Flames record down the stretch

[VladtheImpaler]

It would be nice to see some OOT miracles tonight. I am basically expecting 0 points out of those games. Toronto and Buffalo at least have a shot based on recent form (and TB injuries).

[Vulcan]

Jets lose 3-2 in OT. This opens a one point lead towards the bottom for the Flames.

[Roof-Daddy]

CBJ lose in regulation
BUF lose in regulation
TOR lose in regulation
WPG lose in OT
EDM down 2-0 in the third

Yeah, welcome to tankville

[kn]

             
                 GP  W  L  OTL  PTS
(22) Arizona     10  6  3   1    13
(30) Toronto     10  6  4   0    12
(25) Calgary     10  5  4   1    11
(26) Winnipeg    11  4  5   2    10
(24) Buffalo     10  4  5   1     9
(29) Edmonton    11  4  7   0     8
(27) Columbus     9  3  6   0     6
(23) Montreal     9  3  6   0     6
(28) Vancouver    9  2  6   1     5

Chances we finish:
30 - 1%
29 - 2%
28 - 7%
27 - 12%
26 - 21%
25 - 29%
24 - 18%
23 - 8%
22 - 3%

[kn]

After tonight's action:

             
                 GP  W  L  OTL  PTS
(29) Toronto     11  7  4   0    14
(22) Arizona     10  6  3   1    13
(25) Calgary     10  5  4   1    11
(26) Winnipeg    11  4  5   2    10
(24) Buffalo     11  4  5   2    10
(23) Montreal    10  4  6   0     8
(30) Edmonton    11  4  7   0     8
(27) Columbus     9  3  6   0     6
(28) Vancouver   11  2  8   1     5

Chances we finish:
30 - 1%
29 - 3%
28 - 6%
27 - 12%
26 - 21%
25 - 32%
24 - 16%
23 - 3%
22 - 1%

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

[DazzlinDino]

Originally Posted by Roof-Daddy

CBJ lose in regulation
BUF lose in regulation
TOR lose in regulation
WPG lose in OT.
EDM down 2-0 in the third

Yeah, welcome to tankville

Watch them win a couple games after they have first overall locked down

[kn]

After tonight's action:

             
                 GP  W  L  OTL  PTS
(29) Toronto     12  7  5   0    14
(23) Arizona     11  6  4   1    13
(24) Buffalo     12  5  5   2    12
(25) Calgary     12  5  6   1    11
(22) Montreal    11  5  6   0    10
(26) Winnipeg    12  4  6   2    10
(30) Edmonton    11  4  7   0     8
(27) Vancouver   12  3  8   1     7
(28) Columbus    10  3  7   0     6

Chances we finish:
30 - 1%
29 - 2%
28 - 5%
27 - 10%
26 - 19%
25 - 37%
24 - 18%
23 - 6%
22 - 2%

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

[1qqaaz]

Wow our chance of finishing 26th instead of 25th actually went down even though we lost.

[1qqaaz]

Micah Blake McCurdy ‏@IneffectiveMath 9m9 minutes ago
First overall pick chances.



Calgary is in a "pack" with 4 other teams.

[Flames Draft Watcher]

Originally Posted by kn

After tonight's action:

             
                 GP  W  L  OTL  PTS
(29) Toronto     12  7  5   0    14
(23) Arizona     11  6  4   1    13
(24) Buffalo     12  5  5   2    12
(25) Calgary     12  5  6   1    11
(22) Montreal    11  5  6   0    10
(26) Winnipeg    12  4  6   2    10
(30) Edmonton    11  4  7   0     8
(27) Vancouver   12  3  8   1     7
(28) Columbus    10  3  7   0     6

Chances we finish:
30 - 1%
29 - 2%
28 - 5%
27 - 10%
26 - 19%
25 - 37%
24 - 18%
23 - 6%
22 - 2%

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

That's weird, doesn't match the numbers from their lottery section

30th - 2%
29th - 6%
28th - 12%
27th - 18%
26th - 25%
25th - 35%
24th - 4%

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHLlottery.html

Why the difference in the numbers?

Anyways 96% chance of finishing bottom 6
63% chance of finishing bottom 5

[Vinny01]

I am thinking 2-2 in the final 4 for 74pts on the season. Wins against EDM and VAN

[Flames Draft Watcher]

Originally Posted by Vinny01

I am thinking 2-2 in the final 4 for 74pts on the season. Wins against EDM and VAN

Yep, seems the most likely outcome. VAN is by far the most important reverse standings game left. Be interesting to see if there's any weird roster moves or goalie starts for that one. VAN has two games left against EDM and if they beat us they would have a good chance of passing us. Gonna be interesting.

As for tonight we're hoping for unlikely upsets with WPG-CHI and VAN-ANA

[AC]

Originally Posted by 1qqaaz

Micah Blake McCurdy ‏@IneffectiveMath 9m9 minutes ago
First overall pick chances.



Calgary is in a "pack" with 4 other teams.

This graph is a visual mess.

[kn]

Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher

Why the difference in the numbers?

Not sure. I think I might have been looking at older numbers or they hadn't updated yet? Anyway, it's changed again.

[Hackey]

Go canucks go!!!

[Roof-Daddy]

Yeap, Flames are going to finish 25th (6th last) and draft 9th overall.

I'm in a pessimistic mood tonight.

EDIT: But at least they're kicking the snot out of the POS oilers. What a joke of a franchise. No good just doesn't cover it, but there are no words to properly describe them.

[Roof-Daddy]

Thank goodness both Arizona and Buffalo won tonight.

They are 5 points up on the Flames, so the Flames have to win out and both teams would have to get 0 points for us to pass them. Safe to say the highest the Flames can finish is 25th... (6th overall) ...so the lowest we'll end up drafting is 9th overall.

Edmonton cannot pass us now, they are 5 points back with 2 games left, and the Leafs are also 5 points back so I don't see them passing us either.

It's a battle between Columbus, Winnipeg, Vancouver and the Flames for 25th, 26th, 27th, 28th.

[Flames Draft Watcher]

Down to the nitty gritty now with 3 games left against LA tonight and then VAN and MIN. The game against VAN may directly determine where we finish in relation to each other but if VAN wins their two games against EDM we may not be able to keep pace.

If we go 2-1 we will likely finish 6th or 5th last
If we go 1-2 we will likely finish 5th or 4th last
If we go 0-3 we will likely finish 4th or 3rd last

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

[Poe969]

I know it's wrong to cheer for losses but the possibility of being bottom 3 seems great.

[Flames Draft Watcher]

WPG plays all three Pacific playoff teams in their final three.
CBJ plays TOR, BUF and CHI so they could possibly pull out a win or two.