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Originally Posted by IamNotKenKing
I had no idea this argument was "won" 10 years ago. Foolish me for responding to a post with an opinion.
I certainly did not say that games played is the only determining factor in success of a pick, but the odds of that pick being a top 4 def. or top 6 forward are very relevant, in my opinion.
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As criteria this literally doesn't matter. Why ever draft in the 4th or 5th round if the chances of landing jamie benn or johnny gaudreau isn't high? Why draft at all? Because getting Pavel Datsyuk in the 7th round can quite literally change the entire fortunes of your roster for more than 10 years.
Do the Flames have some kind of track record to illustrate their way of doing business makes them more competitive than the rest of the league, or is their track record actually illustrative that the team has basically been garbage since one of the team's prominent owners bought his stake in the organization?
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I am not sure if this is what Flash is saying, but I don't necessarily agree that trading known players is better than trading unknown players, which of course are picks.
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I don't know what this means, so it's probably not what i'm saying.
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I.e. If you are somewhat content with your 3-5 year horizon, you might lean more to trading picks, as that is (huge over-generalisation) when mid 1st-round and later picks mature. If you are happy with your immediate team, and have players knocking down the door now, then you trade some of those players and keep picks for the future. I, and I think most of us, anticipate this is what the Flames will do with what seems to be a glut of young defensemen - possibly even resulting in Brodie being moved.
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This is probably where the flames are the worst of all. Identifying where they are at in the lifecycle of their team and core group. The team is only two years removed from one of their worst ever seasons. What on earth compelled them to think they should be moving this large a volume of high value draft picks? Why are they seemingly so consistently bad at pro-scouting? This must transcend general managers and scouting staffs.
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Also, another minor quibble, and I appreciate Flash was most likely being hyperbolic, but no, not every team has a player better than Janko from the 2012 draft. Certainly many do, but not all.
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Janko is 32nd in the league this year in points from his draft class. 33rd in points per game behind such heavyweights as Jujhar Khaira, Brock McGinn and Esa Lindell (a defender).
Points doesn't tell the whole story either. Janko is 51st in ice time per game for players from his draft class, just slightly ahead of Kulak, also from the same draft.
Anaheim: lindholm
Boston:
Buffalo: Jake McCabe, Grigorenko, Girgensons
Calgary: Janko, Kulak
Carolina: Brock McGinn, Slavin
Chicago: Hinostroza (dealt Teravainen)
Colorado:
Columbus: Anderson, Murray
Dallas: Faksa, Lindell, Devin Shore
Detroit: Frk, Athanasiou
Edmonton: Khaira
Florida: Matheson
LA: Pearson
Minnesota: Dumba
Montreal: Galchenyuk
etc etc etc. Go through the league if you want. You'll see the only teams without a player from that draft traded them away or lost them to college free agency.
It's wonderful that Janko has made the team and seems like he might be a depth player for the flames going forward, but what is seemingly a miracle for the flames is business as usual for the rest of the league.