Rube's 2020 Degenerate Piece of Garbage Thread (NFL Gambling)

[GirlySports]

any tips on the college championship tonight? Looks difficult. Line is Michigan -6 and total is 58

[Iggy_12]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

any tips on the college championship tonight? Looks difficult. Line is Michigan -6 and total is 58

Tough game the teams have each others opposite strengths and weaknesses.

I like washington +6 and even a little sprinkle on ML

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

any tips on the college championship tonight? Looks difficult. Line is Michigan -6 and total is 58

Apparently the math on Michigan moneyline is advantageous because anyone backing Washington was betting ML and not the spread.

I took Michigan -4.5 shortly after open because the theoretical future number before New Year's was Michigan -6.5.

[EldrickOnIce]

Made a sizeable (for me) pre season bet of Ravens to wins at +1800
I could take buyout right now at essentially +300
I do not expect the Ravens will win SB.
I welcome your thoughts on best time to cash out? Assuming they win this weekend (and I expect they will) I'm not even sure the payout will increase much?

[rubecube]

I'd let it ride, personally.

[Jason14h]

Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce

Made a sizeable (for me) pre season bet of Ravens to wins at +1800
I could take buyout right now at essentially +300
I do not expect the Ravens will win SB.
I welcome your thoughts on best time to cash out? Assuming they win this weekend (and I expect they will) I'm not even sure the payout will increase much?

As a Ravens fan I have the same bet .

Let Er Ride

[Sylvanfan]

Well for arguments sake, if you took the cash out, than use your original stake to ride the Ravenss moneyline I'd expect that to result in another +300. So you guarantee yourself the plus 300 with upside of another 300. Now you could just get your stake back and than take your winnings and bet that moneyline every week rolled over and that probably ends up +1200. So you get your original stake back but lose 50% of your upside.

You're not at a point where it makes sense to try and hedge it.

[transplant99]

Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce

Made a sizeable (for me) pre season bet of Ravens to wins at +1800
I could take buyout right now at essentially +300
I do not expect the Ravens will win SB.
I welcome your thoughts on best time to cash out? Assuming they win this weekend (and I expect they will) I'm not even sure the payout will increase much?

Curious as to why you think this?

SF too strong?

I think the Ravens have a pretty doable road to the SB myself.

I picked them as my winner at the beginning of the playoffs, but the Niners are definately a frightening group if they are clickin....thing is though the Ravens D made Purdy look like a raw amateur on Christmas day in SF.

I say let it ride dude,,,,they are a really good team

[EldrickOnIce]

Originally Posted by transplant99

Curious as to why you think this?

SF too strong?

I think the Ravens have a pretty doable road to the SB myself.

I picked them as my winner at the beginning of the playoffs, but the Niners are definately a frightening group if they are clickin....thing is though the Ravens D made Purdy look like a raw amateur on Christmas day in SF.

I say let it ride dude,,,,they are a really good team

That was my thought. 9ers too good.
But I'm now 90% convinced to let it play out.
I appreciate everyone's input!

[Jason14h]

Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce

Made a sizeable (for me) pre season bet of Ravens to wins at +1800
I could take buyout right now at essentially +300
I do not expect the Ravens will win SB.
I welcome your thoughts on best time to cash out? Assuming they win this weekend (and I expect they will) I'm not even sure the payout will increase much?

Another hedge play is to take Texans + the points today for 1/4 of your potential payout.

Ravens win and your cash out will go up for next week

Texans win and you put $$ in your pocket

Ravens win but Texans cover you win your new bet AND Ravens bet still alive

[Sylvanfan]

Here's some potential look ahead lines.

49'ers -2 vs Ravens
49'ers -3 vs Chiefs
Ravens -5.5 vs. Lions.

So this week you likely would want to hedge Chiefs +3.5 to get past 3, although it is juiced against the Chiefs at this number.

Assuming the Ravens win, you can hedge SF, if that line stayed 2...probably go moneyline as 2 is a bit of a dead number. But that line could swing if it gets to that. If it's Detroit...cash out, the world might end before that game starts.

[EldrickOnIce]

Their final offer prior to this upcoming game is about +450 early cash out. We wait

[Sylvanfan]

Hedging with the Chiefs at 4.5 does give you a nice middle. If it's 24-20 Baltimore which is the markets implied score you win on both accounts.

[EldrickOnIce]

I did bet Chiefs +4.5. And Lions +7. So not all was a loss today.
And also missed a nice +725 parlay with Goff throwing 275+, and he finished with 273
Not a great day for me as a fan, nor for the bankroll

[Hockey]

I was off gambling for the last couple months, but since I don't really have a rooting interest in this game I decided to throw down a couple prop bets

Pachecho o66.5 rush yards
Samuel o58.5 rec yards
Gray ATD

[rubecube]

Gave this a shot and I'm crushing it.

https://www.forbes.com/betting/baske...march-madness/