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Old 09-05-2019, 08:23 AM   #61
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Denver often exceeds expectations in my mind, based on good defence, good running attack, and the best home field advantage in football.
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Old 09-05-2019, 09:59 AM   #62
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Denver often exceeds expectations in my mind, based on good defence, good running attack, and the best home field advantage in football.
By what measure? By winning % over the last 10 years they are 10th.
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:05 AM   #63
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My superbowl this year is that the Seahawks and their idiot coach don't make the playoffs this year. Anyone else can win the bowl!
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:06 AM   #64
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By what measure? By winning % over the last 10 years they are 10th.
Yes, but were they really the 10th best team, or did Mile High contribute to that? Seems to me they are tough to beat there. The altitude has to be an advantage for the Broncos?

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/...rf-best#slide7

https://deadspin.com/which-teams-in-...d-a-1828880402


https://statsbylopez.netlify.com/post/playing-at-home/

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Old 09-05-2019, 10:06 AM   #65
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I wouldn't call what the Ravens were doing Mediocre in his overall body of work. He certainly had his limits, but they made the playoffs frequently, won a Superbowl, and was in a couple other AFC Championship games. Since 2013, he has been mediocre though.

But since Manning left the Bronco's have not had mediocre play at QB. I agree that Flacco would need to have a bit of a bounce back, but I do think that he can play better than Case Keenum, and that with better coaching could be enough for the Bronco's to be that team who end up with 10 wins.

Now to be clear I'm not going out and better money on this, it's my odd ball prediction. Every year someone surprises in the NFL, and I'm guessing it will be the Bronco's who are better than people think.
It's a bit of a misconception that Flacco is better than Keenum. Statistically they are very similar players;

https://milehighsports.com/is-joe-fl...tell-the-tale/

That Super Bowl win was a long time ago. I think the Broncos are every bit the 6-8 win team that they have been projected as they still have issues on the offensive line and their receivers don't scare anyone. As has been the trend there will probably be a worst to first team but I don't think it will come from the AFC West.

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Old 09-05-2019, 10:21 AM   #66
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Yes, but were they really the 10th best team, or did Mile High contribute to that? Seems to me they are tough to beat there. The altitude has to be an advantage for the Broncos?
Their record at home over the last few years has been middling at best.
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:23 AM   #67
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By what measure? By winning % over the last 10 years they are 10th.
Elevation? Hardly the loudest stadium
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:23 AM   #68
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Their record at home over the last few years has been middling at best.
Good point, but maybe they were worse than a middling team. Hard to separate all that out, but chart above tries to do that.
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:47 AM   #69
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Well it's officially a disaster. I really do believe something is not right in AB's head. His behaviour over the last year is worse than anything TO ever did. He's totally unhinged.

https://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=1-27543744
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:53 AM   #70
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The absolute worst part of this AB #### show is when he gets cut and goes to New England and falls in line.
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:54 AM   #71
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So unexpected. Wild how things are turning out there.
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:59 AM   #72
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Tomlin hasn't got enough credit for keeping him in line for so long.

once he does get onto the field, you just know he'll turn on Carr quickly.
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:02 AM   #73
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Also did the Bills ever dodge a bullet by AB not wanting to be there. All kidding aside he clearly needs some psychological and medical help, even one more season of taking shots to the head will be devastating for this guy.
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:11 AM   #74
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The Raiders guy for the Athletic says he had to be held back by teammates. Have to wonder how long before Mayock and Gruden have enough.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1169651728427339777
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:16 AM   #75
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By what measure? By winning % over the last 10 years they are 10th.
Elevation? Hardly the loudest stadium
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:20 AM   #76
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The Raiders guy for the Athletic says he had to be held back by teammates. Have to wonder how long before Mayock and Gruden have enough.
Gruden has full control so the real question is who will he choose between Mayock and Brown? Seems an obvious choice, but even as insane as AB is he's still their best player by a good margin.
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:37 AM   #77
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What a clown show. He’s taken the diva WR schtick to a whole other level. I hope he gets cut, never finds his footing, and rides off into the sunset.
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:44 AM   #78
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Good point, but maybe they were worse than a middling team. Hard to separate all that out, but chart above tries to do that.
I don't know if that's true either. I did a little research during the offseason and the best homefield advantages over the last 3-5 years based on winning percentages were:

New Orleans
Kansas City
Baltimore
New England
Seattle
Pittsburgh
Minnesota
Philadelphia
Dallas
Tennessee

Out of those teams, only the Chiefs and Pats have consistently made the playoffs during those years.
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:47 AM   #79
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Lololololol

https://twitter.com/user/status/1169662591116951552
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:51 AM   #80
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The winning percentage could be because they were good teams, not because of an extra home field boost. How do we separate quality of team from the home field boost? Forgive my poor math mind!

Maybe a comparison of each franchise over a decade - home winning percentage minus road winning percentage. The highest net difference might indicate relative home advantage?
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