Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
Brodie for Eberle alone would be a terrible trade
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It's not a great trade. Personally, I don't do that trade because I believe that Peters' will do more with Brodie than Gulutzan (how could he not?).
But want to talk an even worse trade? The posters saying either piece (implying the 1st only?!?) and then even more bizarre to "take it and run"?!? You're going to take the 9th overall pick and "run"?!
What a colossal misjudgment of Brodie's value. Can we at least agree that Brodie is a top 4 dman?? I think that's a safe bet- with potential to become actually really good again when a coach is using him to his strengths and building his confidence. There was a time not too long ago, when Brodie was comparable to Hamilton, and it wasn't clear who was the 2nd best D on the team behind Giordano. Is it possible he returns to that? Admittedly unlikely, but maybe- we really do need to see how Peters uses him.
Furthermore, he's a powerplay threat. He's a guy that can move the puck well and if he's on his comfortable side, as lame as that sounds, that's a huge threat. If he leaves, who fills that hole?
IMO trading Brodie needs to happen on a CLEAR win of a trade. I'm not convinced Eberle is, and I straight up disagree the 1st rd pick is at 9th overall.
Let's consider value. What do we get for the 9th overall? According to TSN, who conducted this study:
https://www.tsn.ca/statistically-spe...value-1.786131
it looks like we get a pick that has about a 33% chance of becoming a 3-4 NHL dman. Or a 50% chance of being 4th line equivalent FWD or worse?!?? And you guys want to trade Brodie for that?
People on this site consistently overrate 1st round picks. The problem is that where you draft in round 1 matters, a lot. Top 6-7? Ok... maybe, but understand you're still taking some risks here. Outside of that?
You're going to trade a bonafide decent 3-4 Dman who has had a couple off years
under bad coaching and placed in poor situations that do not compliment him, and then trade that away for a 33% chance at a guy that could be similar?
I don't get it at all.
edit: oh yeah and I forgot- I didn't even get into the fact he has a very cap friendly contract for a 3-4 Dman... tell me how many Dman of Brodie's calibre are at $4MM/yr? Nobody. That deal is a great contract, and you can't just trade away great contracts for "chances" at a dman.
Draft picks are risks. Knowns are knowns. Some risks are bad risks to take.