Flames After 6 Games - 2018/19 vs 2019/20

[Bingo]

Simple Possession

CF60 -5.5
CA60 +5.5
CF% -4.7

Team isn't out playing the opposition five on five in simple metrics

Shots

For -1
Vs +1
Diff -1.7%

Minor change but shots for down, shots against up

Expected Results

xGF60 -.75
xGA60 -.27

Playing better defensively when types of shots are taken into account, but way off offensively

High Danger Chances

HDCF60 -5.7
HDCA60 -5.7

Generating less, but giving up less. Neutral

PDO

5on5 -.04
5on5 HD -13.0
5on5 MD -4.0
5on5 LD -2.0

Luck index has Calgary off on all five on five, but also in all danger splits. High Danger the biggest culprit. HD Save percentage is down 7.2% and shooting percentage is down 5.9%. That's crazy.

The all 5on5 PDO is primarily due to shooting percentage.

[Makarov]

A question for clarity: is that measuring the first six games this season against (a) all of last season; or (b) the first six games of last season?

[Bingo]

Originally Posted by Makarov

A question for clarity: is that measuring the first six games this season against (a) all of last season; or (b) the first six games of last season?

First six games from both years.

If you think Calgary out scored their talent last year then this is the adjustment you've been expecting.

If you are in the camp that it's early and scoring will rebound, the save percentage drag supports that.