Alberta Election Thread - Election Day April 16 2019

[GGG]

Originally Posted by PepsiFree

Speculative, I think. Curtailment doesn’t crush investment, what it does is keep Alberta producers afloat while these other factors are at play. Curtailment had a huge role in stabilising the market during Q1.

I don’t think you’re fully considering the impact of capped export capacity on investment. Curtailment is keeping producers profitable while they’re able to ramp up oil by rail, and as producers are able to export more, they become even more profitable, and investment bounces back.

Curtailment keeps producers afloat. To do this required a significant cutback in production. This means that limited sustaining capital investment is occurring this year, Instead wells are allowed to decline naturally without replacing that production.

Long term capital investment is crushed by a lack of export capacity.

The goal of curtailment was to get the diff to the marginal cost of rail. The goal stated at the start was not $6 Diff.

[Husky]

Currtialmemt is a temporary thing - imvestment is a long item. Cant crush investment until the curtailmemt is 2+ years which it isnt suppose to be. This is a temporary hurt on large integrated companies that have been bemding over the mkt last few years.

[GGG]

Originally Posted by Husky

Currtialmemt is a temporary thing - imvestment is a long item. Cant crush investment until the curtailmemt is 2+ years which it isnt suppose to be. This is a temporary hurt on large integrated companies that have been bemding over the mkt last few years.

Spending this year has been delayed canceled and deferred as a direct result of companies not being able to maintain and expand production. This is a fact. This leads to direct loss of jobs.

This is balanced with the benefits of curtailment of raising the price allowing not integrated companies to maintain operations. Thus far curtailment has driven the price higher than predicted.

[Husky]

There are tons of companies not impacted that are growing or maintaining oil production. Like i said it imlacts the larger players and short term.

[Bunk]

My 1 hr conversation with Derek Fildebrandt of the Freedom Conservative Party.

https://livewirecalgary.com/2019/04/...rvative-party/

[Slava]

Originally Posted by Bunk

My 1 hr conversation with Derek Fildebrandt of the Freedom Conservative Party.

https://livewirecalgary.com/2019/04/...rvative-party/

I haven’t listened yet, but did you talk about the green line? That’s a vote getter in Calgary, lol!

[Ashartus]

Originally Posted by transplant99

Honest question because i have no idea.

Was it common for projects scheduled for a start date to be delayed well over 3 years because of bureaucracy, or is this a one-off/recent phenomenon?

I think this is the kind of thing Kenney has been talking about when he says they will cut the red tape etc on new projects, and his impetus for doing so is because of more recent stumbling blocks being thrown up by government.

Or I may be misreading this entirely.

I think the longest I had one delayed was about 1.5 years, but I was only involved in a handful. Usually it seemed to be things like lawyers for a concerned party saying their experts needed more time to review something, or someone getting a submission in late.

[Bunk]

Originally Posted by Slava

I haven’t listened yet, but did you talk about the green line? That’s a vote getter in Calgary, lol!

Didn’t come up

[tvp2003]

I just saw someone drive up to my neighbor's house across the street, grab their UCP election sign, and drive away. Are the NDP that desperate that they're stealing lawn signs from their competitors? Or is this some wacko with their own personal issues?

[Amethyst]

My neighbourhood is full of yards where people have signs for two (or more!) different parties. Do the members of the household all disagree? Do they think every time someone offers a sign they need to accept? I think it's weird how many places have this.

One house has both a giant UCP sign and a giant NDP sign on its front lawn. Weird....

[dre]

Originally Posted by Amethyst

My neighbourhood is full of yards where people have signs for two (or more!) different parties. Do the members of the household all disagree? Do they think every time someone offers a sign they need to accept? I think it's weird how many places have this.

One house has both a giant UCP sign and a giant NDP sign on its front lawn. Weird....

We don't have a sign on our lawn, but my wife will vote NDP and I am probably going to vote UCP.

[You Need a Thneed]

What are people seeing for signs- percentages for each party?

I think the Alberta Party might have the most up here in Calgary-Falconridge.

[Amethyst]

Originally Posted by dre

We don't have a sign on our lawn, but my wife will vote NDP and I am probably going to vote UCP.

I can understand that happening occasionally. I just seems strange to me that there would be so many families who feel strongly enough about a party to put up a sign, yet disagree about who to vote for.

[malcolmk14]

Pretty good NDP/UCP split for signs here in Rosscarrock.

[8 Ball]

Originally Posted by Amethyst

I can understand that happening occasionally. I just seems strange to me that there would be so many families who feel strongly enough about a party to put up a sign, yet disagree about who to vote for.

Sounds kinky

[Roughneck]

So the UCP will launch an inquiry into finding out why a dam they don’t want to build isn’t already under construction...

https://twitter.com/user/status/1114611819891421184

[troutman]

Originally Posted by tvp2003

I just saw someone drive up to my neighbor's house across the street, grab their UCP election sign, and drive away. Are the NDP that desperate that they're stealing lawn signs from their competitors? Or is this some wacko with their own personal issues?

I've seen lots of NDP signs go missing in West Hillhurst, and vandalized on twitter. It's wrong when anyone does it.

[#-3]

Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed

What are people seeing for signs- percentages for each party?

I think the Alberta Party might have the most up here in Calgary-Falconridge.

I'm in Calgary North.

Lawns on my block
11 x AP
10 x UCP
0 x everyone else.


AP, Libs, NDP, and AIP all have a ton of public property signs. But it don't think those count in the sign primary.

[btimbit]

Didn't take a count but lots of NDP signs up in Edmonton. Pretty different from my area in Calgary which was all UCP and AP

[transplant99]

I cant believe that this is even a "thing"....but it does illustrate the stupidity of looking into someones social media past and thinking that everything they say/said is something they firmly believe or adhere to.I have no doubt that the context of this was nothing more than making a joke or having some fun...ugh.

The NDP’s election candidate for the riding of Calgary-Peigan issued an apology on Saturday afternoon after a social media post he shared about jihad and the Crusades was leaked to the media.


Screenshots of the meme suggest Joe Pimlott shared the images on Dec. 27, 2011 and July 1, 2012. It shows what appears to be a knight with a cross emblazoned on his chest armour and reads, “I’ll see your jihad and I’ll raise you one crusade.”

https://globalnews.ca/news/5137874/j...rusades-jihad/