Notes from day 1 of phase 3 camp. Dube and Robinson "unable to participate"

[Samonadreau]

Originally Posted by Nelson

Gio and Tkachuk do have lots of GAF. But I actually feel like Treliving has prioritized GAF in his drafting. Andersson, Mangiapane, Dube, Valimaki, Phillips, and Pelletier all come to mind as ppl with lots of GAF.

Rittich too. Not a draft pick but close to it in hand picking him from Europe.

[Itse]

Probably worth reminding that a large portion of positive test results are false positives.

(Simple math reason; most people tested don't have covid. A small percentage of false positives from a very large pool of non-infected is often > true positives from the small group of infected.)

So a player testing positive once doesn't necessarily mean they actually have covid, but they'll still have to be isolated just to be sure.

[tvp2003]

Originally Posted by Itse

Probably worth reminding that a large portion of positive test results are false positives.

(Simple math reason; most people tested don't have covid. A small percentage of false positives from a very large pool of non-infected is often > true positives from the small group of infected.)

So a player testing positive once doesn't necessarily mean they actually have covid, but they'll still have to be isolated just to be sure.

Interesting that you mentioned this -- this is an excerpt from an article from the Athletic (about Auston Matthews getting COVID):

On the weekend, our Arpon Basu learned that three Montreal Canadiens players had tested positive for COVID-19. Less than 24 hours later, however, it was revealed that two of those cases were deemed to be false positives.

[tsquared1967]

Originally Posted by Itse

Probably worth reminding that a large portion of positive test results are false positives.

(Simple math reason; most people tested don't have covid. A small percentage of false positives from a very large pool of non-infected is often > true positives from the small group of infected.)

So a player testing positive once doesn't necessarily mean they actually have covid, but they'll still have to be isolated just to be sure.

From what I have been reading is false negatives are about 20% and false positive is about 5%. If you test too early, the false negatives increases and this is why testing after you show symptoms is more accurate.