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Old 04-19-2022, 03:31 PM   #1
SuperMatt18
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Icon48 Pacific Division Playoff Race

Think this might be worth it's own thread over the next week due to the potential implications it has for the Flames & the Pacific Division playoffs.

At this point I think it's fair to say that the top two spots in the division are locked up.

1) Calgary: GP-76 PTS-103 (47-20-9) Last 10: 7-2-1
2) Edmonton: GP-76 PTS-94 (44-26-6) Last 10: 8-1-1

Then where it really gets interesting is the race for third place in the division, which might be the last real playoff spot up for grabs in the entire NHL this season.

3) Los Angeles: GP-78 PTS-92 (41-27-10)
Remaining Games: Blackhawks, Ducks, @ Kraken, @Canucks

4) Vegas: GP-78 PTS-89 (42-31-5)
Remaining Games: Sharks, @Stars, @Blackhawks, @Blues

5) Vancouver: GP-77 PTS-87 (38-28-11)
Remaining Games: @Wild, @Flames, Kraken, Kings, @Oilers

Updated: Vegas beats Washington in OT to keep their hope alive.

Last edited by SuperMatt18; 04-21-2022 at 08:16 AM.
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Old 04-19-2022, 03:32 PM   #2
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I think LA holds their position. and I hope Vegas craps the bed. some interesting games to be played but think Dallas and Preds hold the wildcard spots
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Old 04-19-2022, 03:42 PM   #3
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LA - GR 5, max possible points 100.

Vegas - GR 5, max possible points 97

Van - GR 6, max possible points 98

It's LA's spot to lose. If Vegas loses 1 more game in regulation they max out with 95, Kings would need to go 3-2 to beat that. Vancouver loses 1 more, they max with 96, but ROW probably goes to LA, so again 3-2 for LA likely guarantees a spot, unless Vegas or Van lose more than 1 game.
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Old 04-19-2022, 03:56 PM   #4
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Only way I’d be ok with Vegas getting in is if they ended up in WC2 position and had to go through Colorado and St. Louis/Minny.
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Old 04-19-2022, 04:02 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Groot View Post
LA - GR 5, max possible points 100.

Vegas - GR 5, max possible points 97

Van - GR 6, max possible points 98

It's LA's spot to lose. If Vegas loses 1 more game in regulation they max out with 95, Kings would need to go 3-2 to beat that. Vancouver loses 1 more, they max with 96, but ROW probably goes to LA, so again 3-2 for LA likely guarantees a spot, unless Vegas or Van lose more than 1 game.

RoW would go to Vancouver IF Vancouver wins in regulation vs LA. If the season ends in a tie, it's likely the Canucks get in as it means they probably beat LA in regulation.
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Old 04-19-2022, 04:09 PM   #6
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RoW would go to Vancouver IF Vancouver wins in regulation vs LA. If the season ends in a tie, it's likely the Canucks get in as it means they probably beat LA in regulation.
RW is the first tiebreaker and it is leaning your way too - tied now, but VAN needs to win more to catch the Kings
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Old 04-19-2022, 04:15 PM   #7
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RW is the first tiebreaker and it is leaning your way too - tied now, but VAN needs to win more to catch the Kings

This is all moot if the Canucks don't keep winning.
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Old 04-19-2022, 04:41 PM   #8
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The Oilers can still drop down.
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Old 04-19-2022, 04:45 PM   #9
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Kings go 4-0-1
Knights go 5-0
Canucks go 5-0-1
Oilers go 0-6

Kings 99
Knights 97
Canucks 97
Oilers 94
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Old 04-19-2022, 05:17 PM   #10
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Things will be a lot more telling after tonight.
If the Canucks win and LA lose, they're in a real fight with each other.

I think if LA wins and Vancouver loses tonight, LA will keep the 3rd spot.

Then the Flames have a lot of control on Vegas's hopes of getting to 8th, based on our next 2 games. We could basically eliminate Vegas by losing 2 in a row.
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Old 04-19-2022, 05:18 PM   #11
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Kings go 4-0-1
Knights go 5-0
Canucks go 5-0-1
Oilers go 0-6

Kings 99
Knights 97
Canucks 97
Oilers 94



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Old 04-19-2022, 05:24 PM   #12
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If there was a way for the Oilers to lose a 4 way tie breaker where they all finish with 96 points, that would be my favorite. But they're 21-8-3 since Woodcroft took over. At this point McDavid and Draisaitl are not in Lowe's office complaining that this yahoo wants me to to play defence and it's costing me points. That Conversation will take place around game 30 when they're not sitting 1-2 in the scoring race and they start to worry.

So long as the team thinks Woodcroft is in charge...they'll win 2 more games in their sleep.
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Old 04-19-2022, 08:50 PM   #13
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Canucks have 1 benefit of Oilers last game are likely resting mcdavid and draisaitl

Also nashville has a very tough schedule, and stars have oilers, you guys, and vegas

Dont think they are fully safe
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Old 04-19-2022, 08:55 PM   #14
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Canucks have 1 benefit of Oilers last game are likely resting mcdavid and draisaitl

Also nashville has a very tough schedule, and stars have oilers, you guys, and vegas

Dont think they are fully safe
Oilers won't rest McDavid or Drai with individual stats on the line
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Old 04-19-2022, 09:03 PM   #15
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Yeah there’s no way that Mcdrai don’t play 25 mins a night with every second of PP and EN time possible as Johnny and Huberdeau could both very well pass them for their precious points trophies.
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Old 04-19-2022, 10:55 PM   #16
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Canucks losing to the Sens should quiet things down
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Old 04-19-2022, 11:21 PM   #17
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La Kings now have a 91% chance of making the playoffs.
Knights down to 13%
Canucks at 7%
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Old 04-19-2022, 11:29 PM   #18
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La Kings now have a 91% chance of making the playoffs.
Knights down to 13%
Canucks at 7%
Music to my ears as far as the Knights are concerned. Can’t wait until they are officially done. Should be fun watching them try to come up with a cap compliant roster for next season too
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Old 04-20-2022, 12:11 AM   #19
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To quote Ryan Whitney about Vegas "This is like hockey karma for all the bull#### they've pulled the last few years"
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Old 04-20-2022, 12:54 AM   #20
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Music to my ears as far as the Knights are concerned. Can’t wait until they are officially done. Should be fun watching them try to come up with a cap compliant roster for next season too
Those early posts from the Eichel trade thread aren't aging too well
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