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Old 03-15-2023, 12:31 PM   #121
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Canadian banks are usually a good bet, more or less completely isolated from most of this witches brew crap the Americans conjure up.
The US banks that have failed (or look particularly poor here) are pretty specialised, niche banks. Like a tech start=up focused bank, crypto and that kind of thing. Does it impact major banks like JP Morgan, or Citigroup? To some extent, based on fears of contagion, but otherwise not really.

Not investment advice, but just saying that comparing the big 6 in Canada to the US regionals and such isn't really apples to apples for a variety of reasons.
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Old 03-15-2023, 12:37 PM   #122
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Big banks going to be the benefactor out of the SVB situation.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1636057397058846728
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Old 03-15-2023, 12:44 PM   #123
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1636061999233728516


https://twitter.com/user/status/1636086332056371200

Last edited by Yoho; 03-15-2023 at 01:38 PM.
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Old 03-15-2023, 12:54 PM   #124
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Big banks going to be the benefactor out of the SVB situation.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1636057397058846728
It'll be interesting to see though, because the Fed probably isn't enamoured with JPM getting larger than it is already. They might prefer that BofA swoops in for a deal here.
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Old 03-15-2023, 01:05 PM   #125
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Made me laugh to receive a rare email yesterday from RBC marketing great incentives for opening new accounts with cash deposits. Like, really guys? We're seeing market-wide panic about bank insolvency and you choose now to send out a message basically saying "Please! Give us some cash!"? I guess maybe they're trying to target people who are holding assets in less secure banks to get them to move over, but it's still pretty funny messaging given the context.
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Old 03-15-2023, 01:23 PM   #126
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It'll be interesting to see though, because the Fed probably isn't enamoured with JPM getting larger than it is already. They might prefer that BofA swoops in for a deal here.
Given they're basically not letting TD buy First Horizon I can't see how they can let the big banks buy stuff here. We're getting close to JPM and BAC being 2X as big as Wells Fargo (which has been under an asset cap for ~5 years...)
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Old 03-15-2023, 01:33 PM   #127
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Maybe I'm crazy - but my worry about the banking sector is approximately 0.1% higher than it was last week.
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Old 03-15-2023, 01:34 PM   #128
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Given they're basically not letting TD buy First Horizon I can't see how they can let the big banks buy stuff here. We're getting close to JPM and BAC being 2X as big as Wells Fargo (which has been under an asset cap for ~5 years...)
Yeah and that's where it gets interesting. They're caught between wanting to have someone step-in for some of these banks to give some surety, and not wanting to have these behemoths get much larger.
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Old 03-15-2023, 01:55 PM   #129
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Here is your narrative for central bank digital currencies. Was the stock price plummeting before the bank run on SVB misinformation?

https://twitter.com/user/status/1636092052369752066


From CTV

https://twitter.com/user/status/1636096567206617090

Last edited by Yoho; 03-15-2023 at 02:11 PM.
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Old 03-15-2023, 03:07 PM   #130
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If our real estate market doesn't massively crash, our banks will be okay. If it does, have fun.
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Old 03-15-2023, 03:34 PM   #131
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The strength and solvency of Canadian banks is so far down my worry list right now. Russia attacking Ukraine and the U.S. drifting toward fascism as far greater concerns. Our banks are fine.
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Old 03-15-2023, 04:17 PM   #132
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Why can't both be a problem?
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Old 03-15-2023, 04:47 PM   #133
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If our real estate market doesn't massively crash, our banks will be okay. If it does, have fun.
It might, it might not, but we really do have a people vs supply problem right now. It might hold it pretty steady.
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Old 03-15-2023, 04:50 PM   #134
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The strength and solvency of Canadian banks is so far down my worry list right now. Russia attacking Ukraine and the U.S. drifting toward fascism as far greater concerns. Our banks are fine.
China/Taiwan.
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Old 03-16-2023, 05:23 AM   #135
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1636321081844793349
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Old 03-16-2023, 06:00 AM   #136
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^File that under, "duh, of course they would".
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Old 03-16-2023, 07:20 AM   #137
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1636355795515260929

Full steam ahead for ECB.
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Old 03-16-2023, 07:26 AM   #138
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China/Taiwan.
If China attacks Taiwan in the middle of all of all these other problems, depression here we come.

Last edited by FlameOn; 03-16-2023 at 07:55 AM.
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Old 03-16-2023, 07:30 AM   #139
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This is a little reminiscent of the .com crash all over again. Some really bad companies that had massive VC backing but no real reason to exist ended up not producing anything and collapsing under the weight of their own hype and mismanagement. Those failures created some panic and a run in the market that impacted scores of companies stock prices and a sell off that drove many of those companies toward restructuring or completely out of business. There were many underlying reasons for this event, but the panic induced run was the biggest problem. This is what the feds are trying to prevent here, a panic induced run. Based on responses from some in this thread they are taking appropriate action and protecting people from their own over-reactions.
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Old 03-16-2023, 07:33 AM   #140
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Interesting job posting on CDIC website.

SENIOR OFFICER, CRISIS COMMUNICATIONS | AGENT(E) PRINCIPAL(E), COMMUNICATIONS DE CRISE

“Develop and coordinate communications materials to support CDIC’s role in managing the failure of financial institutions. This includes crisis communications strategies and supporting documents (news releases, speaking notes, Q-As, briefing materials, presentations, etc.)”

Job Posting Archive
cdic.ca
favicon.ico


https://www.cdic.ca/careers/opportun...#careersIFrame

Last edited by Yoho; 03-16-2023 at 07:35 AM.
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