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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
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Biden
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6 |
66.67% |
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Trump
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3 |
33.33% |
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Kanye/other/Independent
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0% |
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Would not vote
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0% |
11-03-2020, 04:23 PM
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#241
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Probably stuck driving someone somewhere
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Yup. As per that chart, registered/affiliated voters are essentially tied.
Throw in that chunk of independent etc voters and...
...not saying Biden has it, but I see that as a good sign. In Florida itself but as a proxy across the nation.
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11-03-2020, 04:23 PM
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#242
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
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From what I understand a victory for Biden in both Georgia and North Carolina would sew this thing up for him?
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11-03-2020, 04:23 PM
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#243
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Powerplay Quarterback
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Bonavista, Newfoundland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greyshep
Maybe I am missing something but this looks more like bad news for Biden? I thought early numbers from Florida are mail in votes? And then the walk up numbers (which are more likely Republican) are released later.
If that is true, Biden is already down by 173k votes before the walk up numbers come in.
Would be happy to find out I have this backwards.
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I read it as turnout TODAY. If the turnout for the Dems today is roughly equal to that if GOP, Biden will win based on him winning in early voting.
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11-03-2020, 04:23 PM
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#244
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Uncle Chester
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greyshep
Maybe I am missing something but this looks more like bad news for Biden? I thought early numbers from Florida are mail in votes? And then the walk up numbers (which are more likely Republican) are released later.
If that is true, Biden is already down by 173k votes before the walk up numbers come in.
Would be happy to find out I have this backwards.
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I thought I read that in Florida it is the opposite. The early mail-ins are considered red and the blue votes will come later. Not sure where I saw that though.
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11-03-2020, 04:25 PM
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#245
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Scoring Winger
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Sundre
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
What stats you seeing? The only thing I've seen is from the Florida GOP, and they have it as a small lead on party affiliation. They are also basing their numbers on a 109% voter turnout by Republicans, and only a 101% turnout by Democrats. So they are counting on an eight percent over-performance to achieve their numbers. They also are not mentioning the break of independents and what they looks like. The independents will settle Florida, as usual, it just depends on the break. If the early vote is consistent with what they report, the election is won in the independent mail-in.
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I love how into the pools you are, nice color commentary and breakdowns.
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11-03-2020, 04:27 PM
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#246
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Franchise Player
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Forgive my ignorance, but what's the value for either party to follow extremely hard in each state and how things are going? Just to keep a monitor on the process? Why not let the chips fall as they may?
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11-03-2020, 04:30 PM
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#247
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First round-bust
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: speculating about AHL players
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How many times is CNN going to refer to Indiana as the Vice President's home state and a reliably red state
__________________
"This has been TheScorpion's shtick for years. All these hot takes, clickbait nonsense just to feed his social media algorithms." –Tuco
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11-03-2020, 04:33 PM
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#249
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#1 Goaltender
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Calgary Satellite Community
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SportsJunky
I thought I read that in Florida it is the opposite. The early mail-ins are considered red and the blue votes will come later. Not sure where I saw that though.
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From a New York Times article I just found..
"Florida
It counts fast. The early and mail votes will arrive first and will probably lean Democratic; don’t be surprised to see Joe Biden take a lead. Then the Election Day votes should flood in. We’ll see whether President Trump can keep it close before the more Republican Panhandle counties (which are in the Central time zone) come in at 8 p.m. Nearly all of the votes will be counted by that time, and it’ll be a slow trickle to the finish. Unless it’s a really close race, it should be called on election night."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/03/u...ght-guide.html
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11-03-2020, 04:33 PM
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#250
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Franchise Player
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I hope it's an absolutely hilarious #### kicking.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterJoji
Johnny eats garbage and isn’t 100% committed.
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11-03-2020, 04:35 PM
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#251
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First round-bust
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: speculating about AHL players
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nik-
I hope it's an absolutely hilarious #### kicking.
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Oh me too. I want to see histrionic, raging tweetstorms from Trump, Dinesh D'Souza, Laura Ingraham, and Ben Shapiro by the end of the night.
__________________
"This has been TheScorpion's shtick for years. All these hot takes, clickbait nonsense just to feed his social media algorithms." –Tuco
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11-03-2020, 04:35 PM
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#252
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Probably stuck driving someone somewhere
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11-03-2020, 04:35 PM
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#253
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RedHot25
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Mama miamia
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterJoji
Johnny eats garbage and isn’t 100% committed.
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11-03-2020, 04:44 PM
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#255
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
From what I understand a victory for Biden in both Georgia and North Carolina would sew this thing up for him?
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There are lots of paths to victory for Biden by flipping Trump states, which looks likely. Trump needs a repeat of last election as the likelihood of flipping a Clinton state is almost non-existent. Of course there are some premature calls being made for Biden (Wisconsin and Michigan) but the polling data is strong there. I'm more optimistic than I was yesterday, but I'm still very guarded. We need to see results that support the polling data before I thrown a shovel of dirt on any body at this moment.
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11-03-2020, 04:44 PM
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#256
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First round-bust
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: speculating about AHL players
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it'd be hilarious if Biden's Kentucky lead holds
__________________
"This has been TheScorpion's shtick for years. All these hot takes, clickbait nonsense just to feed his social media algorithms." –Tuco
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11-03-2020, 04:46 PM
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#258
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RedHot25
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As good a reason as any!
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11-03-2020, 04:48 PM
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#259
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
There are lots of paths to victory for Biden by flipping Trump states, which looks likely. Trump needs a repeat of last election as the likelihood of flipping a Clinton state is almost non-existent. Of course there are some premature calls being made for Biden (Wisconsin and Michigan) but the polling data is strong there. I'm more optimistic than I was yesterday, but I'm still very guarded. We need to see results that support the polling data before I thrown a shovel of dirt on any body at this moment.
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Hey, I hear that. I've been too anxious with this one/preoccupied with BC election to really get into the nitty-gritty on this one, so I appreciate you adding some commentary.
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11-03-2020, 04:48 PM
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#260
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KootenayFlamesFan
So they can just turn down a judge's order. That's nice.
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I honestly don't get this. In Canada, this could result in jail time.
EDIT: MSNBC says they missed the Court deadline but they're actually doing it in over 200 of the locations.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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must show all Flames games nationally when they play on Saturdays, Mondays, and Wednesdays !!!
