10-06-2022, 08:44 PM
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#1561
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
Smith had the most with 41%. Hopefully is goes to a third vote where Smith is taken out.
FWIW.... Back in the day, Gary Mar had 41% and Alison Reford had 17% and yet she won on the third ballot.
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I think they had a second vote that time, and most of the longshots dropped off so there were only 3 candidates then.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_P...rship_election
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10-06-2022, 08:45 PM
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#1562
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calgarygeologist
I think Toews might have a chance here.
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I don’t know where Jeans votes go and that’s the decider.
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10-06-2022, 08:46 PM
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#1563
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Calgary
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Yeah, looks like Jean is done.
__________________
"An idea is always a generalization, and generalization is a property of thinking. To generalize means to think." Georg Hegel
“To generalize is to be an idiot.” William Blake
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10-06-2022, 08:46 PM
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#1564
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Not a casual user
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: A simple man leading a complicated life....
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Schulz next to go. Loewen can't put Smith over the top. If all of Schulz then Jean go to Toews he could win it. None of Schulz or Jeans votes will go to Smith.
__________________
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10-06-2022, 08:48 PM
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#1565
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Is this on YouTube?
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10-06-2022, 08:48 PM
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#1566
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
I don’t know where Jeans votes go and that’s the decider.
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Jean and Smith have been heavy adversaries so I'm think more of his vote goes to Toews than Smith.
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10-06-2022, 08:48 PM
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#1567
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: not lurking
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I just have a hard time believing that 55% of the Jean and Loewen voters would have Toews ahead of Smith. I'd be very surprised and relieved to be wrong.
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The Following User Says Thank You to octothorp For This Useful Post:
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10-06-2022, 08:49 PM
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#1569
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
I don’t know where Jeans votes go and that’s the decider.
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My guess would be to Smith but we’ll see.
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The Following User Says Thank You to MegaErtz For This Useful Post:
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10-06-2022, 08:50 PM
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#1571
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Franchise Player
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In the 2017 CPC race Bernier started much higher, and gained at a higher rate round by round until round 6/13, and then Scheer took a higher proportion from there out
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10-06-2022, 08:51 PM
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#1572
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Not a casual user
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: A simple man leading a complicated life....
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Ha! Going to yet another ballot!
__________________
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10-06-2022, 08:51 PM
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#1573
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by octothorp
I just have a hard time believing that 55% of the Jean and Loewen voters would have Toewes ahead of Smith. I'd be very surprised and relieved to be wrong.
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I think Jean voters might be interesting. Are they the camp that is still pissed off that smith betrayed them enough that she lost her seat in high River?
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The Following User Says Thank You to GGG For This Useful Post:
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10-06-2022, 08:52 PM
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#1574
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Craig McTavish' Merkin
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Ouch
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10-06-2022, 08:53 PM
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#1575
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Franchise Player
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Gross. Toews will probably need 10 out of the 13.5% from Jean. Seems unlikely.
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10-06-2022, 08:54 PM
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#1576
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Posted the 6 millionth post!
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This is looking like a win for Smith.
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10-06-2022, 08:54 PM
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#1577
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Franchise Player
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Looks like it is basically done now with Smith as the victor. Just need to see what the percentage is. I'm not satisfied but there is some solice in knowing that it had to go deep down the ranked ballots for her to win.
Last edited by calgarygeologist; 10-06-2022 at 08:58 PM.
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10-06-2022, 08:55 PM
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#1578
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Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: North America
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10-06-2022, 08:55 PM
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#1579
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Honestly, reading the comments from some of the journalists on Twitter makes me wonder if they understand what’s happening. A lot of “Danielle Smith hasn’t moved much” kind of thing, and it’s pretty obvious why. She’s populist and the progressives were dropping. No one who voted for Leela Aheer had Smith as a second choice.
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10-06-2022, 08:56 PM
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#1580
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Scoring Winger
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Lot of people didn't put a second choice on their ballot, so I can't see how Smith doesn't win at this point even if she doesn't pick up any more votes.
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