03-12-2015, 10:32 AM
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#981
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In the Sin Bin
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I'm as anti-advanced stats as they come, but I don't have a problem with that chart giving us a 51% when you consider what it's using as criteria.
So even despite our terrible Corsi numbers, we're now more likely to make the playoffs using that model, then not. If you go by possession and how the games shape up, it's not crazy to think. We play with fire (hah) almost every game. It's not crazy to think that models based on performance would say that we're playing with fire with our playoff hopes too.
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03-12-2015, 10:36 AM
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#982
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Houston, TX
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourque's Twin
This is my dream for the playoffs:
Round 2: LA, NSH, CHI, CGY advance.
(CEN 1) Nashville vs (WC 2) Los Angeles
(PAC 2) Calgary vs (CEN 3) Chicago
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Pretty sure it would be Calgary LA and Nashville chicago. Same result though.
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03-12-2015, 10:38 AM
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#983
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dying4acup
Pretty sure it would be Calgary LA and Nashville chicago. Same result though.
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Correct - there is no more re-seeding, it's just a bracket.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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03-12-2015, 10:43 AM
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#984
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Salmon with Arms
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DuffMan
I'm sure I heard them say during the int. last night that Minny had only 1 game against a non playoff team the rest of the way.
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That is true. However, that hasn't stopped then recently so I'm not sure how relevant it is
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03-12-2015, 10:54 AM
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#985
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Calgary, AB
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DuffMan
I'm sure I heard them say during the int. last night that Minny had only 1 game against a non playoff team the rest of the way.
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They have one game against a guaranteed non-playoff team (Toronto).
They also have one game each against Winnipeg, Calgary, and LA and there's a good chance that one of those three teams will just miss the playoffs, but all three can basically be considered "playoff teams" at this point.
Most of the playoff teams they're playing are also still jockeying for playoff seeding position, so they're not likely to be coasting to the finish line, which can sometimes make a strong team easier to beat down the stretch.
__________________
Turn up the good, turn down the suck!
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03-12-2015, 10:56 AM
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#986
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
That is true. However, that hasn't stopped then recently so I'm not sure how relevant it is
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they have had an extremely easy schedule as far as opponents go...not to say they aren't playing well but it is definitely getting harder for them
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03-12-2015, 10:59 AM
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#987
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In the Sin Bin
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Yeah, when Pittsburgh and Anaheim walk into San Jose and Vancouver and lose, strength of schedule loses some value.
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03-12-2015, 11:41 AM
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#989
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Helsinki, Finland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
Schedule difficulty says Wild and Jets falter and Calgary/Vancouver have it easy
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I think the schedule also says the Kings will also falter even without the home/away thing. They only have a winning record over 4 of the teams they have left to play, and one of those is Minnesota which is vastly improved since they last met.
That would mean Jets and Kings fight for the last wild card spot, which in turn would mean Calgary vs. Vancouver in the 1st round.
(Unless of course the Kings with their backs against the wall end up sweeping Vancouver, which would shock no-one.)
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03-12-2015, 11:41 AM
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#990
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Cape Breton Island
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Hard to imagine there's less than a month remaining, and, the final game is Flames visiting the Jets. I wish I could fast forward through all this and just get to the end.
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03-12-2015, 11:44 AM
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#991
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Franchise Player
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I hope everything is settled before the last two games.
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03-12-2015, 11:47 AM
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#992
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Resurrection
Hard to imagine there's less than a month remaining, and, the final game is Flames visiting the Jets. I wish I could fast forward through all this and just get to the end.
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enjoy the ride that is what its all about
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03-12-2015, 11:50 AM
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#993
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Cape Breton Island
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
enjoy the ride that is what its all about
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its nice to have meaningful hockey but this ride also kinda feels like leviathon at canadas wonderland. im just holding on for dear life and my heart hurts.
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03-12-2015, 12:02 PM
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#994
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Helsinki, Finland
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For me this has actually been the most relaxing seasons ever. The hockey has been great and the results so far beyond expectations that I'm swimming in gravy 
Pretty much the worst that could happen is a playoff loss to Vancouver, and I've already decided even that wouldn't spoil my mood.
(Partially because I can't be bothered to hate the Canucks that much this season. I'm not big on rivalries generally speaking.)
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03-12-2015, 12:16 PM
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#995
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First Line Centre
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LA has a tough run in, with 3 games left against Vancouver and 1 against Anaheim.
SJ has a long 7-game road trip out east to contend with. It's probably come at the worst time for them. I think that it is pretty much going to put them out of contention.
We've only got 5 games left against playoff placed teams.
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03-12-2015, 12:19 PM
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#996
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Houston, TX
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The bottom of my heart (and empty brain) Telly's me Vancouver will miss. Some way some how....
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03-12-2015, 12:40 PM
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#997
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: 127.0.0.1
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Resurrection
Hard to imagine there's less than a month remaining, and, the final game is Flames visiting the Jets. I wish I could fast forward through all this and just get to the end.
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Premature exuberration?
__________________
Pass the bacon.
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03-12-2015, 12:41 PM
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#998
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In the Sin Bin
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Resurrection
Hard to imagine there's less than a month remaining, and, the final game is Flames visiting the Jets. I wish I could fast forward through all this and just get to the end.
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Before booking a trip to Montreal and Ottawa for the first week of April, I was totally leaning in the direction of trying to get out to that game. But at the time, I was assuming it would be a nothing contest just to go out and enjoy a spring day in Winnipeg. Nope.
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03-12-2015, 12:48 PM
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#999
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Lifetime Suspension
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With all the relatively weak opponents scattered in between now and those LA/WIN games, and with how confident this team is playing, I wouldn't be surprised to see them win like 9 of 13 and be sitting comfortably above the line. At least I hope.
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03-12-2015, 01:27 PM
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#1000
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: SW Ontario
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Obsidian
With all the relatively weak opponents scattered in between now and those LA/WIN games, and with how confident this team is playing, I wouldn't be surprised to see them win like 9 of 13 and be sitting comfortably above the line. At least I hope.
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This is what I am hoping for as well.
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