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Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
And war will change again. We've seen how fast the concepts and strategies of war changes. It wasn't that long ago that we look looking a piece meal strategies involving mass armor and air superiority. Now we're fighting insurgencies that don't represent nation states. But those nation states are out there, they're still advancing standardized military technology at a rapid rate.
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Nobody, including the Russians and the Chinese, is anywhere close to American military capability, nor are they going to be in 10-15 years. They simply do not have the economic and technological base to compete, and you need both to do so - look at what happened to the Soviets, who despite devoting 1/3 of their economy to competing with the US military and starting from a position where they were AHEAD of the US, ended up bankrupt with huge quantities of obsolete and decidedly inferior weaponry to show for their efforts after 40 years of trying.
Military technology now turns over in decades, not in any short-term period. The US still uses the Abrams (circa 1980) as its main battle tank, Nimitz class carriers (circa 1975) as the backbone of its fleet, M-16s (circa 1964) to equip its infantry, and Apache gunships (circa 1986) as anti-armour platforms. The genius of the US has been in upgrading this equipment so that it remains technologically superior regardless of its putative age, and no matter what the Russians, Chinese, or anyone else does in the way of new weapons systems in the next couple decades, the US is still going to retain a wide spectrum of weapons dominance.
Questioning the purpose of the weapons they are going to develop is just good policy - the easiest way to lose your advantage is to build lots of weapons without a useful purpose, like the Nazi obsession with V weapons or the Iraqis buying SCUDs. The F-22 is not exactly useless, but certainly its hard to see why there would be a need for 600 of them when the current fleet could shoot down the entirety of the Russian/Chinese/Indian/European air forces without losing more than a plane or two to bad luck.