01-07-2018, 07:03 PM
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#1
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#1 Goaltender
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Final Half of The Schedule: The Easier Half?
Took a look at the future schedule and I thought there were a few things that stood out to me that could offer up some optimism. So now that we’re officially half way in to our season, It’s possible that we may be entering the easier half of the schedule. When I look at the schedule going forward, there’s a few games that stand out to me. 3 games vs Arizona, 2 games vs Buffalo, 2 games vs Florida.
By no means are these games guaranteed victories or a free spot on the bingo card. But if the Flames can successfully take care of business and win these games however likely or unlikely it is, that could be 7 wins right there. Assuming it takes somewhere around 94 points to make the playoffs, we’d have to go 24-17 to obtain that record (or some other variation of 48 points) and if I were to include those 7 wins I mentioned, then potentially we would only need to go .500 against the other teams. I don’t think that’s too crazy at all. It’s very much possible that a lot of teams like the Oilers, Sens, Sabres and etc will be trading away players at the deadline as well making their teams more shallow which should help us.
Guessing the last 41 games and conservatively splitting the season series, I could see it going like this and getting us to the 94 points we will need.
Minnesota Wild W
Tampa Bay Lightning L
Florida Panthers W
Carolina Hurricanes W
Winnipeg Jets W
Buffalo Sabres W
Los Angeles Kings L
Edmonton Oilers W
Vegas Golden Knights W
Tampa Bay Lightning L
Chicago Blackhawks W
Chicago Blackhawks L
New Jersey Devils L
New York Rangers W
New York Islanders W
Boston Bruins L
Nashville Predators L
Florida Panthers W
Boston Bruins W
Vegas Golden Knights L
Arizona Coyotes W
Colorado Avalanche W
Dallas Stars W
Colorado Avalanche L
New York Rangers L
Pittsburgh Penguins L
Buffalo Sabres W
Ottawa Senators W
New York Islanders W
Edmonton Oilers L
San Jose Sharks L
Vegas Golden Knights L
Arizona Coyotes W
Anaheim Ducks L
San Jose Sharks W
Los Angeles Kings W
Columbus Blue Jackets L
Edmonton Oilers W
Arizona Coyotes W
Winnipeg Jets L
Vegas Golden Knights W
What do your final 41 games look like?
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01-07-2018, 07:37 PM
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#2
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
What do your final 41 games look like?
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41 W's.
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01-07-2018, 07:39 PM
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#3
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Farm Team Player
Join Date: Sep 2009
Exp:
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Gotta crush the Oilers.
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01-07-2018, 08:05 PM
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#4
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Franchise Player
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Disagree with that win over the jets, otherwise our lists are the same. What are the odds.
__________________
If I do not come back avenge my death
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01-07-2018, 08:41 PM
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#5
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Maple Bay, B.C.
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It's probably only a matter of time until GG pulls a Lou Brown...
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01-07-2018, 09:30 PM
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#6
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#1 Goaltender
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Northendzone
Disagree with that win over the jets, otherwise our lists are the same. What are the odds.
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Are you anticipating 92 points then?
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01-07-2018, 09:32 PM
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#7
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Classic_Sniper
Are you anticipating 92 points then?
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If they have 17 losses as you suggest chances are slim to non there won't be at least a couple of looser points
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01-07-2018, 09:45 PM
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#8
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#1 Goaltender
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Snuffleupagus
If they have 17 losses as you suggest chances are slim to non there won't be at least a couple of looser points
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Naturally, but for simplicity sake I went with just wins and losses. I did mention that any variation of points that gets us to 48 should be the goal because that should take us 94 total points which likely gets you in.
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01-08-2018, 11:37 AM
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#9
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: I'm right behind you
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dash_pinched
It's probably only a matter of time until GG pulls a Lou Brown...
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Nobody wants to see Murray Edwards or any of the other owners naked.
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Don't fear me. Trust me.
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01-08-2018, 12:24 PM
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#10
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Vancouver, BC
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I'd like to see the Flames catch the Sharks... that'd assure a playoff spot, pretty well.
I believe they 2 games left against the Sharks... and one more against the Ducks... win those 3 games and they should be fine.
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... Eakins' claims Gagne's line played Kessel's line even...
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Originally Posted by Hells Bells View Post
Yeah, Gagner's line was -4 and Kessel's was +4, so it all evened out.
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01-08-2018, 12:53 PM
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#11
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Franchise Player
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It's a really annoying schedule from a game frequency perspective.
I think i saw that the flames have only 11 games in Jan. The team is just coming off the xmas break, then their bye week break, and then the allstar break.... UGH. talk about making it difficult to get into a role/rhythm.
Then in february, a month of only 28 days, they play 15 games.
What i have learned about the flames this season is the opposition itself is slightly less meaningful. This team can look damn good against anyone (beating the kings, blues, ducks, etc) yet, it's their ability to show up for a game and start on time which is the bigger problem. Hence, i think the upcoming schedule is going to be quite a challenge for this team.
I'm hoping that there is a change in the mentality of this group and we begin seeing a much better probability of the team starting each game on time.
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01-08-2018, 01:24 PM
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#12
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Owner
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Calgary
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Ran the numbers of the current standings in terms of home and road winning percentage against all foes in both situations looking back and looking forward.
The current win % of games completed (opposition) is .546
The current win % of games to be played (opposition) is .580
This doesn't take into account having to play a team that was better when they played the Flames than they are now, or playing more games against teams in the second half that started well but are deteriorating.
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01-08-2018, 01:26 PM
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#13
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Looooooooooooooch
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I don't care if we go 2-39 and only win against the Oilers.
It would still be a success in my mind.
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01-08-2018, 02:20 PM
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#14
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Franchise Player
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Here is the remaining schedule coded according to division/wildcard implications. Green are divisional games against teams ahead of us (I've excluded Vegas since we're probably not catching them); yellow are games against the Central teams that are still in the wildcard race (I've excluded Winnipeg and Nashville; we don't play the Blues again this year either).
Other than the LA game on Jan 24, that's a big gap between games against divisional rivals. Hopefully we can pick up enough points during that stretch knowing that the vast majority are not four point games (and that giving up a loser point is not a big deal).
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01-08-2018, 03:23 PM
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#15
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Springbank
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One four and one six game road trip. And the game after the long one is against Fla - that's good.
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01-08-2018, 07:54 PM
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#16
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Rocky Mt House
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iggy City
I don't care if we go 2-39 and only win against the Oilers.
It would still be a success in my mind.
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Hell no. The Oil fans would ridicule such a record and rightly so. We wouldn't even win the season series (we have 3 games left vs Oil)
I would rather make the playoffs even if it meant continuing the losing streak to the Oilers. They can chirp all they want while Flames are going deep in the playoffs.
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