Yeah it will be really interesting to see what he has to say after this run comes to an end. Dude is going to be pretty sought after by a lot of TV shows.
Yeah it will be really interesting to see what he has to say after this run comes to an end. Dude is going to be pretty sought after by a lot of TV shows.
Yeah, and the fact that its so out of character for him means there should be a story behind it.
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There is a leaked video going around Twitter of tonight's episode showing that James loses. Looks like he intentionally loses with a small bet of $1,399 in Final Jeopardy
Spoiler!
He made the correct wager.
He was in second place going into Final Jeopardy, so the only way he could win was if the woman in first got Final Jeopardy wrong (assuming she made a large enough wager to cover him if they both got it correct -- which he should assume she did).
As a result, the proper bet for him is one that ensures he finishes ahead of the third place player if both he and the first place player get Final Jeopardy wrong -- which is exactly what he bet.
Going into FJ:
Emma = $26,600
James = $23,400
Jay = $11,000
Emma's proper bet is $20,201 to ensure she wins if she gets it right (that is what she bet and she guaranteed her victory by getting FJ correct). She finished with $46,801. If James had bet everything, he would have lost by a dollar.
If Jay had bet everything, his maximum possible score was $22,000.
Because James had more than $22,000, his proper bet was $1,399, to ensure he'd finish with $22,001 if he was wrong. That is what he bet.
The only chance James had to win was for Emma to get FJ wrong. If she had, she would have finished with $6,399 and James would have won even if he got it wrong too.
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article on 538 that has a little blurb about how he lost
Quote:
James Holzhauer claims not to remember many particulars of how he lost on “Jeopardy!” for the first time, other than that he blanked on a clue about the city of Albany and his opponent quickly took control of the board, landing a game-changing Daily Double. Before long, it was all over.
He was in second place going into Final Jeopardy, so the only way he could win was if the woman in first got Final Jeopardy wrong (assuming she made a large enough wager to cover him if they both got it correct -- which he should assume she did).
As a result, the proper bet for him is one that ensures he finishes ahead of the third place player if both he and the first place player get Final Jeopardy wrong -- which is exactly what he bet.
Going into FJ:
Emma = $26,600
James = $23,400
Jay = $11,000
Emma's proper bet is $20,201 to ensure she wins if she gets it right (that is what she bet and she guaranteed her victory by getting FJ correct). She finished with $46,801. If James had bet everything, he would have lost by a dollar.
If Jay had bet everything, his maximum possible score was $22,000.
Because James had more than $22,000, his proper bet was $1,399, to ensure he'd finish with $22,001 if he was wrong. That is what he bet.
The only chance James had to win was for Emma to get FJ wrong. If she had, she would have finished with $6,399 and James would have won even if he got it wrong too.
All of this is under the assumption that he would do things by the book. He's way different than any other player we've seen, which is why I'm surprised he didn't go crazy in Final, even if it meant he lost. I still think something is up.
The Daily Doubles killed him. In the first round, he got the DD on the first pick, so he wasn't able to rack up big money early like he usually did.
In Double Jeopardy, Emma hit both the Daily Doubles, and used James' own strategy of betting everything on the first one. If she had bet a more-conservative amount, she wouldn't have had a lead going into Final Jeopardy and James would have held the hammer.
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While I appreciate the spoiler tags, it kind of gives it away just by virtue of using spoiler tags. Plus it’s out there already so I knew before I opened the thread why it got bumped.
While I appreciate the spoiler tags, it kind of gives it away just by virtue of using spoiler tags. Plus it’s out there already so I knew before I opened the thread why it got bumped.
You're complaining that the spoiler tags are giving away something that you already knew anyway?
While I appreciate the spoiler tags, it kind of gives it away just by virtue of using spoiler tags. Plus it’s out there already so I knew before I opened the thread why it got bumped.
All of this is under the assumption that he would do things by the book. He's way different than any other player we've seen, which is why I'm surprised he didn't go crazy in Final, even if it meant he lost. I still think something is up.
He has always played correctly according to the odds.
The amount people have historically bet on daily doubles has been wrong. Effectively playing for a runaway on a daily double is the correct strategy when you answer 97% of questions you ring in on correctly.
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He has always played correctly according to the odds.
The amount people have historically bet on daily doubles has been wrong. Effectively playing for a runaway on a daily double is the correct strategy when you answer 97% of questions you ring in on correctly.
I wonder if we now see more people alter their strategy to take a similar approach.
It could cause a dramatic shift in how much money is paid out on a daily basis.
I wonder if we now see more people alter their strategy to take a similar approach.
It could cause a dramatic shift in how much money is paid out on a daily basis.
No question he's changed the game. No one will be going top down on categories anymore.
No question he's changed the game. No one will be going top down on categories anymore.
It's actually made it a bit more fun to watch for me, because I usually get a lot of the top 1-2-3 questions. More rare that I get the 4-5 questions, so when they clear the bottom of the board first and then start clearing out the top, suddenly I sound like:
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