11-05-2024, 06:42 PM
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#81
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by burn_this_city
It looks like she could legitimately flip Ohio, nevermind maybe not.
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I think the uncounted polling stations are expected to go Trump's way. Even though the count looks close when you look at the NYT prediction it's still wide margin trump. Which is a bit odd as usually it's urban areas with the largest # of votes that lean Dem coming in late, but I trust their projection
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11-05-2024, 06:42 PM
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#82
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts
Wolf looks like a prime time goalie
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Blitzer? His hair does appear solid enough to act as a helmet.
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11-05-2024, 06:44 PM
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#83
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matty81
I think the uncounted polling stations are expected to go Trump's way. Even though the count looks close when you look at the NYT prediction it's still wide margin trump. Which is a bit odd as usually it's urban areas with the largest # of votes that lean Dem coming in late, but I trust their projection
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Hovering over the cities there is still a lot of votes outstanding. This one could go down to the wire.
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11-05-2024, 06:45 PM
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#84
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Still early, but everything suggests it's all down to Pennsylvania.
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"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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11-05-2024, 06:49 PM
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#85
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Powerplay Quarterback
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What am I missing here? This looks like a blowout for Trump in every sense. People in this thread are talking about Harris carrying Ohio and Ted Cruz losing his seat in Texas. Bizarre.
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11-05-2024, 06:50 PM
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#86
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First Line Centre
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MegaErtz
What am I missing here? This looks like a blowout for Trump in every sense. People in this thread are talking about Harris carrying Ohio and Ted Cruz losing his seat in Texas. Bizarre.
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This f'n guy
__________________
MMF is the tough as nails cop that "plays by his own rules". The force keeps suspending him when he crosses the line but he keeps coming back and then cracks a big case.
-JiriHrdina
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11-05-2024, 06:52 PM
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#87
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MegaErtz
What am I missing here? This looks like a blowout for Trump in every sense. People in this thread are talking about Harris carrying Ohio and Ted Cruz losing his seat in Texas. Bizarre.
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Because we have no data for Pennsylvania and outside of Florida no real over performance by Trump in Georgia and North Carolina.
So until we have meaningful data to suggest systemic National polling error or local data in Pennsylvania/Wisconsin/Michigan suggesting a Trump win there is no real information to process. It started a toss up and remains a toss up though now with slight lean Trump.
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11-05-2024, 06:52 PM
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#88
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: North Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MegaErtz
What am I missing here? This looks like a blowout for Trump in every sense. People in this thread are talking about Harris carrying Ohio and Ted Cruz losing his seat in Texas. Bizarre.
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Go away.
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11-05-2024, 06:54 PM
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#89
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Calgary
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Has Georgia been called because CBC guy seems to think the red mirage in the full effect.
__________________
"Everybody's so desperate to look smart that nobody is having fun anymore" -Jackie Redmond
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11-05-2024, 06:55 PM
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#90
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Franchise Player
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Can she win the battlegrounds and still lose ?
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11-05-2024, 06:57 PM
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#91
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Powerplay Quarterback
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Because we have no data for Pennsylvania and outside of Florida no real over performance by Trump in Georgia and North Carolina.
So until we have meaningful data to suggest systemic National polling error or local data in Pennsylvania/Wisconsin/Michigan suggesting a Trump win there is no real information to process. It started a toss up and remains a toss up though now with slight lean Trump.
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There's a correlation between the votes in one state and the votes in another. Everyone expects Harris to carry New York and California, for example. If the early results were to show Harris winning narrowly in New York, it wouldn't bode well for her chances to win in Nevada, which is expected to be very close.
That's exactly what's going on tonight. Trump is WAY overperforming expectations in Georgia, which is why it is likely he does better than expected in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
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11-05-2024, 06:57 PM
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#92
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Powerplay Quarterback
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts
Can she win the battlegrounds and still lose ?
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She can lose Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada, but must win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. That gives her a 270-268 win. A 269-269 tie is win for Trump.
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11-05-2024, 06:58 PM
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#93
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Looooooooooooooch
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All hail Trump. Golf ball sized.
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11-05-2024, 06:58 PM
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#94
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
Still early, but everything suggests it's all down to Pennsylvania.
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Yup, Shapiro not getting the VP pick could be a pretty important turning point
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11-05-2024, 06:59 PM
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#95
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Calgary
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If Harris were to win, she needs Ohio and Pennsylvania minimum. Right?
__________________
"Everybody's so desperate to look smart that nobody is having fun anymore" -Jackie Redmond
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11-05-2024, 07:00 PM
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#96
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dammage79
If Harris were to win, she needs Ohio and Pennsylvania minimum. Right?
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MI, PA, and WI
Last edited by Bonded; 11-05-2024 at 07:04 PM.
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11-05-2024, 07:00 PM
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#97
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Commie Referee
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Small town, B.C.
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All of these Russian bomb threats should be bigger stories. We're sort of just brushing it off, like we just expect Russia to do something to help Trump. It's crazy.
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11-05-2024, 07:00 PM
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#98
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dammage79
If Harris were to win, she needs Ohio and Pennsylvania minimum. Right?
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No. She needs Pennsylvania almost certainly, but not Ohio.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-05-2024, 07:01 PM
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#99
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Cap Hell
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Come on Pennsylvania. Don't let us down.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by 3 Justin 3
All I saw was Godzilla.  |
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11-05-2024, 07:02 PM
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#100
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Ohio is gone, won't even be close. Right now the only states that look like they'll be close are the blue wall and Nevada. Any notion that this wouldn't be close and would be a Harris landslide, not so much.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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