New 2024 Degenerate Football gambling thread

[GirlySports]

Minnesota -2.5 is a gift, I'm going in big on this one.

I have Minnesota still as the #1 overall team statistically (I think Detroit and Baltimore are better but the Vikings are still legitimately good), and the Rams are bottom 10. This is a small line for such a mismatch, I don't care where the game is being played.

[Sylvanfan]

At -2.5...that scares me but that looks to be the current best of the number. On the season road favorites between 3 and 4 points at close are 13-1-1 vs the spread. So this is a segment of the market where the favorite has been getting it done.

But between 1.5 to 2.5 at close...the dogs are 7-4. So if that number gets shorter than 3, I'd be inclined to move off the favorite.

[Junglist]

Baltimore on Sports Select at 1.70 was a gift on Monday.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by Junglist

Baltimore on Sports Select at 1.70 was a gift on Monday.

Do they still have that condition where you need to win by 4 to be a win? If so you could have just taken Baltimore -4 at -110 or 1.91 and had better odds for the same result. For a lot of the week is was -3.5 which is the same as needing to win by 4 to collect.

[Junglist]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Do they still have that condition where you need to win by 4 to be a win? If so you could have just taken Baltimore -4 at -110 or 1.91 and had better odds for the same result. For a lot of the week is was -3.5 which is the same as needing to win by 4 to collect.

Yea, need to win by 4 or more.

Either way felt like a free $70

[Junglist]

I’m also trying to stay away from online betting haha.

[EldrickOnIce]

Every time the Flames and Oilers have played on the same night, I have parlayed a Flame win and an Oiler loss. 3-1 so far on season.

[blender]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Minnesota -2.5 is a gift, I'm going in big on this one.

I have Minnesota still as the #1 overall team statistically (I think Detroit and Baltimore are better but the Vikings are still legitimately good), and the Rams are bottom 10. This is a small line for such a mismatch, I don't care where the game is being played.

Haha.
Betting on NFL point spreads is stupid, but talking about it like you know something is hilarious.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by blender

Haha.
Betting on NFL point spreads is stupid, but talking about it like you know something is hilarious.

That's a bit harsh. Things changed a lot for that game when Nakua suddenly was able to play, plus the officiating was very one sided. Turn out most money was on the Vikings too. Easy for people to boast a out winning bets after the result is known than say what they bet before hand.

[Sylvanfan]

Today I went with

Miami -4, Arizona off the Monday night win out East is a flat spot

Philly +2.5 at Cinci...the Bengals run D at home against the Eagles I'll take my chance on that.

6 point Teaser Baltimore down to -1.5, Philly up to +8.5, and Tampa up to +7.5.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Today I went with

Miami -4, Arizona off the Monday night win out East is a flat spot

Philly +2.5 at Cinci...the Bengals run D at home against the Eagles I'll take my chance on that.

6 point Teaser Baltimore down to -1.5, Philly up to +8.5, and Tampa up to +7.5.

Baltimore with a brutal performance, unexplainable

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Baltimore with a brutal performance, unexplainable

They've blown up a couple of these on me. I should know over in Baltimore games is the play...but slow people learn slow.

At least I can feel good about the Rsvens losing.

[blender]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

That's a bit harsh. Things changed a lot for that game when Nakua suddenly was able to play, plus the officiating was very one sided. Turn out most money was on the Vikings too. Easy for people to boast a out winning bets after the result is known than say what they bet before hand.

Fair enough. My post sounds harsher than I intended.
That said, by week 8, there are no "gifts". The sharps are pretty sharp, and the variances and garbage time make betting money a chumps game, IMO.

I pick games against the spread for fun, but can't imagine feeling confident enough to boast about it.
I was just trying to poke fun, though.

Heading into this week I am 53-56-2 on the season and I need to win tonight and tomorrow to get to 8-8 on the week. I've got 49ers -4.5 and Steelers -6.

Giddy up.

[DropIt]

Green Bay -5.5 is a laugh.

Take the free money.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by DropIt

Green Bay -5.5 is a laugh.

Take the free money.

Well...that didn't work out so well. I had under 40.5 in that game. It cashed, but it was a bad bet. Needed a Love goal line interception, 2 missed 2 point converts and a blocked field goal to eek that out.

Was looking promising to get my Bengals cover and over parlay except the devil collecting on kickers souls this week got me. San Francisco losing outright blew up a couple of parlays I had.


I did take Buffalo -1 early last week to beat K.C. so going against my team worked for me. They were due for a loss.

[GirlySports]

missed out on the morning game


1. Giants and Cowboys over 37

I don’t care who is playing qb, these defenses are too bad for a total this low


2. Green Bay -3 vs Miami

The dolphins on a 25 degree day? Yeah I’ll take Green Bay.


3. Las Vegas + 12 @ KC


Once again, Kansas City Chiefs impossible challenge: cover a large spread

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

missed out on the morning game


1. Giants and Cowboys over 37

I don’t care who is playing qb, these defenses are too bad for a total this low


2. Green Bay -3 vs Miami

The dolphins on a 25 degree day? Yeah I’ll take Green Bay.


3. Las Vegas + 12 @ KC


Once again, Kansas City Chiefs impossible challenge: cover a large spread

I got Vegas +13.5...fade home teams on holidays who aren't used to playing that day. Too many distractions for them.

I took Detroit -9.5. Right now I'm fuming how this is the one day Detroit isn't scoring T.D's. I'm going to get backdoored with a 2 point convert with the clock expired to make it 25-16.

I like Green Bay too, didn't play that game.

I like under in the Boys and Giants...not sure the Giants can top 10...but I kind of expect the Giants to just play for themselves which could let Dallas pile up 45 if they're just bad today. I'm avoiding that game.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

I took Detroit -9.5. Right now I'm fuming how this is the one day Detroit isn't scoring T.D's. I'm going to get backdoored with a 2 point convert with the clock expired to make it 25-16.

Forget backdoor, Chicago might win outright!

[Sylvanfan]

Yep...don't lay chalk...the books had to do something, Detroit has been killing them...looks like someone greased the Lions to let the Bears cover, but made sure the Bears wouldn't win.

[GirlySports]

Don't really have a good read on Sundays games, all look difficult. Perhaps 49ers-Bills under 44 in the snowstorm.