Let's talk Box Office

[getbak]

In its fourth week of release, Frozen 2 crosses the billion dollar mark worldwide and passes Aladdin on the domestic list for the year so far. It currently sits in 6th place on the year.

Jumanji opened on the high-end of its expectations, pulling in $60.1 million for its opening weekend. This is significantly higher than the last one did on its opening weekend, but that one had incredible longevity and just kept playing and making money.

[Nadal Fan]

Originally Posted by getbak

In its fourth week of release, Frozen 2 crosses the billion dollar mark worldwide and passes Aladdin on the domestic list for the year so far. It currently sits in 6th place on the year.

Jumanji opened on the high-end of its expectations, pulling in $60.1 million for its opening weekend. This is significantly higher than the last one did on its opening weekend, but that one had incredible longevity and just kept playing and making money.

The key to Jumanji I believe is how well received Star Wars is. If the new one is a crowd favorite that will hurt Jamanji box office a lot. I still think because it is the holidays it should make over $300 million.

[OutOfTheCube]

Jumanji 1 also opened directly against Star Wars two years ago, whereas Jumanji 2 was only playing against Frozen 2 in it's fourth weekend and other holdovers. Natural for it to have a much bigger opening when it basically had the weekend to itself.

[blankall]

The budget on Jumanji 2 is only $125 million. Pretty low considering the effects and star power behind this. They definitely avoided the trap of spending more on sequels, and the movie should turn profits before the end of the week.

[Strange Brew]

Rise of Skywalker looking at a $190 million domestic opening, continuing the downward trend from the previous two films.

[getbak]

They're now saying Rise of Skywalker will bring in $175.5 million for the weekend. Down from the previous 2, and less than Endgame and The Lion King did earlier this year, but still one of the biggest opening weekends of all time.

This does put RoS into 10th place for the year, which gives Disney 7 of the top 10 movies of the year (plus Spider-Man -- so kind of 8/10).

Frozen 2 is less than $5 million behind Far From Home. Once it passes, Disney will have a complete stranglehold on the top-5 for the year (with RoS moving up there eventually for a total Disney top-6).


The top-10 for the year is now entirely made up of sequels, remakes, and/or franchise films. Not one original story is in the top-10. 3 MCU films, 2 Disney remakes, 2 Disney animated sequels, 2 killer clowns, and a Star Wars sequel (in a pear tree).

[OutOfTheCube]

It's all relative though... $175M among all movies is fantastic of course, but $175M as a huge dip from the previous two movies, when this was hyped and marketed as the must-see conclusion to one of the top two grossing movie franchises in history, is definitely a bad sign for the franchise.

[Locke]

Originally Posted by OutOfTheCube

It's all relative though... $175M among all movies is fantastic of course, but $175M as a huge dip from the previous two movies, when this was hyped and marketed as the must-see conclusion to one of the top two grossing movie franchises in history, is definitely a bad sign for the franchise.

And I think it should be.

Frankly, the primary trilogy tentpoles have been the least engaging and interesting element of the entire Star Wars resurrection.

The characters are flat and uninteresting, the quest is nebulous and unclear, the goals and motivations are ambiguous.

The movies are there but they arent really telling a story or going anywhere.

[blankall]

Originally Posted by OutOfTheCube

It's all relative though... $175M among all movies is fantastic of course, but $175M as a huge dip from the previous two movies, when this was hyped and marketed as the must-see conclusion to one of the top two grossing movie franchises in history, is definitely a bad sign for the franchise.

Within that $175 million is a guaranteed fanbase that will also buy huge amounts of pre-sale tickets.

Ultimately, at this time of year with this kind of movie, the opening is going to be a bit all over the place. The final take for the movie will be what's important. TLJ finished with 1.3 billion total. RoS really needs to build on that.

Especially after the big drop from TFA, which brought in over 2 billion. A downward trend over all 3 movies is definitely trouble. That doesn't even take into account Solo being a major flop.

That being said, the Manadalorian is being praised. Disney really needs to hone in what makes a Star Wars movie good. It's obviously not just a bunch of x-wings and over the top CGI stuff.

[Strange Brew]

I guess the thing is bombing in China, which maybe has something to do with the genre. Just that Disney wants to make money on Star Wars across all their lines of business so that’s a big chunk of the world who seemingly don’t care about Star Wars.

[GGG]

Star Wars never made money in China so that is expected.

It will be interesting to see if legs are better than Jedi. As Critcal reception was poor but audience word of mouth is better than Jedi.

[Strange Brew]

Originally Posted by GGG

Star Wars never made money in China so that is expected.

It will be interesting to see if legs are better than Jedi. As Critcal reception was poor but audience word of mouth is better than Jedi.

Force Awakens did $52 million opening weekend in China, this did $22 million. Yeah it’s not as popular but that has to be a little disappointing.

I don’t think audience word of mouth is all that great. It’s certainly appealing to fans that went to multiple viewings of the previous films. But is there much here to attract the casual fan?

Since it’s the holidays you can’t really look at holds from one weekend to another but seems likely the domestic and global box office will continue the downward trend from the previous films.

[getbak]

Ip Man 4 was released in China this weekend (and did over $46 million), so that probably had an impact on TROS.

[CaptainCrunch]

Why is no one talking about the incredible 6.5 million bought in by Cats on a budget off 100 million dollars. Its so bad that the makers sent what would basically be a patch to theaters with improved graphics.


Even Waterworld long considered to be one of the biggest busts in history bought in a 21 million dollar opening weekend.

[getbak]

ROS did a solid $29.4 million on Monday to pass the $200 million mark. This is better than TLJ did on its first Monday, but not as good as TFA.

[getbak]

$20 million on Christmas Eve and $32 million on Christmas Day for Rise of Skywalker. This brings it to $258.9 million total after 6 days, which is about $20 million behind TLJ over the same time period. It should pass $300 million on day 8 of its release, which is the same number of days that TLJ took.

This weekend should give us an indication if it will have better legs than TLJ and whether or not it can outperform TLJ.

It is still outpacing Rogue One and has already exceeded Solo's total run.

[GGG]

The caveat with TLJ is its Christmas Day was in its second weak at hit 27 million so in comparison to ROS at 32 million it’s hard to say whether it’s doing better or not.

[blankall]

Originally Posted by GGG

The caveat with TLJ is its Christmas Day was in its second weak at hit 27 million so in comparison to ROS at 32 million it’s hard to say whether it’s doing better or not.

The Christmas break is also a pretty wacky box office period. Families go out for the movies now and will see just about anything. This seems to get more intense every year.

The only competition this Christmas is Jumanji.

[Strange Brew]

Originally Posted by blankall

The Christmas break is also a pretty wacky box office period. Families go out for the movies now and will see just about anything. This seems to get more intense every year.

The only competition this Christmas is Jumanji.

It does seem like there are less must see movies this Christmas that appeal across age groups. That must be helping Star Wars.

[peter12]

Has anyone seen Uncut Gems yet? I love Sandler and I heard it was a fantastic movie.