[GT] US election - It's 2020, what could possibly go wrong?

[IliketoPuck]

You guys are getting too caught up in the minute by minute updates and forgetting that pretty much everyone expected Trump to show well on election night, since the majority of his supporters vote on Election Day.

Arizona is a great example here. A state Trump handily carried is going to go to Biden and the senate seat is going blue as well.

Echoing New Era, there are a lot of votes still to be counted, from a lot of metropolitan areas. Atlanta is one to watch. Same with Cleveland and Cincinnati.

Trump is barely ahead, or statistically tied, with major metro areas still to report.

Everyone go pour a scotch or something and take a breather. This is all as expected and Biden is looking just fine.

[BigNumbers]

Grabbed Biden on sports interaction at 3.5:1

[KootenayFlamesFan]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1323831202919362560

[Flashpoint]

Originally Posted by Azure

Yeah, out of all the states Biden needs to win, he is only leading in Arizona.

Last year at this time it was widely swinging back to Trump. Things are just holding at this point.

They haven’t counted the mail in votes yet. CNN and MSNBC talking about it non stop.

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

It is almost impossible to overstate this: all of the "but wait for the mail in ballots!" talk earlier in the evening was uninformed. But that talk is absolutely appropriate for Pennsylvania, and the other northern midwest states as well. It's partly appropriate even for Ohio, although Trump's lead there is almost certainly too big to overcome at this point.

Talking about Trump leading in certain PA counties is completely meaningless at this stage. There's no reason to even look at the PA results tonight (unless Biden is winning them, because if he's winning night-of he's going to expand that lead, not lose it).

[dino7c]

No mail in votes and only 12% of Philly reporting

[troutman]

Michigan is more concerning than Wisconsin?

[Party Elephant]

Try to get some sleep tonight guys, this wont be over in the morning anyway.

[Matty81]

Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague

Just keeping an eye on North Carolina; Trump had increased his lead up to over 100,000, but it's now back down to under 70,000. Democratic counties still being heard from there, even though the margin in those counties is less in the election-day vote than in mail in ballots.

I'm seriously still holding out faint hope.

No, this is silly. This is like saying Biden was leading in Florida when it was absolutely clear that that lead would likely vanish. None of these states will be ultimately decided tonight besides possibly Arizona, and I'm pretty skeptical about that.

yeah that's going to be an interesting state. It seems like the early mail in votes gave biden a big lead, the rural trump vote camp in gradually and gave him a lead and now those are all counted when you zoom in on the NYT map but the piece that's still out is the more urban vote in the raleigh greensboro corridor and it's tightening up again. Margin is 73k and 313k votes to come, I would guess the final margin is going to be under 50k.

[GirlySports]

How were the polls so far off in the South Carolina Senate race? For weeks, polls were showing Graham neck and neck with Harrison, and it's looking like Graham is winning by +10.

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

Originally Posted by Matty81

yeah that's going to be an interesting state. It seems like the early mail in votes gave biden a big lead, the rural trump vote camp in gradually and gave him a lead and now the piece that's still out is the more urban vote in the raleigh greensboro corridor and it's tightening up again. Margin is 73k and 313k votes to come, I would guess the final margin is going to be under 50k.

Very possibly so... And if that's the margin on election night, we wonder how many mail in ballots show up by the 6th. That will only narrow it further, and maybe flip it.

[Lanny_McDonald]

Estimated votes left to count: 71.5M

[nik-]

Mail in ballots aside, it's a pretty big deal for Biden to be leading leaving the night so Trump whipping up his base over the next few days about a "stolen election" will be less effective.

[Azure]

What does the percentage reported mean when I look at the map?

Ohio at 85% reported as an example.

[flamingred89]

I understand the wait and see approach with the mail in ballots. But some of the battleground leads for Trump are up by hundreds of thousands. Even with a million or two mail in votes to be counted for these states, shouldn’t these leads be somewhat concerning?

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by New Era

Estimated votes left to count: 71.5M

30 mill in California

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

Originally Posted by nik-

Mail in ballots aside, it's a pretty big deal for Biden to be leading leaving the night so Trump whipping up his base over the next few days about a "stolen election" will be less effective.

Yeah. And unfortunately I just don't see this as at all likely. It never was particularly likely, if you assumed that there was a minor polling error in Trump's favour as some people did.

[Maritime Q-Scout]

... I ... I ... I need another beer

it's past midnight, I need to pee and get up in the morning.

I need, no like I despreately need Biden to win this.

C"mon, why does this have to be this close? How are people voting Trump? Like, how?

I generally can understand the other point of view, even if I don't agree, but this election is wow... just wow.

[direwolf]

Someone said this earlier, and I'm starting to think they're right. Perhaps this is just what America is now. It's disappointing, sad, and disgusting, but unfortunately we're just gonna have to live with it.

I fear for what a Trump reelection means for Canada in the long run, and if the last 4 years are any indication, my guess is it's only going to get worse.

[troutman]

I think I just saw Biden up 3 million in popular vote.