[GT] US election - It's 2020, what could possibly go wrong?

[FurnaceFace]

I don’t know what those guys are calling. I don’t see this is anywhere near over and the gaps are pretty big with 88% counted.

[opendoor]

I think the NY Times needle is a bit optimistic. They have over 200K estimated votes outstanding from DeKalb at 80% Democrat, but I believe there are actually only 131K votes not counted. That alone would be a 40K vote swing towards Republicans vs. what they're predicting.

[Slava]

Originally Posted by opendoor

I think the NY Times needle is a bit optimistic. They have over 200K estimated votes outstanding from DeKalb at 80% Democrat, but I believe there are actually only 131K votes not counted. That alone would be a 40K vote swing towards Republicans vs. what they're predicting.

Yeah if that 131k is accurate, then it’s grim for the Democrats.

[Dan02]

Originally Posted by opendoor

I think the NY Times needle is a bit optimistic. They have over 200K estimated votes outstanding from DeKalb at 80% Democrat, but I believe there are actually only 131K votes not counted. That alone would be a 40K vote swing towards Republicans vs. what they're predicting.

538 says 200k in dekalb as well.

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

Where are people getting the 131 number?

I wish there was a site like https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html was for the Presidential election. Maybe there is and I just don't know about it?

[opendoor]

Originally Posted by Dan02

538 says 200k in dekalb as well.

A CNN reporter claimed he spoke directly to the people at DeKalb and they said 131K left. I wouldn't put it past CNN to be wrong though.

[octothorp]

I think the confusion is that at one point we were told 171K left to count, and a big dump of votes incoming, and now we're at 130K left to count, so there should be about a 40K dump in addition to the 130K remaining to count. But yeah, if it's only 130K left, that's grim.

[rubecube]

Everyone keeps talking about Joe Manchin's power in the new Senate, but if I'm the Democrats, I give him the "F around and find out" talk if he doesn't fall in line on the big ticket items. If the establishment and progressive wing both team up to primary him, he's boned.

[Johnny Makarov]

the 131k left in Dekalb is the amount of in-person early voting. There are more votes than that.

Not sure why CNN doesn't restate that.

[octothorp]

Oh, there's a 100K dump!

[opendoor]

Originally Posted by opendoor

A CNN reporter claimed he spoke directly to the people at DeKalb and they said 131K left. I wouldn't put it past CNN to be wrong though.

Looks like CNN might've been wrong:

https://twitter.com/user/status/1346665050770190336

[calgarybornnraised]

John King of CNN and his magic wall is saying the Dems have an uphill battle. What is to believed?

[FurnaceFace]

I’m still treating this as a 2020 extension. It will be on brand and so US world burning, eating its own, that this ends in a split.

[djsFlames]

nm

[Johnny Makarov]

Yay! Some tired idiot mixed up 171,000 and 117,000.
It's 171,000 outstanding!

[Dan02]

The needles are all the way up to 91% for Ossoff

[octothorp]

Needle update: 'Quite likely Ossoff'.

[Johnny Makarov]

171,000 + another 12,000 in Dekalb.

Any minute now!

[Dan02]

The republicans are gonna be pissed when they go to bed ahead only to lose tomorrow again.

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

There's actually a possibility that DeKalb all comes in tonight (or a lot of it) to give the Dems the lead and then some of the rural counties come in overnight and flip it back to the Republicans.