA holding everything else equal.
Since Markstoms numbers overall are marginally better whereas the DGA is worse it means he lets in less goals when the team has a lead or is getting blown out. Since you have to have 2 DGAs to get blown out getting blown out more will not help you reduce DGAs
This means that when the flames have a lead Markstrom is less likely to give it up then Vlader. What’s also interesting is that after the first period their deficit goals against is equal roughly .20 per game.
So for whatever reason I think this stat just suggests that with Vlader in net the flames are more likely to score first but also more likely to blow the lead.
Not sure on the last part for sure but I think that’s what it implies.