11-04-2021, 11:09 PM
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#141
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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I thought I was a real sharp guy when I took the Packers with a +225 Moneyline play against the Chiefs on Monday before their game against the Giants. After the game that looked like a good bet since the line shifted 4 points in the Packers favor after the game. But now....eff the Immaculate Inoculation screwing that over.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
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12-30-2021, 01:18 PM
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#142
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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Not much action in this thread this year.
To date I've had a decent year. Started out well, but hit a bit of a November swoon when some of these odd upsets started to happen. Have come back a bit in the past couple of weeks.
With the recent Covid Protocols it has definitely made things tricky for sports books and bettors as you wait to see who's in and who's not. Been risky to try and get on the lines you like early because teams can get hit with Covid.
I've found that Wong Teasers have worked well. Basically it works for teams who are 7.5 to 8.5 favorites and you can buy 6 points to tease them down to winning by a Field Goal or less. Likewise if you can tease 1.5 to 2.5 dogs up to 7.5 or 8.5. Couple those with adding 6 points to games with low totals where each point is worth more and it's generally worked. Although none of those this week at this time.
The line to be ware of this week is Philly +3.5 or +3 on the WFT. Some trends really favor Washington here. So that one surprised me as a lot of Sharps have been steaming the Eagles lately.
I like the Lions to cover against the Seahawks this week, and a lot of the professional gamblers are liking the Vikings to cover against the Packers too.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
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01-02-2022, 04:08 PM
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#143
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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Glad I walked away from my Lions to cover bet.. being a bit of a Machoist I took a lot of prop bet unders on the players on my fantasy team...those paid off. Also got paid for the Bengals win today. Hit the Bengals +13.5 when it was 14-0. Slso grabbed the Raiders +8.5 before kickoff.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
Last edited by Sylvanfan; 01-02-2022 at 04:11 PM.
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01-02-2022, 05:42 PM
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#144
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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From what I could find last night the Cowboys and Cards over 52.5 was bet pretty heavy, as were the Boys +5.5. So the house got the result they wanted there.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
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02-20-2022, 05:49 PM
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#145
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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General betting thread? Take over 325 in the NBA All-Star Game, easiest bet all year.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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02-20-2022, 06:18 PM
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#146
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports
General betting thread? Take over 325 in the NBA All-Star Game, easiest bet all year.
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Since they started doing Team Lebron vs Team Durant there has only been one game over 325. I'm not sure if over is really a guarantee. Betting on these types of games is tough.
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02-20-2022, 06:40 PM
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#147
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calgarygeologist
Since they started doing Team Lebron vs Team Durant there has only been one game over 325. I'm not sure if over is really a guarantee. Betting on these types of games is tough.
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The issue is the 4th quarter, it could be only 35-45 points. So the first 3 quarters need to be each close to 100.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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02-20-2022, 08:24 PM
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#148
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports
The issue is the 4th quarter, it could be only 35-45 points. So the first 3 quarters need to be each close to 100.
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I only post this here because there is no specific discussion on the all star game but Curry is ridiculous. 13 three pointers with 72% shooting.
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The Following User Says Thank You to calgarygeologist For This Useful Post:
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09-08-2022, 12:30 PM
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#149
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Victoria
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Figured I'd might as well bump this. I'll be doing picks again but doing them as part of the $125k Super Contest through mybookie. If you feel like signing up and want to do me a solid, here's my referral link https://mybookie.ag/signup/?reff=MB1645366
Anyways, games I like best this week are:
PHI -4
TB -2.5
NE +3.5
I think CHI +7 might be a sharp bet this week.
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09-08-2022, 12:45 PM
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#150
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Victoria
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I took BUF -2.5 tonight.
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09-08-2022, 02:32 PM
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#151
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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From what I remember Underdogs started off hot last year and a lot of early games went over, especially prime time games. Theory is that less practices in pads and pre season Action, the defenses are behind the offence and weather elements have less impact.
First half under tonight might be a decent play as I think neither team will want the other to get many possessions. So might see some slow playing and longer drives until the teams can find a rhythm.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
Last edited by Sylvanfan; 09-08-2022 at 05:22 PM.
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09-09-2022, 07:45 AM
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#152
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Pitt Meadows
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Hopped on the hype and took Dameon Pierce OROY.
Bets for this weekend
Ravens -6
Jags +3
Vikings +1.5
Dolphins -3
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09-09-2022, 08:26 AM
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#153
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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From what I can see these are the best teaser options.
Jags from +2.5 to +8.5
Cowboys from +2.5 to +8.5
Vikings from +1.5 to +7.5
So I'll play that.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
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09-09-2022, 08:42 AM
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#154
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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if we're adding 6 I like the Seahawks +12.5 on Monday night. It's going to be their super bowl against Russell Wilson
Parlay that with Chargers +3.5. The Raiders might win but they're not winning by more than a late FG.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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09-09-2022, 09:55 AM
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#155
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Appealing my suspension
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Just outside Enemy Lines
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From what I've read teasing to cross 0 isn't worth it. Used to be that getting the number past 7 on dogs and in front of 3 on favorites was the optimal play. With all the scirigami games and more 6 and 8 point TD's...I'm not sure if it's what it once was. So getting the Seahawks past 7, 8, 10, 11 probably makes some sense. The other thing is to look for games with lower totals as the points are worth more...so on a 44.5 total you get the same odds on your 6 points as you do on a game with a 53.5 total.
__________________
"Some guys like old balls"
Patriots QB Tom Brady
Last edited by Sylvanfan; 09-09-2022 at 10:00 AM.
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09-09-2022, 09:58 AM
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#156
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Franchise Player
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Seahawks are not going to be as bad as people think IMO
Russ was as bad as a QB in the league for most of their season last year and while they weren’t good , they weren’t getting blown out
I love the idea of teasing the Hawks early in the year.
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09-09-2022, 11:50 AM
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#157
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First Line Centre
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I love a good degen thread. Welcome back NFL.
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09-09-2022, 11:58 AM
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#158
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason14h
Seahawks are not going to be as bad as people think IMO
Russ was as bad as a QB in the league for most of their season last year and while they weren’t good , they weren’t getting blown out
I love the idea of teasing the Hawks early in the year.
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Petey Carole as coach... yeah they are going to be god awful the next 3-5 years.
Which really sucks for me, who doesn't have a favorite team but to cheer for, except for the Seanucks to get bounced from the playoffs every year.
My season will be done by November 1st! lol
__________________
Peter12 "I'm no Trump fan but he is smarter than most if not everyone in this thread. ”
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09-09-2022, 11:58 AM
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#159
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Franchise Player
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and great start this year already. Had the Bills at -8.5, -13.5 and -19.5.. Wish it was that easy every time.
__________________
Peter12 "I'm no Trump fan but he is smarter than most if not everyone in this thread. ”
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09-11-2022, 11:37 AM
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#160
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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Weather is terrible in Chicago. Taking live under 33.
And I never take the under.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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