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Old 07-28-2024, 10:59 PM   #13961
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"Unconfirmed reports that Ukrainian Special Forces were involved in the ambush on Wagner in Mali."

That's rad.
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Old 07-29-2024, 05:19 AM   #13962
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"Unconfirmed reports that Ukrainian Special Forces were involved in the ambush on Wagner in Mali."

That's rad.
Seems extremely plausible. Ukrainian special forces have already been known to operate in that part of Africa for a while.

Hooking up with local forces to attack a common enemy would be exactly the kind of stuff you expect special forces to do in this kind of situation.
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Old 07-29-2024, 07:32 AM   #13963
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The admin of one of the largest Wagner telegram channels Greyzone was killed in that convoy in Mali.
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Old 07-29-2024, 07:59 AM   #13964
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse View Post
Seems extremely plausible. Ukrainian special forces have already been known to operate in that part of Africa for a while.



Hooking up with local forces to attack a common enemy would be exactly the kind of stuff you expect special forces to do in this kind of situation.
Sounds like it was information sharing rather than special forces:

https://twitter.com/user/status/1817920448253854046
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Old 07-29-2024, 09:00 AM   #13965
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Rest in Piss, Wagner #######s!
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Old 07-29-2024, 11:58 AM   #13966
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist View Post
Sounds like it was information sharing rather than special forces:

https://twitter.com/user/status/1817920448253854046
I would say that means basically nothing. First of all, Ukraine probably doesn't want too openly involved in shooting people in foreign countries, because that can get very messy politically.

Second, even if Ukrainian special forces weren't directly involved in pulling any literal triggers they might still have done basically everything up to that point. (Collecting information on the ground picking a target, drawing up a battle plan, training some commanders, helping coordinate things...) which can technically be called "information sharing" if one wants to be coy.

Third, it's war, and they could just be BS:ing.

Last edited by Itse; 07-29-2024 at 12:06 PM.
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Old 07-29-2024, 11:59 AM   #13967
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People forget the Ukrainian SF have been for some time.

IIRC they went and saved a bunch of Canadian Translators in Afghanistan.

Dudes have their #### wired tight.
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Old 07-31-2024, 08:23 AM   #13968
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SitRep - 30/07/24 - Another day full of repelled large Russian mechanized attacks.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1818395823836979557


Russian losses per 30/07/24 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1818181458852241798


Ukrainian special forces conducted a strike on a Russian base in Syria destroying significant amounts of equipment.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1818606709020983690


Russia: Grocery stores around Yaroslavl are out of water, bread, flour, cereals and other goods after over 1,000 workers were taken away in mass raids on distribution centers and factories to collect cannon fodder for the invasion of Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1818379256122294347

Last edited by Cheese; 07-31-2024 at 08:32 AM.
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Old 07-31-2024, 09:08 AM   #13969
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A Russian MI-8 was shot down with an FPV drone in Donetsk today. I suspect we will see the footage at some point.
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Old 08-01-2024, 11:05 AM   #13970
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Russian losses per 31/07/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1818510280676020692


During the night, one of the largest Shahed drones attacks on Ukraine ever was conducted. Ukrainian air defense shot down all 89 Shahed drones.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1818756480021283234
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Old 08-02-2024, 03:31 AM   #13971
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In short:

Ukraine's materiel situation is very roughly keeping up with the attrition. No more and no less. In some areas the quality of hardware is being upgraded, but at this point it looks unlikely to make a decisive difference.

While the materiel advantage Russia has could/should start lessening over time as the stockpiles are slowly but surely being emptied, it doesn't look like it's going to go away. It also doesn't look like Ukraine has or will have enough hardware for major breakthroughs to be likely.

This isn't really anything new and doesn't mean the war is unwinnable. It means that every weapons shipment and economic support package is still extremely important, and that the likely reason for a "battlefield decision" would be the result of one side suffering either a morale or economic collapse.

Given that Putin has only hardened in his demands lately, a peace deal isn't really on the table either. We are fully locked in on attritional war, for now at least.
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Old 08-02-2024, 10:09 AM   #13972
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse View Post


In short:

Ukraine's materiel situation is very roughly keeping up with the attrition. No more and no less. In some areas the quality of hardware is being upgraded, but at this point it looks unlikely to make a decisive difference.

While the materiel advantage Russia has could/should start lessening over time as the stockpiles are slowly but surely being emptied, it doesn't look like it's going to go away. It also doesn't look like Ukraine has or will have enough hardware for major breakthroughs to be likely.

This isn't really anything new and doesn't mean the war is unwinnable. It means that every weapons shipment and economic support package is still extremely important, and that the likely reason for a "battlefield decision" would be the result of one side suffering either a morale or economic collapse.

Given that Putin has only hardened in his demands lately, a peace deal isn't really on the table either. We are fully locked in on attritional war, for now at least.
This way was never going to end because of a tactical breakthrough. It is/was always going to be because of a politically untenable situation on one side or the other.
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Old 08-03-2024, 06:20 AM   #13973
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SitRep - 02/08/24 - Another S-400 complex destroyed in occupied Crimea? An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Overnight, Ukraine struck occupied Crimea, reportedly destroying S-400 launchers and a radar south of Sevastopol.


https://twitter.com/user/status/1819484727247605765
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Old 08-03-2024, 09:36 AM   #13974
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I’m not sure if the Kiev post is a reliable source, but good news if true.

Quote:
The Armed Forces of Ukraine conducted a significant operation in the temporarily occupied Crimea early morning on Saturday, August 3, successfully targeting a Russian kilo-class submarine capable of deploying Kalibr cruise missiles and four S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/36838
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Old 08-06-2024, 11:53 AM   #13975
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Russians report that a Ka-52 attack helicopter was shot down in the Kursk region. This confirmation comes on top of previous rumors. Additionally, the pilot was killed.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820865429809852690


The Russian MoD and several Russian telegram channels say that Ukraine has conducted an advance into Kursk oblast today
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820857236387704932
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820739126339019161


Ukrainian artillery has destroyed several convoys of armoured vehicles heading to reinforce the Kursk area of Russian forces.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820874114435051807


Satellite images show the aftermath of a strike on an ammunition depot near the "Khalino" airfield in Kursk
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820856123978834229


Captured Russian military from the Sudzha area of the Kursk region
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820858042369356165


The russian Federation celebrates the liberation of Kursk and Belgorod by Ukrainian troops with explosions and fires at the refinery in the Komi Republic russian employees have already fled
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820789012669374498


this is what we know so far.. brigade + incursion into kursk. so far its 7km deep
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820842571276357720


Russian Railways deputy head Sergei Kobzev told his subordinates the situation is critical: complete collapse of the entire railroad network in Russia could happen in days.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820526938781597913
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820669908512022620


Russia’s Morovozvsk Airfield is no more.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820479713992991184
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Old 08-06-2024, 12:17 PM   #13976
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Russians are reporting in the Kursk insertions claiming that The Kursk Nuclear Power Plant is about to fall into the hands of Ukrainians. Meanwhile amid reports of "a sabotage and reconnaissance group breaking through into the Kursk region", local residents are being called and asked to evacuate immediately
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820846437887852557


Russia: 2 drones struck the 500 kV Kuban electrical substation at night. Built in 2010, the facility supplied electricity to 2.5 million residents in Krasnodar region.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820708325560123753


Ukrainian special forces of the Security Service of Ukraine continue to destroy Russian equipment and infantry Yes, in the last week it was impressed:

21 tanks 34 Armored Fighting Vehicles 36 artillery systems and MLRS 316 vehicles 24 UAVs and 43 communication antennas 158 enemy positions and fortifications 4 warehouses with ammunition and 3 warehouses with fuel and lubricants
https://twitter.com/user/status/1820838474867462578
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Old 08-06-2024, 12:22 PM   #13977
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What's the reason for the railway collapse?

Ukrainian artillery and bombing campaigns?
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Old 08-06-2024, 12:37 PM   #13978
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Quote:
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What's the reason for the railway collapse?

Ukrainian artillery and bombing campaigns?

Parts, and the fact that money was siphoned off into deep pockets along with sanctions. Id also assume Ukrainian bombing doesnt help.
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Old 08-06-2024, 12:45 PM   #13979
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Interesting, I wonder how much they will poke the bear before it threatens a nuclear option...
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Old 08-06-2024, 12:47 PM   #13980
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HaHa

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