Ongoing Sci-Fi, Comic Book Movie Thread v2

[WhiteTiger]

My wife and I watched Aquaman the other day. We both thought that it was actually pretty decent. The humor worked, Amber Heard stole pretty much all her scenes, and it was brightly colored and the visuals really worked. It's a pretty basic 'superhero origin story', and really should have come before Justice League, but as we were leaving, we both noted that it's a movie that we'd watch again.

For DC, that's quite an accomplishment, as far as we consider it.

[KTrain]

2019 is going to be a busy year. Seems to be something in each month I want to see.

Except November...

Though Kingsman 3 is supposed to come out that month.

[getbak]

Holy crap, Disney. You don't have to do every live-action remake at the same time.

[Locke]

After the colossal crapfest that was Kingsmen 2, Kingsmen 3 is a 'wait to rent' unless something amazing happens.

Dumbo?

For me the jewels on that list are John Wick 3 and Avengers.

[Finger Cookin]

Originally Posted by GreenLantern

How is this possible? I just don't get it. It's DC, shouldn't everyone be crapping all over it by now? That's the cool thing to do these days.

Not in some countries of the world, apparently. Don't worry, they'll eventually catch on.

[Johnny Makarov]

Originally Posted by getbak

Holy crap, Disney. You don't have to do every live-action remake at the same time.

Disney is the effing worst. It's the house of no ideas.

Toy Story 4.... pathetic. I'm surprised that isn't live action.

[Coach]

Originally Posted by Johnny Makarov

Disney is the effing worst. It's the house of no ideas.

Toy Story 4.... pathetic. I'm surprised that isn't live action.

You bite your tongue, sir.

There's a lot wrong with Disney, anything Toy Story related is not one of them.

[blankall]

Originally Posted by getbak

Holy crap, Disney. You don't have to do every live-action remake at the same time.

Literally three live action remakes and one every other month. How could they think the market would support that? Disney is keeping the budgets under wraps but the Lion King's budget is supposedly huge.

[OutOfTheCube]

Originally Posted by blankall

Literally three live action remakes and one every other month. How could they think the market would support that? Disney is keeping the budgets under wraps but the Lion King's budget is supposedly huge.

Yeah t is weird planning. Aladdin in particular is in kind of a death spot, same place Solo was in last year sandwiches in between huge summer releases.

The Lion King will be fine though. 1. It’s The Lion King. 2. It’s coming out against basically no competition in July. It could own the box office for 2 months — I don’t think it will have any trouble cracking $500mil domestic.

[KTrain]

Originally Posted by Locke

After the colossal crapfest that was Kingsmen 2, Kingsmen 3 is a 'wait to rent' unless something amazing happens.

While a drop-off from the first, I still enjoyed Kingsman 2. It was just ridiculous fun action.

[GGG]

Originally Posted by blankall

Literally three live action remakes and one every other month. How could they think the market would support that? Disney is keeping the budgets under wraps but the Lion King's budget is supposedly huge.

If you picking a movie that isn’t the infinity war to make a billion dollars Lion King is the movie. The kids who went to the original lion king now have kids. It’s the number 2 movie next year.

[manwiches]

I will watch every one of those movies..

As much as Disney has no imagination lately, I love most of these live actions. I'm skeptical of Aladdin though. Will Smith looks like Sinbad in that...

[SuperMatt18]

Does seem like a weird year for Disney that is overcrowded.

Captain Marvel
Dumbo
Avengers End Game
Aladdin
Toy Story 4
The Lion King
Artemis Fowl
Frozen 2
Star Wars: Episode 9

Not a lot of space between big releases. Setting up some of these movies to fail IMO.

Although at the same time if the gamble of loading up 2019 pays off, it could set them up for around $10B total box office revenue for 2019 too. Need to help pay for the Fox purchase and those theme park expansions!

[Nadal Fan]

As great as a year Disney had in 2018 they also had 3 major bombs which lost them well over $100 million each in Nutcracker, Solo and Wrinkle in Time. But ya they were by far the highest grossing studio in 2018 and will be again in 2019.

[SuperMatt18]

Originally Posted by Nadal Fan

As great as a year Disney had in 2018 they also had 3 major bombs which lost them well over $100 million each in Nutcracker, Solo and Wrinkle in Time. But ya they were by far the highest grossing studio in 2018 and will be again in 2019.

And it's probably similar in 2019.

I feel like Artemis Fowl will flop, and Dumbo and Aladdin are probably 50/50 to succeed or flop.

Avengers, Lion King, Toy Story 4, and Frozen 2 are all sure fire hits that will be easily over $1B with Avengers around $2B again. Captain Marvel should be carried to $1B WW just due to the hype around Avengers.

The most interesting one to me will be Star Wars. It won't reach the $2B that The Force Awakens did but you have to think it can still get to $1B. That fan base is toxic, and they were able to stay away from Solo, but I doubt they can stay away from a mainline entry.

[Nadal Fan]

Originally Posted by SuperMatt18

And it's probably similar in 2019.

I feel like Artemis Fowl will flop, and Dumbo and Aladdin are probably 50/50 to succeed or flop.

Avengers, Lion King, Toy Story 4, and Frozen 2 are all sure fire hits that will be easily over $1B with Avengers around $2B again. Captain Marvel should be carried to $1B WW just due to the hype around Avengers.

The most interesting one to me will be Star Wars. It won't reach the $2B that The Force Awakens did but you have to think it can still get to $1B.

Its a crazy time, for the first time there is a little bit of doubt in regards to Star Wars. I still think it does a billion but it will probably preform more like Rogue One and not Force Awakens. I don't know where the franchise is going at this point. Does it move on to Disney+ or will they go ahead with Episode 10? I could see another 10+ years before we see Episode 10 to be honest.

[blankall]

Originally Posted by Nadal Fan

Its a crazy time, for the first time there is a little bit of doubt in regards to Star Wars. I still think it does a billion but it will probably preform more like Rogue One and not Force Awakens. I don't know where the franchise is going at this point. Does it move on to Disney+ or will they go ahead with Episode 10? I could see another 10+ years before we see Episode 10 to be honest.

Star Wars' relative success will likely depend on initial reviews and word of mouth. As much as some people hated TLJ, most people will go to see this, me included. I may not go opening night this time though.

Disney will not wait 10+ years for another movie. The franchise remains too profitable for that, and they've paid a lot of money to get it. They'll come out with some kind of new trilogy, although it may not be called "Episode 10". Episodes 1-9 dealt with the Skywalkers. That seems to be done now.

[blankall]

Originally Posted by SuperMatt18

And it's probably similar in 2019.

I feel like Artemis Fowl will flop, and Dumbo and Aladdin are probably 50/50 to succeed or flop.

Avengers, Lion King, Toy Story 4, and Frozen 2 are all sure fire hits that will be easily over $1B with Avengers around $2B again. Captain Marvel should be carried to $1B WW just due to the hype around Avengers.

The most interesting one to me will be Star Wars. It won't reach the $2B that The Force Awakens did but you have to think it can still get to $1B. That fan base is toxic, and they were able to stay away from Solo, but I doubt they can stay away from a mainline entry.

Penciling in Captain Marvel for 1 billion, may be premature. It may just do Antman type money. Although it seems like the norm now, it's actually unusual for solo superhero flicks to make $1 billion.

Spiderman: Homecoming only did $880 million.

I'd put the high mark for Captain Marvel around $800 million, with the more likely box office in the $700 million range.

[Nadal Fan]

Originally Posted by blankall

Star Wars' relative success will likely depend on initial reviews and word of mouth. As much as some people hated TLJ, most people will go to see this, me included. I may not go opening night this time though.

Disney will not wait 10+ years for another movie. The franchise remains too profitable for that, and they've paid a lot of money to get it. They'll come out with some kind of new trilogy, although it may not be called "Episode 10". Episodes 1-9 dealt with the Skywalkers. That seems to be done now.

I can see in 20 years we will look back at this trilogy as being actually really good. Much like the prequels which at the time people hated, are now seen as being actually not that bad. I know I will get some flack for this, but I actually really like Revenge of the Sith, think it's great.

[GGG]

Originally Posted by Nadal Fan

Its a crazy time, for the first time there is a little bit of doubt in regards to Star Wars. I still think it does a billion but it will probably preform more like Rogue One and not Force Awakens. I don't know where the franchise is going at this point. Does it move on to Disney+ or will they go ahead with Episode 10? I could see another 10+ years before we see Episode 10 to be honest.

Star Wars will follow the pattern of the previous 2 trilogies. I did the math somewhere in this thread but the gist is that in each previous trilogy the second movie made the least with a jump for the third. So more than the last Jedi and less that TFA would be the range that I would predict.

Given how bad Attack of the Clones was I don’t think that the “damage” that TLJ and Solo did to the brand will affect the previous pattern.