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Old 11-05-2024, 06:19 PM   #61
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Where is Mathgod?

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Somewhere very nervous
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:21 PM   #62
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Cruz is down woooo
Stop the count!
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:22 PM   #63
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Well looks like we will have some Needle fun tonight

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...st-needle.html
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:22 PM   #64
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Who are we kidding- nothing ever really changes regardless of the winner. It just comes down to 4 more years of content and entertainment for the world to argue and stew over, vs things more or less being back to normal 3 months from now. Both are appealing.
Yeah! I mean unless you are a woman, LGBTQ2+, or a immigrant but who cares about them.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:28 PM   #65
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I am once again asking you to delay father time!

https://twitter.com/user/status/1853970029974557146
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:30 PM   #66
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Where is Mathgod?

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not sure why it’s appropriate to #### talk or mock someone whose clearly really anxious about a contentious election.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:32 PM   #67
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Ohio looks like it is going to be really tight.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:33 PM   #68
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Ohio looks like it is going to be really tight.
Nah, das Needle says Trump will win by 8%.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:34 PM   #69
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One thing to keep in mind, as these results come in: Kamala Harris doesn’t HAVE to win Georgia. If she wins Georgia, it’s a sign that Trump is in big trouble. He is the one who needs to win both Georgia and North Carolina. For Harris, the key race to me is Pennsylvania. If she loses there that’s the ball game. If she wins, she has many paths to victory.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:36 PM   #70
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Ohio looks like it is going to be really tight.
If Ohio ends up being close, Trump is in big trouble in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Isn’t it a bit too early though?
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:36 PM   #71
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Yeah Pennsylvania is so close in the predictive model on NYT right now and looks like a lynchpin, Harris will win if she takes that state I bet, it's so strange to me that Harris didn't take the VP from that state, could have been the ballgame in retrospect
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:36 PM   #72
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Right now it's a Nate showdown on the models, Cohn and the Needle have Trump as a slight favorite, Silver has Harris as a slight favorite. Loser has to go by Nathaniel.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:37 PM   #73
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:37 PM   #74
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She doesn't have to, but a loss in GA is in and of itself a flipped state from 2020, which was itself a close election. So it doesn't bode well. But it's very early yet so there is no reason to suspect she is going to lose GA yet unless there have been some analytics someone has put out based on county level results that I'm unaware of.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:38 PM   #75
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Looking at Fulton county and Cherokee county Harris is out performing the 538 what to expect if a state were tied split. Just 1 or 2 % but it’s promising

NYT county results
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...president.html

538
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...on-benchmarks/
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:39 PM   #76
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She doesn't have to, but a loss in GA is in and of itself a flipped state from 2020, which was itself a close election. So it doesn't bode well. But it's very early yet so there is no reason to suspect she is going to lose GA yet unless there have been some analytics someone has put out based on county level results that I'm unaware of.
There is. Looking like Trump will take it.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...president.html
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:39 PM   #77
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Who are we kidding- nothing ever really changes regardless of the winner. It just comes down to 4 more years of content and entertainment for the world to argue and stew over, vs things more or less being back to normal 3 months from now. Both are appealing.

Trump threatening Terrifs is not good for the CanadianEconomy
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:39 PM   #78
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I am once again asking you to delay father time!



https://twitter.com/user/status/1853970029974557146
Feel the Bern baby
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:39 PM   #79
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NBC reporting that Gwynett county in GA hit 70% turnout by 6pm and will surpass 2020 turnout. High turnout is usually good for dems, so... hopefully that's a good sign.
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Old 11-05-2024, 06:40 PM   #80
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It looks like she could legitimately flip Ohio, nevermind maybe not.
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