Quote:
Originally Posted by The Unabomber
How can you bring up a point about competition in the gas industry? What competition do you speak of on the consumer level? Petro Canada is and will be selling gas at the same price as Shell.......doesn't seem like competition. These alternatives that you have in mind, name a few viable ones for a person that uses a vehicle for work, be it a trade or a farmer. Are you proposing that farmer can start using horses to seed and plow?
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There seems to be a lot of confusion of what competition is (and not just by THe Unabomber).
I would contend that the petroleum complex may be just about the most competitive and transparent industry any of us will ever deal with.
Can anyone name a product more widely distributed that gasoline?
You can find a distributor nearly everywhere. Not only that, they post their prices visibly without the need to even enter the premises (could you imagine the price of beef or milk posted on a big board outside of grocery stores, or home prices on realtor signs?). THis helps ensure that the price falls to the lowest possible margin that allows the retail distributor to survive. As has been discussed, fuel demand is inelastic, meaning that they could raise the prices a great deal and we would still buy it, however, we still see a very tight correlation between fuel prices and the wholesale cost of gas from the refinery.
Well what about refinerys?
Refinerys must buf their feedstock from the global open market. Meaning if Refinery A in Sarnia doesn't want to pay $US65 /bbl but a refinery in Spain will, guess who gets the oil?
On the other end, if Gas Plus is willing to pay $0.70/L for their gasoline to sell to drivers in Manitoba, why should they sell it for $0.65/L to CO-OP in Calgary.
Why not build more refinerys?
I have been involved in financing some refinery projects. Lets see, cost $2.5Billion, production output 50,000 bbls/day refined products, first production 2011.
And that assumes that the neighbours let them build the place, that construction costs don't spiral out of control in Alberta, interest rates don't rise, etc. (PM me if you are looking to become an owner of a refinery).
While it is fun to rail against 'big-oil' and it is popular in the media, anyone still not understanding the global economic fundamentals driving the price of gasoline by this point in the conversation reek of purposful ignorance.
Best regards,
Bug