US Election Prediction Thread

[Paulie Walnuts]

Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction

That's funny because Trump was just quoted as saying polls are showing him leading in all 50 states.

Of course he is, he is leading in Canada as well.

A crushing defeat of Trump hopefully kills any chance JP has in the Republican party going forward.

[Trolleydodger]

I firmly believe that Harris will win but the GOP will flood the courts with lawsuits and dirty tricks in an attempt to get it to the supreme court and have their judges overturn the election.

[Shazam]

Originally Posted by blankall

It's at an extreme right now. Look at the housing market. I've never heard of anything like this. Empty nesters propping up their house values and expanding their portfolios, while knowingly shutting out younger generations from the market. And no it's not in their best interest. If young people can't afford to have kids, then there's no one left to provide the labour necessary to provide aging boomers with health care.

Home prices are where they are because of monetary policy.

Give bank multiple billion dollars, they're going to lend it out. And cheap.

[Paulie Walnuts]

They are saying that Melania is not taking off her sunglasses is because Trump is parading around a Temu-Melania.

Hilarious if true.

[dissentowner]

Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction

That's funny because Trump was just quoted as saying polls are showing him leading in all 50 states.

Yup, right in schedule. He will declare victory before 9pm est.

[FlamesAddiction]

It sounds like the nutters are already coming out. A man was arrested at the Capitol Visitor Center armed with a flare gun and smelling of fuel. There are also reports of multiple bombs threats to polling stations coming from emails with Russian domain names.

[Paulie Walnuts]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1853873880500150426

TEMU Melania

https://twitter.com/user/status/1853893619196768271

They are in panic mode now as well.

[Jason14h]

Well honestly though if you want to get people out to vote for either party who are sitting on their couches right now “panic” is the only real strategy left

[direwolf]

A Harris landslide would be perfect, as it might actually force the GOP into returning to some form of sanity in 2028. That might be just wishful thinking though. I still think it’s gonna be a nail biter and things will probably get very messy down there.

I hope I’m wrong and that evil gets vanquished. I still have a tiny shred of hope that Americans will do the right thing. We shall see.

[Senator Clay Davis]

I mean if you're sitting on your couch right now I'm guessing the thought of getting up to spend hours in line will cause you to not get up, but maybe that's me.

[Cheese]

Its going to be a slaughter!

[Paulie Walnuts]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1853895167230550409

[Paulie Walnuts]

The bomb threats came from Russia.

Heard this morning they aren't even hiding it anymore.

[Cheese]

Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts

https://twitter.com/user/status/1853895167230550409

Bouzy is always right!

[Jason14h]

Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis

I mean if you're sitting on your couch right now I'm guessing the thought of getting up to spend hours in line will cause you to not get up, but maybe that's me.

That’s literally the point - unless you are pressured by panic you won’t . I expect both sides to have similar messages throughout to try and get people off their rears

[Mazrim]

My prediction:

[Senator Clay Davis]

Originally Posted by Jason14h

That’s literally the point - unless you are pressured by panic you won’t . I expect both sides to have similar messages throughout to try and get people off their rears

Yeah, but my point is panic isn't getting me off the couch if I'm already on there. If voting were five minutes, sure, but five hours or more in line? Hard pass.

[Street Pharmacist]

Already seeing lots of predictions based on early voting and comparing it to 2020. I'd read precisely 0% into early voting.

In 2020, Trump told his supporters (traditionally heavy mail in and early voters) not to vote until election Day. This year, he told everyone to vote early.

In 2020, there was a severe pandemic with high hospitalization rates and no vaccine. Democrats overwhelmingly voted by mail and I'm early voting. That doesn't seem to be the case this year.

The two patterns are completely unrelated to each other. I do not care how many Republicans already voted or how many women voted early. It might matter in the end, but there's no way to know what trend in what right now

[Cali Panthers Fan]

Originally Posted by TrentCrimmIndependent

What about Arkensas?

AR...Arkansas. When I was younger I always read it as Ar-Kansas before I knew about the proper pronunciation.

[CroFlames]

Note the disclaimer.

Spoiler!